New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Pick

September 3, 7:05 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Mets +105 / Nationals -135

This game is the 2nd of this NL East series with the Mets winning the first game 7-3.

In Game 1 of this series in the 7-3 Mets win New York scored seven runs on 11 hits and the Nationals scored three runs on five hits. The Mets scored five runs in the 3rd inning, and starter Noah Syndergaard picked up his 10th win tossing seven scoreless innings and striking out 10.

The Mets have won three of their last four games, and the Nationals had won four in a row before losing Game 1 of this series.

This season the Mets rank 16th in runs scored and 12th in team ERA and the Nationals rank 7th in runs scored and 11th in team ERA.

Pitching Match-Up

New York: Jacob deGrom (8-8 2.66 ERA)

Philadelphia: Max Scherzer (9-5 2.46 ERA)

deGrom did not have the best last outing giving up four earned runs on five hits in seven innings in a 4-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs. He had gone nine starts before that where he did not give up more than three earned runs. The Mets have lost three of his last four starts, including his previous two, but in the two losses in that span before his previous start, he only gave up one earned run but got little help. In three starts against the Nationals, this season deGrom has been lights outgoing 1-0 with an ERA of only 0.53, and the Mets have won his last seven road starts against them. However, New York has lost 17 of his previous 25 starts and have lost four of his last five road starts against a team with a winning record.

Scherzer makes his 3rd start since missing nearly a month with a back injury, and in his last start he gave up two earned runs on six hits in only four 1/3 innings. He has been limited to eight 1/3 innings in his two starts since coming back from injury but has pitched well giving up three earned runs in two Washington wins. In three starts against the Mets, this season Scherzer is 1-1 with an ERA of 2.70. He ranks 2nd in the NL in ERA and in only 142 1/3 innings pitched on the season he has struck out 200 batters. On the road, this season Scherzer is 6-1, but at home is only 3-4.

Betting Angles

The Mets are 7-1 in their last eight games against the Nationals.

In the last seven games between these teams, the Over record is 5-1-1.

In the last six games between these teams in Washington, the Over record is 3-1-2.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

New York Mets: 70-67 SU / O/U 65-58 / Run Line W/L 68-69

Washington Nationals: 77-59 SU / O/U 64-64 / Run Line W/L 76-60

Key Betting Trends

  • NY is 5-1 in their last six road games
  • NY is 3-7 in their previous ten games
  • NY has an Under record of 3-1-1 in their last five games
  • WASH is 4-1 in their last five home games
  • WASH is 20-8 in their previous 28 games following a loss
  • WASH has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their last five games

Team Info

The Mets need a strong finish to make the playoffs, as while they are out of the NL East race, they are still in the Wild Card four games out of the 2nd spot. They had lost six in a row before winning three of their last four games, and in that span, they totaled 24 runs.

The Nationals are in 2nd place in the NL East 5.5 games back of the Atlanta Braves, and they are in the top Wild Card spot 3.5 games clear of the Chicago Cubs. Washington had averaged 7.8 runs per game in their four-game win streak before only scoring three in losing the first game of this division series.

New York’s Pete Alonso is tied for the NL lead in HR and has reached base in 28 straight games after going 1 for 5 with a run scored in Game 1 of this series.

Key Player Injuries


2B Robinson Cano is expected to be activated for this game after being on the 10-day DL with a hamstring injury. Both C Wilson Ramos and 3B Todd Frazier rested and were out of the lineup for Game 1 of this series but are expected to play in this game. Ramos has a 25-game hitting streak, and Frazier has eight RBI in his last three games.


INF-OF Howie Kendrick rested in Game 1 of this series but is expected back in the lineup for this game and has five doubles and eight RBI in his last ten games. CF Adam Eaton is listed as questionable for this game with a hamstring injury.

Mets at Nationals Prediction 09/03/2019

Great pitching matchup in this game with 2017 Cy Young winner Scherzer going up against deGrom, who won the award last season. The Mets have won deGrom's previous seven starts facing the Nats in Washington and his only start there this season was his debut where he tossed five scoreless innings in a 2-0 win. He last faced them August 11th at home where he went five innings in a 7-4 loss, and while he gave up three runs, none of them were earned. The Mets have only scored two runs in deGrom's last two starts. Scherzer has been solid since coming off the DL, but he will likely have another short start, and that is a concern since Washington ranks 2nd to last in MLB in bullpen ERA. I think deGrom will have the better of outings between the Cy Young winners and lead the Mets to a win in what will be a very low scoring pitcher’s duel.

Free Pick: 
Take the Mets +105

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