Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Game 4 Odds & Pick

October 24, 8:08 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Dodgers -165/Rays +155
LAD -1.5 -110/TB +1.5 -110
8un -108

The Dodgers now lead this 2020 World Series two games to one, after taking Game 3 Friday night, and shoot for a commanding advantage when the teams meet for Game 4 Saturday night on the neutral grounds in Arlington. Los Angeles was the best team in Baseball during the abbreviated regular season, and it's looking like the best team in this World Series, too. How are we playing this game with our free MLB pick?

MLB World Series Betting Odds

Game 4 World Series betting odds opened Los Angeles at around -165 over Tampa Bay, with an over/under of eight runs. Both those figures were holding steady in the early betting action. The Dodgers could also be found "getting" around -105, giving the run and a half on the run line.

World Series Game 4 Betting Preview

Tampa Bay is the designated home team for this Game 4. Los Angeles leads this World Series two games to one after winning Game 3 Friday night 6-2. The Dodgers took the lead for good with a run in the top of the first inning Friday, then added two runs in the third and two in the fourth and cruised home from there for the victory. LA won Game 3 as a -165 favorite on the World Series betting line and, much to our delight, covered against the run line at a price of +115. Also, Game 3 played over its total of 7.5 runs when Tampa's Randy Arozarena bopped a meaningless solo home run with two outs in the bottom of the ninth. With Friday's win, the Dodgers are now 11-4 this postseason, while with the loss, the Rays are now 10-7.

Game 4 Starting Arms

Yarbrough is 3/10 on quality starts this season, 0/1 this postseason, to go along with a couple of appearances in relief. Tuesday night, in Game 1 of this World Series, he pitched two/thirds of an inning, allowing two hits and no runs, in that 8-3 Tampa Bay defeat. And over three appearances this postseason, he's allowed four runs and nine hits, including three home runs, through 10 2/3 innings, with three walks and six strikeouts. On the season, the Rays are 5-5 when Yarbrough starts, 1-0 this postseason. Tuesday was Yarbrough's first-ever action against Los Angeles. Lefty Urias is 5/12 on quality starts this year, 0/1 this postseason. Last Sunday, in that NLCS against Atlanta, he threw three perfect innings, using 39 pitches to get nine outs, in a 4-3 Dodgers victory. And in four appearances this postseason, he's allowed just two runs – one earned – and seven hits through 16 innings, with three walks and 16 strikeouts. LA is 6-5 when Urias starts this season, 1-0 this postseason. In two career appearances vs. Tampa Bay, both last season, Urias threw two innings of scoreless relief, allowing one hit, walking one while whiffing five.

Game 4 Batting Splits

The Dodgers batted .259 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .338 team OBP and a .498 team slugging percentage. Los Angeles has also scored at least five runs eight times over its last 13 games this playoff season. Tampa batted .237/.339/.455 vs. left-handed pitching this season. The Rays have also scored a total of only 39 runs over their last 12 games, and they struck out 13 times Friday night.

The Bullpens

The Tampa Bay bullpen posted a 3.37 ERA this season, along with a 1.19 WHIP and a 3.02 K/BB ratio. Numbers like those helped this unit rank among the top three bullpens in Baseball this year. The Dodgers bullpen put up a 2.74 ERA this season, along with an ML-best 1.04 WHIP and a 3.34 K/BB ratio. Numbers like those helped this unit rank as the best bullpen in Baseball.

MLB Betting Trends

  • The Dodgers played 30-12 against right-handed starters this season, the Majors' second-best record in this split.
  • Tampa played 9-8 vs. left-handed starters this season.

Totals Report

  • Unders are 9-8 in Rays games this postseason.
  • Overs are 9-6 in Dodgers games this postseason.
  • The totals split 14-14 at Globe Life Field during the regular season, but the overs are now 9-4 at GLF this postseason.

Dodgers vs. Rays Game 4 Prediction

We give Urias the check-mark in the pitching match-up, and Los Angeles owns edges in both the bullpen comparison and the splits with the sticks. So we like the Dodgers here, again. Also, while LA is scoring runs – 18 in this Series so far – the Rays are struggling in that department. So we'll take a chance and play the Dodgers against the run line.
Free Pick: 
Take the Dodgers -1.5 (-110)