New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals Betting Primer - Free Total Line Prediction

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Time: 8:15 PM ET | Location: Busch Stadium | Television: FSN
The Mets dropped the series opener 6-2 to drop their record to 3-2 versus St. Louis this season. The loss was the 7th in the last 10 games for New York. They have had moderate success as a visitor with a 15-19 record.
The Cardinals win last night was their 4th straight and 7th in their last 8 games. Note that the win marked the 21st victory at Busch Stadium over the NL East in the last 24 games over the last two seasons.

Money Line: Mets +156 / Cardinals -170
7.5 Under -115/ Over +105
Pitching Match-Up
NEW YORK: JONATHON NIESE (L) ERA: 2.54 W/L: 3-3
ST. LOUIS: MICHAEL WACHA (R) ERA: 2.88 W/L: 4-5
Jon Niese has been sharp all season never allowing the opponent to score greater than 3 runs this season in 13 starts. He's pitched exceptional well on the road this season with a cool 2.45 ERA over 40 1/3 innings. He loves facing the Cardinals with New York getting the win in 5 of his 6 starts including a workmanlike 6 2/3 innings allowing 1 earned run back in April this year.
Michael Wacha takes the mound for St. Louis and he's coming off of one of his poorer outings of the season lasting only 5 innings against the weak hitting Rays in Tampa. Wacha got tagged with the loss in the game and has now lost 2 straight and has recorded one with and no decision over his last 4, however his team is 1-3 over those starts.

Team Hitting
The Mets would never be considered a scoring machine tallying 3.90 runs per game, but they have struggled mightily in their last 6 scoring 2 or fewer in 4 games and 3 or fewer in 5 of the 6.
The Cardinals bats have finally come alive in recent games after toiling near the bottom of the league in scoring with 3.76 runs per game. St. Louis has put up 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 and 3 or more in 6 of their last 8.

Over/Under Pick
The back numbers of Jon Niese and Michael Wacha suggest a play on the under. The Mets lack of a scoring punch and the Cardinals 1.71 ERA versus the NL East this season adds to the value. The trend to the under in this series 1-8-1 over the total in the last 10 seals the deal.

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