New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox Odds Analysis - Free Pick

New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox Odds Analysis - Free Pick

The Green Man
Date: September 14, 7:10 pm
Location: Fenway Park
TV: NESN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mets +115 / Red Sox -135
Total: 9

<h2>MLB Betting Line</h2>
<p>The Red Sox have remained as the -135 home favorite since opening and the total of nine runs has not changed as well. In taking the run-line the Mets are posted at -175 getting 1.5 runs and the Red Sox are at +155 giving 1.5 runs.
</p>
<h2>Overview </h2>
<p>In their last game, the Mets won their 3rd in a row with a 5-2 win over the Miami Marlins. 5-2. The Mets scored five runs on nine hits and the Marlins scored two runs on only four hits.
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<p>The Mets are out of the playoff picture 10 games under .500, but they have won three in a row and five of their last six games. In their three-game win streak, New York was solid on the mound giving up a total of five runs.
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<p>In their last game, the Red Sox extended their winning streak to four games and finished off their three-game sweep over the Toronto Blue Jays with a 4-3 win. The Red Sox scored four runs on nine hits and the Blue Jays scored three runs on seven hits.
</p>
<p>Boston has 101 wins, which is the best in the Majors by nine games, and they have already wrapped up a playoff spot. Unless they fall apart and the Yankees catch fire the AL East is in the bag as well, as the Red Sox are 10.5 games up on New York in the division.
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<p>This season the Mets rank 22nd in runs scored and 18th in team ERA and the Red Sox rank 1st in runs scored and 3rd in team ERA.
</p>
<h2>Head-To-Head </h2>
<p>This is the first meeting between these teams this season and they have not met since the 2015 season.
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<h2>Pitching Match-Up</h2>
<p>New York: Noah Syndergaard (11-3 3.44 ERA)<br><br />
Boston: Hector Velazquez (7-2 3.29 ERA)</p>
<p>In Syndergaard’s last start it was far from his best giving up four earned runs and 12 hits in six 2/3 innings, but he got a lot of support from the New York lineup in a 10-5 win over the Philadelphia Phillies. The Mets have won three of his last four starts, including his last two, and in two of his last three starts he gave up four earned runs. This is Syndergaard’s 2nd career start against the Red Sox, as his first was in 2015 when he went six 2/3 innings and gave up four runs.
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<p>Syndergaard has thrown at least 100 pitches in each of his last six starts. The Mets have won five of his last seven starts overall and five of his last six interleague starts.
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<p>In Velazquez’s last appearance it came in relief where he only went 1/3 of an inning and did not give up a hit. This game is his 8th start of the season and first since September 5th where he gave up two earned runs on five hits in four innings in a 9-8 win over the Atlanta Braves. Velazquez has not notched a win since late July when he was 7-0 and since that time he has 10 appearances and has an ERA of 5.48.
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<p>In 19 home appearances, including three starts, this season Velazquez is 4-1 with an ERA of 2.87. The Red Sox have won five of his last seven starts and they have won his last four starts against a team with a losing record.
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<h2>Betting Angles </h2>
<p>The last time these teams met in the 2015 season it was the season the Mets made it to the World Series losing to the Kansas City Royals.
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<p>The Mets are 4-10 in their last 14 interleague road games.
</p>
<p>The Red Sox are 49-17 in their last 66 interleague home games.
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<h2>Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records </h2>
<p>New York Mets: 68-78 SU / O/U 67-72 / Run Line W/L 75-71<br><br />
Boston Red Sox: 101-46 SU / O/U 68-72 / Run Line W/L 84-63</p>
<h2>Key Betting Trends </h2>
<ul>
<li>NY is 5-1 in their last 6 games</li>
<li>NY is 8-20 in their last 28 interleague games</li>
<li>NY has an Over record of 6-2-1 in their last 9 games</li>
<li>BOS is 4-0 in their last 4 games</li>
<li>BOS is 39-13 in their last 52 home games</li>
<li>BOS has an Under record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 games</li>
</ul>
<h2>Key Player Injuries </h2>
<p><b>METS</b><br><br />
[P] 03/26/2018 - Rafael Montero 60-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )<br><br />
[SS] 03/26/2018 - T.J. Rivera 60-day DL (02/18) ( Elbow )<br><br />
[C] 04/14/2018 - Travis d'Arnaud 60-day DL (04/11) ( Elbow )<br><br />
[3B] 04/28/2018 - David Wright 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )<br><br />
[P] 08/17/2018 - Bobby Wahl 60-day DL (08/17) ( Hamstring )<br><br />
[P] 09/09/2018 - Noah Syndergaard is "?" for next scheduled start ( Ribs )<br><br />
[1B] 06/11/2018 - Adrian Gonzalez has been released ( None )<br><br />
[CF] 06/10/2018 - Juan Lagares is out for season ( Toe )<br><br />
[P] 06/22/2018 - AJ Ramos 60-day DL (05/27) ( Shoulder )<br><br />
[LF] 07/24/2018 - Yoenis Cespedes 60-day DL (07/21) ( Heel )</p>
<p><b>RED SOX</b><br><br />
[P] 05/15/2018 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (05/15) ( Shoulder )<br><br />
[2B] 06/02/2018 - Dustin Pedroia 60-day DL (05/30); is out for season ( Knee )<br><br />
[SS] 03/26/2018 - Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )<br><br />
[P] 03/30/2018 - Austin Maddox 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )</p>

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