New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds & Pick

September 7, 6:37 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Yankees +120/Blue Jays -130
9ov -115

Two teams trending in opposite directions as of late meet when the Yankees and Blue Jays kick off a three-game AL East series Monday evening at the Jays' temporary home in Buffalo. How are we playing this game with our free MLB pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Monday's MLB betting odds opened Toronto and Ryu at around -140 over New York and Montgomery, with an over/under of nine runs. Both those figures were holding steady in the early betting action.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Set-Up

Toronto just took three of five games from the Red Sox in Boston over the weekend, winning Sunday's series finale 10-8. Just before that, the Blue Jays split two games with Miami, and just before that, they took three of four from Baltimore. So Toronto is 8-4 over its last 12 games.

Meanwhile, New York just dropped three of four games in Baltimore over the weekend, losing Sunday's series finale 5-1. Just before that series, the Yanks lost a make-up game to the Mets, and just before that, they lost two of three games to Tampa Bay. So New York is only 2-5 over its last seven games.

At 22-18 overall, Toronto now occupies second place in the AL East, 5.5 games behind first-place Tampa Bay. And second place is good for a playoff spot this season.

At 21-19 overall, New York sits in third place in the AL East, one game behind the Blue Jays. But the Yanks also own the No. 8 spot in the American League standings, which this season is also suitable for a playoff spot.

This series is the first meeting between these teams this season.

Monday's Starting Arms

Lefty Ryu is 4/8 on quality starts this season, but he's been even better than that lately. Last Wednesday, he held Miami to one run and five hits through six innings of a 2-1 Toronto win. And over his last six starts, he's allowed just six runs – five earned – and 23 hits through 34 innings, with 39 strikeouts against eight walks.

For the season, the Blue Jays are 6-2 with Ryu, with the totals splitting 3-3-2.

In his most recent start against the Yankees, last August, while he was still with the Dodgers, Ryu got clipped for seven runs through 4 1/3 innings of a 10-2 Los Angeles loss.

Fellow southpaw Montgomery is just 1/6 on quality starts this season. Last Wednesday, he couldn't get out of the first inning against Tampa Bay, giving up four runs on five hits, including a couple of homers, while getting just two outs in a 5-2 Yanks defeat. But in his two starts previous to that, he limited the Mets and Red Sox to four runs – three earned – and eight hits through 8 2/3 innings.

On the season, New York is 3-3 with Montgomery, with the unders going 3-2-1.

In his last start against Toronto, back in April of 2018, Montgomery allowed just one run through six innings of a 9-1 Yankees win.

Monday's Batting Splits

New York is batting just .216 this season against left-handed pitching, with a .302 team OBP and a .388 team slugging percentage. This lineup is also still operating without Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton.

Toronto is batting .266/.335/.437 against left-handed pitching this season. But the Jays might be without OF Teoscar Hernandez (14 HR this year), who's dealing with sore ribs.

The Bullpens

The Yankees bullpen owns a 4.21 ERA this season and a 1.31 WHIP, along with a 2.39 K/BB ratio.

The Blue Jays pen owns a 3.22 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP along with a 2.16 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

  • New York is 8-12 on the road this season.
  • Toronto is 8-8 at "home" this season.
  • New York is 3-5 against left-handed starters this season.
  • Toronto is 7-7 vs. LH starters this season.

Totals Report

  • Totals are split 18-18 in Yankees games this season.
  • Unders are 20-17 in Blue Jays games this season.
  • Overs are 9-6 in games played at Sahlen Field this season.

Yankees at Jays Predictions 9/7/20

Free Pick: 
Take the Jays -130
Our favorite sportsbook for live in-game wagering: Bet365