Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Pick

September 13, 7:10 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Twins -132 / Indians +110

This game is the first of a three-game series and what an important series it is with the Twins holding a 3.5 game lead over the Indians in the AL Central.

In their last game, the Twins lost to the Washington Nationals 12-6. In the game, the Twins scored six runs on 12 hits, and the Nationals scored 12 runs on 14 hits. Minnesota's staff allowed four HR in the game.

In their last game, the Indians beat the L.A. Angels 4-3 to complete the three-game sweep. The Indians scored four runs on ten hits, and the Angels scored three runs on seven hits. The Tribe went deep twice in the game, and they scored three of their four runs in the 2nd inning.

The Twins have lost two in a row, and three of their last four games and the Indians come into this series riding a four-game winning streak.

This season the Twins rank 2nd in runs scored, and 8th in team ERA and the Indians rank 17th in runs scored and 3rd in team ERA.

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Pitching Match-Up

Minnesota: Jake Odorizzi (14-6 3.60 ERA)

Cleveland: Aaron Civale (3-3 1.93 ERA)

The Twins have won seven of Odorizzi’s last eight starts including his last three. In his previous start at home, he gave up two earned runs on five hits in five 1/3 innings in a 5-3 win over the Indians. He struck out ten batters in his last start facing Cleveland and in his previous four starts he has 31 strikeouts and only five walks. After the Indians lost to the Indians in Odorizzi’s first start of the season, where he only gave up one earned run on one hit, they have won his last three starts facing them where he gave up three earned runs in 16 1/3 innings. The Twins have won Odorizzi’s last five road starts and that streak began in Cleveland where he gave up one earned run in five 1/3 innings in a 6-2 Minnesota win.

In Civale’s last start he opposed Odorizzi and gave up only one earned run on three hits in five innings in the 5-3 Cleveland loss. The Indians had won his previous two starts where he gave up three earned runs in 12 innings. He has faced the Twins twice this season, and in his first start facing them on August 11th in Minnesota he gave up one earned run on four hits in six innings in a 7-3 Cleveland win. In three home starts this season Civale is 2-1 with an ERA of only 1.06 and has 17 strikeouts in 17 innings.

Betting Angles

  • The Indians are 6-2 in their last eight games against the Twins.
  • In the last 56 games between these teams, the Under record is 38-16-2.
  • In the last nine games between these teams in Cleveland, the Under record is 6-2-1.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Minnesota Twins: 89-57 SU / O/U 72-66 / Run Line W/L 79-67

Cleveland Indians: 86-61 SU / O/U 62-81 / Run Line W/L 80-67

Key Betting Trends

  • MINN is 10-3 in their last 13 games against a right-hand starter
  • MINN is 39-17 in their previous 56 road games
  • MINN has Under record of 9-1 in their last ten games
  • CLE is 4-0 in their previous four games
  • CLE is 8-2 in their last ten home games against a right-hand starter
  • CLE has an Under record of 7-0 in their last seven games

Team Info

The Twins are in first place in the AL Central 3.5 games up on the Indians, and this is the last series facing them this season. They have lost five of their previous eight games, and in the series, before their last one, they lost two of three games facing the Indians. Minnesota's pitching has not been good in the previous two games where they gave up a total of 18 runs.

The Indians are hot at the right time winners of four in a row and look to catch the Twins in the AL Central. If they do not, they will have to rely on the Wild Card to make the playoffs, and they are ½ game out of the 2nd spot.

The strength of the Indians is their pitching, and in their four-game win streak they have only given up seven runs.

On the season the Indians are 9-7 against the Twins.

Key Player Injuries


OF Jake Cave, OF Max Kepler, 3B Miguel Sano, and SS Ehire Adrianza are all listed as questionable for this game.


Closer Brad Hand ranks 2nd in the AL in saves and is doubtful for this game and for the series with an arm injury.

Twins at Indians Prediction 09/13/2019

The Indians come into this game hotter winners of four in a row, and they took two of three games recently from the Twins and are still home underdogs. I think they have great value in this one, especially with Civale on the hill and he pitched better than Odorizzi when they recently faced each other even though the Twins won. Civale will have the better outing again in this game but this time around the Indians will get the win and put pressure on the Twins in the race for the AL Central title.

Free Pick: 
Take the Twins -132