Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros Pick 6/11/19

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros Pick 6/11/19

Darin Zank
Date: June 11, 8:10 pm
Location: Minute Maid Park
TV: SPORTSNET

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Brewers +100 / Astros -110
Total: 8.5

<p>
Division leaders clash when the Brewers and Astros begin a quick two-game interleague series Tuesday night in H-Town. Who do we like here for our <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/free-mlb-picks&quot; title="Free Daily Expert MLB Picks">daily baseball pick</a>?
</p>
<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
Tuesday's MLB betting odds opened Houston at around -145 over Milwaukee, with an over/under of nine runs. Early betting action then deflated that line all the way down to -110 and dipped that total to 8.5.
</p>
<h2>
Brewers vs. Astros Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Milwaukee just swept three games at home from Pittsburgh over the weekend, winning Sunday's series finale 5-2. The Brewers then enjoyed Monday off.
</p>
<p>
Just before that Milwaukee dropped two of three at home to Miami, but just before that the Brewers took three of four from the Pirates in Pittsburgh. So Milwaukee is 2-1 over its last three series and 6-2 over its last eight games.
</p>
<p>
At 38-28 overall the Brewers now lead the NL Central by a half-game over the second-place Cubs.
</p>
<p>
Houston, meanwhile, just took two of three games at home from Baltimore over the weekend, winning Sunday's series rubber match 4-0. The Astros then also had Monday off.
</p>
<p>
Just before that Houston took three of four games in Seattle, and just before that the Astros swept three games in Oakland. In fact, Houston is 10-0-1 over its last 11 series and 27-8 over its previous 35 games.
</p>
<p>
At 45-22 overall the Astros lead the AL West by nine games over second-place Texas.
</p>
<p>
This series is the first meeting between these two teams since 2016 when Milwaukee took two of three games from Houston up at Miller Park.
</p>
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<h2>
Tuesday's Starting Arms<br />
</h2>
<p>
Peacock is 5/11 on quality starts this season, and while he's three for his last six, he's really been outstanding as of late. Last Wednesday he allowed two runs and four hits through five innings of a game the Astros eventually lost to Seattle 14-1. And over his last six starts, he's allowed just five runs and 21 hits through 34 innings.
</p>
<p>
Houston is 8-3 with Peacock this season, 5-1 over his last six starts.
</p>
<p>
This will be Peacock's first-ever start against the Brewers.
</p>
<p>
Peralta is just 2/7 on quality starts this season, but he's coming off his second-best outing so far. Last Thursday he held Miami to one run and four hits through six innings of a 5-1 Milwaukee victory. And over his recent six appearances, three in relief, he's allowed five earned runs and 23 hits through 22 1/3 innings.
</p>
<p>
The Brewers are 3-4 with Peralta this season.
</p>
<p>
This will be Peralta's first-ever start against the Astros.
</p>
<h2>
Tuesday's Batting Splits<br />
</h2>
<p>
Milwaukee is batting .253/.334/.447 against right-handed pitching this season. This lineup has also scored 25 runs over its last four games.
</p>
<p>
Houston is batting .264/.335/.462 against RH pitching this season. But this lineup is operating without three regulars, with Altuve, Springer, and Correa all on the DL.
</p>
<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Brewers bullpen owns a 4.36 ERA this season and a 1.28 WHIP.
</p>
<p>
The Astros pen owns a 3.31 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP, parts of the reasons this unit ranks as one of the top two or three bullpens in Baseball.
</p>
<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Unders are 37-28 in Brewers games this season.
</li>
<li>
Unders are 38-26 in Astros games this season.
</li>
<li>
Overs are 5-2 with Peralta this season.
</li>
<li>
Unders are 5-4 with Peacock this season.
</li>
<li>
Unders are 19-12 in games played at Minute Maid Park this season.
</li>
</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1078183">Milwaukee at Houston MLB Match-up Stats </a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>

Brewers vs. Astros Prediction 6/11/19

Houston owns advantages in the pitching match-up and in the bullpen comparison, so even though they're missing those three key sticks, we still like the Astros for our free MLB pick for Tuesday.  

Free Pick: Take Houston -110
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