Milwaukee Brewers vs. L.A. Dodgers Game Pick - Odds and Betting Predictions

Date: 
October 15, 7:39 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Total: 
7

MLB Betting Line

The Dodgers opened as a -165 home favorite with a total of seven runs, and as of Sunday morning, those lines have not changed. In the run-line wager for this NLCS game, the Brewers are posted at -155 getting 1.5 runs and the Dodgers are at +135 giving 1.5 runs.

Set-up

The Dodgers evened this series at a game apiece with a 4-3 win over the Brewers in Game 2. The Dodgers scored four runs on nine hits, and the Brewers scored three runs on seven hits. L.A. scored all four of their runs in the 7th and 8th innings, and Justin Turner hit a 2-run HR in the top of the 8th inning to give the Dodgers the 4-3 lead that would stick.

The Brewers not only lost Game 2, but they had their 12-game winning streak snapped, and they also gave up home-field advantage in this series. After giving up two runs in their first three playoff games, they have given up nine in their last two games.

The Dodgers have won two of their last three games, but they have not won two in a row since winning the first two games of the NLDS.

This season the Brewers rank 12th in runs scored and 5th in team ERA and the Dodgers rank 5th in runs scored and 2nd in team ERA.

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Head-To-Head

This season the Dodgers have won five of nine games against the Brewers.

Pitching Match-Up

Milwaukee: Jhoulys Chacin (15-8 3.50 ERA)
L.A.: Walker Buehler (8-5 2.62 ERA)

Chacin’s last start was in Game 2 of the NLDS where he was sharp not allowing any earned runs and only allowing three hits in five innings in a 4-0 win over the Colorado Rockies. The Brewers have won his last four starts where he has pitched 19 2/3 innings giving up three earned runs. In Chacin’s previous three starts he has only given up two earned runs. Chacin had one of his worst starts of the season in his lone outing against the Dodgers on August 2nd in Los Angeles, where he gave up eight earned runs in four 1/3 innings in an embarrassing 21-5 loss.

Chacin gave up three HR in the one start against the Dodgers this season, but he has only given up three HR in his last five starts. The Brewers are 6-1 in Chacin’s last seven home starts, and they have won his last four starts facing a team with a winning record.

Buehler’s last start was in Game 3 of the NLDS where he only gave up two hits but gave up five earned runs walking three batters in five innings in a 6-5 loss to the Atlanta Braves. The Dodgers had won three of his previous four starts wherein the three wins he did not give up any earned runs. In Buehler's lone start against the Brewers, this season on July 31st at home he had a solid outing giving up only one earned run in seven innings but got no support in a 1-0 Milwaukee loss.

Buehler has not allowed any HR in his last four starts. The Dodgers have won four of Buehler’s last five home starts and have also won four of his last five home starts against a team with a winning record.

MLB Betting Angles

In the last 8 games between these teams in L.A., the Under record is 6-2.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Milwaukee Brewers: 100-68 SU / O/U 80-85 / Run Line W/L 92-76
L.A. Dodgers: 96-73 SU / O/U 78-83 / Run Line W/L 77-92

Milwaukee at Los Angeles MLB Key Betting Trends

  • MIL is 12-1 in their last 13 games
  • MIL is 13-3 in their previous 26 road games
  • MIL has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games
  • LA is 5-0 in their last 5 home games
  • LA is 8-2 in their last 10 home playoff games
  • LA has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 home playoff games

Key Player Injuries

BREWERS

[P] 10/08/2018 - Brent Suter 60-day DL (7/23) ( Forearm )
[C] 06/01/2018 - Stephen Vogt is out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Jimmy Nelson 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )

DODGERS

[P] 10/08/2018 - Erik Goeddel 60-day DL (08/17) ( Elbow )
[P] 09/18/2018 - Daniel Hudson 60-day DL (08/25) ( Forearm )
[P] 09/03/2018 - Brock Stewart 60-day DL (09/03) ( Oblique )
[P] 06/10/2018 - Dennis Santana 60-day DL (06/05) ( Rotator Cuff )
[SS] 05/01/2018 - Corey Seager is out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Tom Koehler 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )

Get more details: Milwaukee at Los Angeles MLB Match-Up

Milwaukee at Los Angeles MLB Prediction 10/15/2018

The Dodgers evened this series at 1-1 in their Game 2 win in Milwaukee and are now back in L.A. Where they have won five straight including their last four playoff games. The Dodgers scored all four of their runs in Game 2 off the Milwaukee bullpen, which had been great so far in the playoffs. Chacin has pitched well in his last few starts but was lit up in L.A. facing the Dodgers in his only outing facing them this season. On the other side of the coin, I expect Buehler will return to the excellent form that saw him rack up four consecutive starts. The line is big, so I'm going to take a shot on the run line in this one.

Free Pick: 
Take the Dodgers -1.5 +135

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