L.A. Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Game 6 Pick - Odds and Betting Predictions

Date: 
October 19, 8:39 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
Dodgers -125 / Brewers +105
Total: 
8

MLB Betting Line

The Dodgers opened this Game 6 as a -130 road favorite with a total of eight runs, and the total has not changed as of Thursday morning, but L.A. is now posted at -125. In the run-line wager for this game, the Brewers are at 160 getting 1.5 runs, and the Dodgers are at +140 giving 1.5 runs.

Set-up

In Game 5 of this series in L.A. on Wednesday the Dodgers took a 3-2 series lead with a 5-2 win over the Brewers. The Dodgers scored five runs on nine hits, and the Brewers scored two runs on five hits. Clayton Kershaw pitched like the Ace he is going seven innings, and he only allowed one earned run on three hits and struck out nine.

The Dodgers have won their last two games of this series and can close it out in Milwaukee. They have only allowed three runs in the previous two games of the series.

The Brewers have their backs against the wall down 3-2 in this series, but they are at home for Game 6 and a possible Game 7. MVP candidate Christian Yelich is only batting .150 in the playoffs and in his last seven post-season games he has no HR and no RBI.

This season the Dodgers rank 5th in runs scored and 2nd in team ERA and the Brewers rank 12th in runs scored and 5th in team ERA.

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Head-To-Head

This season, including this series, the Dodgers have won seven of 12 games facing the Brewers.

Pitching Match-Up

L.A: Hyun-Jin Ryu (7-3 1.97 ERA)
Milwaukee: Wade Miley (5-2 2.57 ERA)

Ryu’s last start was in Game 2 of this series in Milwaukee where he gave up two earned runs on six hits in four 1/3 innings in a 4-3 L.A. win. He was stellar in his first playoff start tossing seven scoreless innings, and in the postseason he has given up two earned runs in 11 1/3 innings. Ryu did not face the Brewers in the regular season. In Ryu’s two playoff starts this season he has not walked a batter and struck out 12.

The Dodgers have won Ryu’s last five starts where he has totaled 30 1/3 innings and only gave up three earned runs. The Dodgers are 4-0 in Ryu’s previous four starts facing a team with a winning record and while they are just 2-11 in his last 11 road starts against a team with a winning record they did win his previous road outing against a winning team in the Game 2 win over Milwaukee.

Miley got the start in Game 5 only facing one batter, who walked, and Brewers manager Craig Counsel said after the game that was the plan all along. He opposed Ryu in Game 2 and had a good outing tossing five 2/3 scoreless innings, and he only allowed two hits, but the bullpen did not do their job in the 4-3 loss. The Brewers had won Miley's previous eight starts before the loss at home in Game 2 of this series. In Miley's only outing facing the Dodgers in the regular season, he was sharp going seven innings and not allowing any earned runs and only allowed two hits in a 1-0 Milwaukee win.

Miley has not allowed a HR in his last 10 starts and in three playoff starts this season he has not allowed any earned runs in 10 1/3 innings. The Brewers are 8-2 in Miley’s last 10 home starts.

Los Angeles at Milwaukee MLB Betting Angles

The Dodgers are 5-3 in their last 8 road games against the Brewers.

The Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 games against the Brewers.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

L.A. Dodgers: 98-74 SU / O/U 78-85 / Run Line W/L 78-94
Milwaukee Brewers: 101-70 SU / O/U 80-87 / Run Line W/L 94-77

Dodgers at Brewers MLB Key Betting Trends

  • LA is 5-2 in their last 7 road games
  • LA is 15-6 in their previous 21 road games against a left-hand starter
  • LA has an Over record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 road games
  • MIL is 5-1 in their last 6 home games against a left-hand starter
  • MIL is 19-7 in their previous 26 games following a loss
  • MIL has an Under record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 games against a left-hand starter

Key Player Injuries

DODGERS

[P] 10/08/2018 - Erik Goeddel 60-day DL (08/17) ( Elbow )
[P] 09/18/2018 - Daniel Hudson 60-day DL (08/25) ( Forearm )
[P] 09/03/2018 - Brock Stewart 60-day DL (09/03) ( Oblique )
[P] 06/10/2018 - Dennis Santana 60-day DL (06/05) ( Rotator Cuff )
[SS] 05/01/2018 - Corey Seager is out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Tom Koehler 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )

BREWERS

[P] 10/17/2018 - Gio Gonzalez is out for season ( Ankle )
[P] 10/08/2018 - Brent Suter 60-day DL (7/23) ( Forearm )
[C] 06/01/2018 - Stephen Vogt is out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Jimmy Nelson 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )

Get more details: Los Angeles at Milwaukee MLB Match-Up

Los Angeles at Milwaukee Prediction 10/19/2018

The Brewers are back home where the split the first two games of this series with the Dodgers. This game has the same pitching matchup as Game 2, and while Miley had the better start, the Dodgers got the win getting to their bullpen. Miley has not given up any earned runs in the playoffs so far, and I expect him to have another good outing in this game. Game 6 will be another low scoring game, but this time the Brewers bullpen will be up to the task to force a Game 7.

Free Pick: 
Take Milwaukee +105

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