L.A. Dodgers vs. New York Mets Pick

Date: 
September 15, 7:05 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
Dodgers -145 / Mets +130
Total: 
7.5

In the last game of a three-game series in the ESPN Game of the Week, the New York Mets host the L.A. Dodgers.

The Dodgers won the first game of this series with the Mets winning the 2nd game 3-0. The Mets scored three runs on three hits, and the Dodgers were held scoreless on three hits. New York's Rajai Davis hit a three-run double off Julio Urias with two outs in the 8th inning.

The Dodgers had won two in a row before losing Game 2, and the Mets have won five of their last six games.

This season the Dodgers rank 5th in runs scored and first in team ERA, and the Mets rank 14th in runs scored and 13th in team ERA.

Pitching Match-Up

LA: Walker Buehler (13-3 3.14 ERA)
New York: Zack Wheeler (11-7 4.21 ERA)

The Dodgers have won Buehler's last four starts, and in three of them he gave up no earned runs. In his previous start, he pitched seven scoreless innings and allowed four hits in a 7-3 win over the Baltimore Orioles. His last start he was not sharp giving up six runs, but the lineup saved him in a 16-9 win over the Colorado Rockies. In Buehler’s only start of the season against the Mets at the end of May in L.A., he took a no-decision in giving up five earned runs on seven hits, including two H.R., in five innings in a 9-8 Dodgers win. He has struck out 11 batters in two of his last three starts and this season he has a career-high with 201 strikeouts in 166 1/3 innings.

The Mets have won four of Wheeler's last five starts including his last three where he gave up one earned run in each outing. In his previous start, he gave up one earned run on seven hits in seven innings in a 3-2 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks. In 13 home starts this season he is 6-2 with an ERA of 4.20. This start is Wheeler's first of the season facing the Dodgers. The Mets have won eight of his last ten home starts and five of his last seven home starts against a team with a winning record.

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Betting Angles

  • The Dodgers are 37-17 in their last 54 games against the Mets.
  • The Dodgers are 20-7 in their last 27 road games against the Mets.
  • In the last eight games between these teams, the Over record is 6-2.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

L.A. Dodgers: 96-54 SU / O/U 70-73 / Run Line W/L 72-78

New York Mets: 77-71 SU / O/U 71-62 / Run Line W/L 74-74

Key Betting Trends

  • LA is 3-8 in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record
  • LA is 2-6 in their previous eight road games against a team with a winning record
  • L.A. has an Under record of 5-1-1 in their last seven games
  • NY is 5-1 in their last six home games
  • NY is 14-5 in their previous 19 home games against a right-hand starter
  • N.Y. has an Under record of 7-3-1 in their last ten games against a team with a winning road record

Team Info

The Dodgers are already in the playoffs winning their 7th straight N.L. West title. They have a three-game lead over the Atlanta Braves for the best record in the N.L. and trail the New York Yankees by two games and the Houston Astros by one game for the best record in baseball.

L.A. has the best team ERA in MLB, and in their last six games, they have four wins where they only gave up seven runs while in the two losses, they gave up ten runs.

The Dodgers took two of three games in the other series facing the Mets this season, which was in late May in L.A.

The Mets have won five of their last six games, and they have to keep winning to make the playoffs. They are out of the N.L. East race but three games out of the 2nd Wild Card. New York embarks on a six-game road trip after this game and in their last four remaining series they only face one team with a winning record, and that is hosting the Atlanta Braves in the previous series of the season.

In winning five of their last six games, the Mets pitching has been excellent giving up only four runs. The one loss in that span was the first game of this series losing to the Dodgers 9-2.

Key Injuries

DODGERS

3B Justin Turner and SP Rich Hill are both out for this game with injuries, and there is no timetable on their return.

METS

The Mets have three starting pitchers out for the season with injuries, and 1B Dominic Smith is out for this game and may not come back this season.

Dodgers vs. Mets Prediction 9/15/19

The Mets have to keep up their solid play for their playoff push, and they have a hot pitcher on the mound in Wheeler. Not only has he only given up one earned run in each of his last three starts but in each of them gave up exactly seven hits as well. Buehler has been lights out in three of his previous four starts but was roughed up some in his lone start against the Mets this season. Look for both starters to have good outings and for this to be a pitcher's duel like Game 2 was. Like Game 2 the Mets will come through late and win this game and take the series.
 
Free Pick: 
Take the NY Mets
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