Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves Odds & Predictions

June 25, 7:15 PM EDT

Betting Odds

LAD +131 / ATL -142
8.5ov -119

The Braves and Dodgers continue their rematch of last year's National League championship series Saturday evening down in Georgia. Lefty Max Fried takes his turn for the defending World Series champs here against young righty Mitch White for Los Angeles.

Who do we like for our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Saturday's baseball betting lines opened Atlanta and Fried at around -160 over Los Angeles and White, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Both those figures were holding steady in the early betting action.

Dodgers-Braves MLB Betting Preview

Los Angeles grabbed the opener of this series Friday night, 4-1. The Dodgers took the lead for good with two runs in the top of the first inning, added two more in the fifth, and hung on from there for their fourth straight victory.

LA won Friday at -120 on the dime line and covered against the run line at a price of +125. Also, Friday's game played under a total of nine runs.

With Friday's win, the Dodgers are 7-2 over their last nine games. At 44-25 overall, Los Angeles leads the NL West by one game over second-place San Diego.

With Friday's loss, Atlanta is 4-2 over its last six games. At 41-31 overall, the Braves trail the first-place Mets by five games in the NL East but also own the No. 2 spot in the NL wild-card standings.

The Dodgers lead the season series with Atlanta three games to one.

Saturday's Pitching Match-Up

Lefty Fried, by our strict standards, is 9/14 on quality starts this season and five for his last six. Monday, he held San Francisco to one run and five hits through seven innings of a 2-1 Atlanta victory. And over his last six starts, he's held opponents to nine runs on 32 hits through 38 2/3 innings, with nine walks against 36 strikeouts.

The Braves are 10-4 with Fried this season, 6-0 his last six times out.

Over his last five starts against the Dodgers, four last season, including two in that NLCS, and one earlier this season, Fried allowed ten runs and 27 hits through 29 2/3 innings. Atlanta won three of those five games, and four of those games played under the total line.

White is back with the Big Club after doing a month down in Triple-A. He is 0/4 on quality starts in the Majors this year, to go along with five appearances in relief, but he's actually been pretty good in the starter role. Most recently, back on June 7, he held the White Sox scoreless on two hits through five innings, with zero walks and five K's, although LA lost that game 4-0. And over his last three starts, he allowed three runs and eight hits through 14 innings.

Los Angeles is 2-2 with White this year, and that's what they should be.

Over two career appearances against the Braves, one last year and one earlier this season, White allowed four runs - three earned - and four hits through 3 1/3 innings.

Splits With the Sticks

Los Angeles is batting .243 against left-handed pitching this season, with a .321 team OBP and a .404 team slugging percentage. The Dodgers have also scored at least seven runs four times over their last six games.

Atlanta is slashing .243/.305/.428 against right-handed pitching.

The Bullpens

The Braves bullpen owns a 3.03 ERA this season, along with a 1.15 WHIP.

The Los Angeles pen owns a 3.36 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP.

MLB Betting Trends

The Dodgers are 24-13 on the road this season and 14-8 against left-handed starters.

The Braves are 23-16 at home and 23-23 against right-handed starters.

Totals Report

  • The Under is 34-28 in Dodgers games this season.
  • The Over is 38-31 in Braves games.
  • The Over is 23-15 at Trust Park this season.

Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction 6/25/22

Fried gets our handicapping check-mark in the pitching match-up, but we wash the splits with the sticks and the bullpen comparison. So when we add it up Atlanta's advantage does not warrant a price of -160. We like the baseball betting value here, with Los Angeles getting the underdog price.

Free Pick: 
Take the Dodgers +131