Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants Pick
The NL Central-leading Brewers continue a three-city road trip when they open a three-game set with the Giants in San Francisco Friday night. Who do we like here for our free MLB pick?
MLB Betting Odds
Friday's MLB betting odds opened Milwaukee at around -145 over San Francisco, with an over/under of eight runs. Early betting action then dipped that line down to -140 and bumped that total to 8.5.
The Brew Crew could also be found getting around +115 giving the run and a half on the MLB run line. Speaking of odds, did you know that you can risk less per bet with dime line baseball betting? Read about it and get our list of sportsbboks that offer dimeline odds!
Brewers vs. Giants Set-Up
Milwaukee just split two games in Houston earlier this week, losing Tuesday 10-8 but winning Wednesday 6-3 in 14 innings. The Brewers then enjoyed Thursday off.
Just before that Milwaukee swept three games at home from Pittsburgh. So the Brewers are 5-1 over their last six games. At 39-29 overall Milwaukee leads the NL Central by one game over the second-place Cubs.
San Francisco, meanwhile, just swept two games at home from San Diego by scores of 6-5 and 4-2. The Giants then also had Thursday off.
Just before that San Francisco lost two of three games at home to the Dodgers. So the Giants are 3-4 over their last seven games. At 28-38 overall San Francisco trails first-place Los Angeles by 16.5 games in the NL West, and it's nine games behind the Phillies and Cubs in the battle for the second National League wild-card spot.
This series is the first meeting between these two teams this season. Last year the Brewers took the season series from the Giants six games to one.
Friday's Starting Arms
Lefty Pomeranz is just 1/11 on quality starts this season and 0 for his last six. Last Friday he held the Dodgers scoreless on three hits over five frames of a 2-1 San Francisco victory. But over his five previous starts, he allowed 25 runs and 28 hits, including seven homers, through just 14 1/3 innings.
The Giants are 5-6 with Pomeranz this season, 2-4 over his last six starts.
This will be Pomeranz's first start against Milwaukee since 2017 when he was with Boston, and that's already a long time ago.
Davies is 6/13 on quality starts this season and two for his last three. Last Saturday he gave up three runs and seven hits through five innings of a 5-3 Brewers win over Pittsburgh. And over his last three starts, he's allowed five runs and 20 hits through 19 innings.
Milwaukee is 9-4 with Davies this season, 4-1 over his last five starts.
In two career starts against San Francisco, one in 2017 and one last year, Davies allowed four runs – two earned – and 12 hits through 11 innings. The Brewers split those two games.
Friday's Batting Splits
Milwaukee is batting .257/.334/.479 against left-handed pitching this season. Brewers bats have also scored at least five runs each of their last six games.
San Francisco is batting .221/.289/.377 against right-handed pitching this season, which ranks this lineup among the very worst in MLB in this split.
The Brewers bullpen owns a 4.32 ERA this season and a 1.28 WHIP.
The Giants pen owns a 3.78 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Also, closer Will Smith, a former Brewer, is a perfect 16/16 on save conversions this season.
- Unders are 37-30 in Brewers games this season.
- Overs are 33-31 in Giants games this season.
- Overs are 17-14 in games played at Oracle Park this season.
- Unders are a combined 18-6 in games started by Pomeranz and Davies this season.
- Overs finished 4-3 in Brewers-Giants games last season.
- Get more details: Milwaukee at San Francisco Match-up Stats