Mariners vs. Astros Odds & Free Pick

May 2, 8:10 PM EDT

Betting Odds

SEA +116/ HOU -126
8.5ov -112

The Houston Astros host the Seattle Mariners on Monday, May 2nd at Minute Maid Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 8:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Seattle as the favorite (105), with an OU line set at 8.5.


Seattle: Marco Gonzales (2-2, 3.0)
Houston: Jake Odorizzi (3-1, 2.25)


Seattle Mariners: 12-10-0 SU / OU 11-11-0 / Run Line W/L 14-8-0
Houston Astros: 11-11-0 SU / OU 7-15-0 / Run Line W/L 10-12-0

Mariners Projected Lineup

CF Julio Rodriguez
RF Jarred Kelenic
SS J.P. Crawford
2B Abraham Toro
C Tom Murphy
LF Jesse Winker
3B Eugenio Suárez
2B Adam Frazier
1B Ty France
P Marco Gonzales

Astros Projected Lineup

LF Aledmys Díaz
SS Jeremy Peña
1B Yuli Gurriel
RF Kyle Tucker
C Martín Maldonado
3B Alex Bregman
LF Yordan Alvarez
CF Chas McCormick
LF Michael Brantley
P Jake Odorizzi

Recent Form

The Seattle Mariners will look to pick up another big win after they defeated Miami by a score of 7-3. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 114.0. Through 12 games as the underdog, the team has a win percentage of 42.0%. On offense, Seattle's lineup put together a total of 12 hits, while the pitching staff allowed 3 runs on 10 hits. Together, the Mariners and Miami combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 6.5 runs. With this result, Seattle now has a .500 over-under record at 11-11-0.

The Mariners will be hoping to pick up a win in today's matchup, as they have gone just 1-4 over their last 5 games. In this rough stretch of games, the team's run differential comes in at -2. A key reason for Seattle's recent struggles is an offense averaging just 3.4 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 4.64. Seattle's overall series record is just 3-3-1.

In their last game, the Astros suffered a one run loss to the Toronto by a score of 3-2. This loss came as no surprise, as Houston went into the game as they were the underdog getting 145.0. So far, the team has gone into 15 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 53.0%. For the game, Houston's staff gave up 3 runs on 3 hits, while on offense, Houston came up with 8 hits leading to 2 runs. With this result, the Astros and Toronto combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team's over-under record is just 7-15-0.

In their last 5 games, the Astros have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team's run differential sits at 4. Offensively, Houston's lineup has been steady 4.2 runs per game over their last 5 contests. For the season, the team comes in with a per-game average of 3.73. Houston has a below .500 series record of just 2-4-1.

Pitching Matchup

For the Mariners, Marco Gonzales gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 2-2. To date, Gonzales has an ERA of 3.0, while lasting an average of 6.0 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.233. Despite opposing team's finding success getting on base against Gonzales, he has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing 0.38 home runs per 9 innings. Up to this point, Gonzales has a strikeout percentage of 22.3% and a per 9 average of 8.0. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 0.25 walks per contest.

For the Astros, Jake Odorizzi gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 3-1. Heading into his matchup vs Seattle, Odorizzi has a strong ERA, sitting at just 2.25. This has come while averaging 6.0 innings per appearance. On the season, opposing team's have put together a batting average of 0.179 against Odorizzi. On average, opponents are averaging 0.75 home runs against the right-hander. A strength of Jake Odorizzi's game is his ability to generate swings and misses, striking out batters at a rate of 28.0%. Throughout the season, his strong command has led to an average of just 1.75 walks per contest.

Seattle vs Houston History

So far, the Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners have met up 3 times, with Seattle leading the season series, 2-1. Through 3 games, the series' over-under record is 2-1, with the average run total sitting at 9.37 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 6.33 runs. Dating back to last season, the Houston picked up 11 wins compared to 7, taking the season series. In these 18 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 11-7. Last year, the Astros and Mariners combined to average 9.37 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.79 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
  • Mariners are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.

Mariners vs Astros Prediction 5/2/22

Look for Mariners to pick up the win in this American League matchup, as Seattle's offense has been strong against right-handed pitching, ranking 7th in runs scored per at bat. On the other side, Houston is ranked 26th when facing lefties.

Free Pick: 
Take Seattle +105