New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Odds - Free Pick

September 11, 7:10 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Yankees -127 / Rays +117

On the Monday MLB betting board, it’s the 77-65 New York Yankees traveling to Tampa Bay to take on the 71-73 Rays in the first game of a three-game set at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida tonight. The first pitch of the opener at is scheduled to be tossed at 7:10 PM ET.

The odds maker at BetOnline has listed the visiting Yankees as a -127 favorite with a total line of 8.5 -110

In their last game the Yankees beat the Texas Rangers 16-7. In the game the Yankees scored 16 runs on 18 hits and the Rangers scored seven runs on 10 hits.

In their last game the Rays beat the Boston Red Sox 4-1. In the game the Rays scored four runs on nine hits and the Red Sox scored one run on five hits.

This season the Yankees rank 2nd in the Majors in runs scored and 5th in team ERA.

The Rays rank 24th in the Majors in runs scored and 9th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

New York: CC Sabathia (11-5, 3.91 ERA)
Tampa Bay: Jake Odorizzi (8-7, 4.58 ERA)

CC Sabathia gets the call in this series opener and in his last outing he was roughed up for five earned runs in five innings in a 7-6 loss to the Baltimore Orioles. The Yankees have lost two of his last three starts, but previous to his last start he had only given up one earned run in two straight outings. New York has won all three of Sabathia’s starts this season against the Rays where he has lasted 14 innings and given up five earned runs with four of them coming in his last outing against them. In 44 career starts against the Rays he is 16-14 with an ERA of 3.80 and the Yankees have won his last eight starts facing them. New York has lost four of Sabathia’s last five starts against a team with a losing record.

Jake Odorizzi goes for the Rays tonight and he had a good last outing going six innings and not giving up any runs in a 2-1 win over the Minnesota Twins. After losing four in a row with him on the mound the Rays have won his last three starts where he has given up six earned runs in 15 innings. Odorizzi had given up three earned runs in each of his two starts before his last one. His only start of the season against the Yankees was his first one where he gave up four earned runs in six innings in a 5-0 Tampa Bay loss. In 24 starts this season Odorizzi has given up 28 HR and had given up one in four straight games before not giving up any in his last outing. In 13 career appearances, including 12 starts, against the Yankees he is 5-6 with an ERA of 4.40. Tampa Bay has only won one of Odorizzi’s last seven home starts.

Betting Angles

The Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Rays.

The Rays are 5-2 in their last7 home games against the Yankees.

In the last 5 games between these teams the Under record is 3-1-1.

This season the Rays are 36-34 at home and the Yankees are 37-38 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

New York Yankees: 77-65 SU / O/U 74-65 / Run Line W/L 76-66
Tampa Bay Rays: 71-73 SU / O/U 72-69 / Run Line W/L 69-75

New York at Tampa Bay Key Betting Trends

  • NYY is 6-2 in their last 8 overall
  • NYY is 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record
  • NYY has an Over record of 6-1 in their last 7 games
  • TB is 5-2 in their last 7 home games
  • TB is 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter
  • TB has an Under record of 13-6 in their last 19 home games

Key Player Injuries

[CF] 09/03/2017 - Aaron Hicks 10-day DL (09/03) ( Oblique )
[P] 09/06/2017 - Adam Warren 10-day DL (09/06) ( Back )
[1B] 08/18/2017 - Garrett Cooper 10-day DL (08/17) ( Tendonitis )
[P] 08/15/2017 - Luis Cessa 60-day DL (08/15) ( Back )
[CF] 08/10/2017 - Clint Frazier 10-day DL (08/09) ( Oblique )
[P] 07/16/2017 - Michael Pineda 60-day DL (07/11) ( Elbow )

[P] 08/21/2017 - Jacob Faria 10-day DL (08/17) ( Abdominal )
[RF] 09/10/2017 - Steven Souza Jr. "?" Monday vs. New York Yankees ( Knee )
[P] 06/01/2017 - Shawn Tolleson 60-day DL (04/01) ( Elbow )
[3B] 06/01/2017 - Matt Duffy 60-day DL (04/02) ( Achilles )
[P] 06/01/2017 - Kevin Gadea 60-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )
[LF] 06/09/2017 - Rickie Weeks Jr. 10-day DL (06/09) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 06/23/2017 - Colby Rasmus 10-day DL (06/19) ( Hip )
[P] 06/26/2017 - Diego Moreno 60-day DL (05/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/18/2017 - Xavier Cedeno 60-day DL (04/18) ( Forearm )
[P] 04/01/2017 - Nathan Eovaldi 60-day DL (03/10) ( Elbow )

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Yankees have won two in a row and three of their last four games. They are in 2nd place in the AL East 3.5 games back of the Boston Red Sox, but hold the top spot in the Wild Card with a 3.5 game lead over the Minnesota Twins. The Rays had lost three in a row before a win in their last game. In their three-game skid they gave up 28 runs before only giving up one run in their last game. Tampa Bay is 10.5 games out of first place in the AL East and 3,5 games out of the Wild Card. Not only have the Yankees won Sabathia’s last eight starts against the Rays, but they have won his last five starts facing them in Tampa Bay. Odorizzi is coming off a solid last start, but he was not good in his season debut facing the Yankees where he gave up a pair of HR. Look for him to struggle again facing a Yankees team that scored 16 runs in their last game and ranks 2nd in the “Bigs” in runs scored. Sabathia may not have the best outing, but New York will win again with him on the hill facing the Rays.

Free Pick: 
Take the Yankees -127