New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Pick - MLB Predictions

April 12, 7:20 PM EDT

Betting Odds

NYM+100 / ATL-110
9ov -115

New York Mets (8-4) vs. Atlanta Braves (7-5) 4/12/19
Listed Pitchers: Kyle Wright (ATL) vs. Zack Wheeler (NYM)

The New York Mets took the opener of a four-game series in Atlanta Thursday night as underdogs on the MLB betting line. The Mets are lined as short dogs again for Friday night's game. Who do we like for our free MLB pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Friday's MLB betting odds opened Atlanta and Wright at around -120 over New York and Wheeler, with an over/under of nine runs. Early betting action then dipped that line down to -110.

Mets vs. Braves Set-Up

New York grabbed the opener of this series Thursday night 6-3, cashing in as a +120 dog on the MLB betting line. The Mets took the lead for good on Amed Rosario's three-run homer in the second inning Thursday and held on from there.

Thursday's game also pushed a betting total of nine runs.

With Thursday's win, New York is 3-3 over its last six games.

Even with Thursday's loss, Atlanta is 7-2 over its last nine games.

This series is the first meeting between these division rivals this season. Last season the Braves took 13 of 19 meetings from the Mets.

Get detailed analysis from winning handicappers each day by visiting our Free Picks Page.

Friday's Starting Arms

Wright (0-1, 4.35) is one-for-two on quality starts this season. First, he gave up three runs and walked five in just 4 1/3 innings of a 5-1 loss at Philadelphia. But last Saturday he held Miami to two runs and five hits, with only one walk, through six innings, although Atlanta lost that game 4-2. So the Braves are 0-2 with Wright this season, with the unders going 2-0.

In his only appearance against the Mets last season Wright gave up two solo home runs in one inning of relief last September.

Wheeler (0-1, 10.24) is 0/2 on quality starts this season. In his first, he gave up four runs in five innings of a 6-5 New York loss at Washington. Then last Sunday, against those same Nationals, he gave up seven runs and walked seven through 4 2/3 innings of a 12-9 defeat. So the Mets are 0-2 with Wheeler this season, with the overs going 2-0.

In two starts last year against the Braves Wheeler first allowed six runs through 5 2/3 innings, then threw seven shutout innings with nine strikeouts. New York split those two games, as did the totals.

Friday's Batting Splits

New York is batting .250/.339/.422 this season against right-handed pitching. This lineup has also scored at least six runs each of its last five games.

Atlanta is batting .257/.346/.427 against RH pitching.

The Bullpens

The Mets bullpen owns a 6.25 ERA so far this season, a 1.81 WHIP and 48/20 strikeouts/walks ratio.

The Braves bullpen owns a 5.53 ERA, a 1.55 WHIP and a 43/25 K/BB ratio.

So neither one of these units is going too great at the moment, which could mean some late-game scoring.

Totals Report

  • The overs are 9-2-1 in Mets games this season.
  • The unders are 6-5-1 in Braves games this season.
  • The unders finished 11-8 in Mets-Braves games last season.
  • The unders finished 39-38-4 in games played at SunTrust Park last season.

Mets at Braves Prediction 4/12/19

We give Atlanta short edges in the pitching match-up and in the bullpen comparison, so we're going with the Braves, the home team at the short price, for our free MLB pick for Friday. 


Free Pick: 
Take the Braves -110