Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick 5/13/19

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick 5/13/19

Darin Zank
Date: May 13, 7:05 pm
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Phillies -160/Brewers +150
Total: 8.5

<p>
National League playoff contenders open what should be an entertaining four-game series when the Brewers and Phillies meet Monday night in Philly. How are we betting this game with our free MLB pick?
</p>
<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
Monday's MLB betting odds opened the Phillies and Nola at -170 over Milwaukee and Peralta, with an over/under of eight runs. Early betting action then dropped that line down to -160 and bumped that total to 8.5.
</p>
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<h2>
Brewers vs. Phillies Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Milwaukee just dropped two of three games to the Cubs in Chicago over the weekend, losing Sunday's series rubber match 4-1. The Brewers also lost Saturday 2-1 in 15 innings. But prior to that Milwaukee won seven in a row.
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<p>
At 24-18 overall the Brewers sit in second place in the NL Central, two games behind the division-leading Cubs.
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<p>
Philadelphia, meanwhile, just took two of three games from the Royals in Kansas City, winning Sunday's rubber match 6-1. Just before that, the Phillies took two of three from the Cardinals in St. Louis, and just back that they took two of three at home from Washington. In fact, Philadelphia is 4-0-1 over its last five series and 11-5 over its previous 16 games.
</p>
<p>
At 23-16 overall the Phillies lead the NL East by three games over second-place Atlanta.
</p>
<p>
This series is the first meeting between these teams this season. Last year these teams split six games.
</p>
<h2>
Monday's Starting Arms<br />
</h2>
<p>
Nola is only 3/8 on quality starts this season but one out away from being three for his last three. Last Tuesday he held the Cardinals to one run and three hits through six innings of an 11-1 Philly victory, and over his previous three starts he's allowed just three runs and 17 hits through 18 1/3 innings, with 17 strikeouts.
</p>
<p>
On the season the Phillies are 4-4 with Nola, but 3-1 over his last four starts.
</p>
<p>
In his only start, last year against Milwaukee Nola gave up four runs and seven hits through 4 1/3 innings of a game Philly eventually won 10-9.
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<p>
Peralta is just 1/5 on quality starts this season and 0 for his last three. Freddy got rocked for 16 earned runs and 20 hits, including six homers, through three starts, covering just 10 2/3 innings, through May 2. But he came up with a solid outing in relief last Tuesday, holding Washington scoreless on three hits through five innings, from the third through the seventh, earning the victory in a 6-0 Brewers win.
</p>
<p>
Milwaukee is 2-3 in Peralta's starts this season.
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<p>
This will be Peralta's first-ever start against Philly, which could give him an edge, at least for the first couple of times through the lineup.
</p>
<h2>
Monday's Batting Splits<br />
</h2>
<p>
Milwaukee is batting .235/.318/.412 against right-handed pitching this season.
</p>
<p>
Philadelphia is batting .246/.338/.413 against RH pitching this season.
</p>
<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Brewers bullpen owns a 4.02 ERA this season, along with a 1.24 WHIP.
</p>
<p>
The Phillies pen owns a 3.89 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP.
</p>
<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Unders are 25-16 in Brewers games this season.
</li>
<li>
Unders are 22-16 in Phillies games this season.
</li>
<li>
Unders are 11-10 in games played at Citizens Bank Park this season.
</li>
<li>
Overs are a combined 11-2 with Peralta and Nola this season.
</li>
<li>
Overs finished 4-2 in Brewers-Phillies games last season.
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</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href=" https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1076283">Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Match-up Stats </a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>

Brewers at Phillies Prediction 05/13/2019

Philly and Nola get the check-mark in the pitching match-up, but other things being equal we believe the line on this game to be a bit too much. So we see betting value with Milwaukee in the underdog role in this spot.

Free Pick: Take Milwaukee +150
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