L.A. Dodgers vs. Houston Astros World Series Game 4 Odds - Free Pick

Date: 
October 28, 8:00 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
Astros -127 / Dodgers +117
Total: 
8.5

In game 4 of the 2017 World Series the 112-61 L.A. Dodgers will go at it again against the 110-66 Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas tonight. The first pitch of Game 4 at Minute Maid Park is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET.

The MLB betting board at BetOnline lists the host Astros as -127 favorites on the moneyline with the total offered up at 8.5 runs.

In Game 3 or this series yesterday, the scored four runs in the bottom of the second and never were challenged coasting to a Dodgers 5-3 win. In the game the Astros scored their five runs on 12 hits while the Dodgers scored three runs on four hits. It should be noted that the Dodgers have collected a total of just nine hits in their last two games against the Astros pitching.

This season the Dodgers rank 12th in the Majors in runs scored and 2nd in team ERA.

The Astros rank 1st in the Majors in runs scored and 11th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

L.A. Alex Wood (16-3, 2.72 ERA)
Houston: Charlie Morton (14-7, 3.62 ERA)

Alex Wood goes for the Dodgers tonight and his last start was in Game 4 of the NLCS giving up three earned runs in four innings in a 3-2 loss to the Chicago Cubs. That was his only post-season start. Overall, the Dodgers have lost two of Wood’s last three starts where he has given up five earned runs in 10 innings of work. In the start against the Cubs all three runs he gave up came on solo HR’s. This game is just his 2nd appearance in the last 31 days, so he should be fresh for this big game. Overall, the Dodgers have won 18 of Wood’s last 23 starts and they have won eight of his last 11 road starts.

Charlie Morton gets the call for the Astros and his last start was in Game 7 of the ALCS where he went five innings and did not give up any run and only allowed two hits in the 4-0 win over the New York Yankees. The Astros have won two of his three playoff starts this season and he only gave up two earned runs in the wins while giving up seven in the loss. Morton’s last start was the only playoff one at home with his first two coming on the road and he has not lasted past the 5th inning in any of his post-season starts. Overall, the Astros are 5-1 in Morton’s last six starts and they have won his last four home starts.

Betting Angles

The Astros are 5-1 in their last 5 games against the Dodgers.

The Astros are 5-0 in their last 4 home games against the Dodgers.

In the last 7 games between these teams the Under record is 6-1.

In the last 8 games between these teams in Houston the Under record is 7-1.

This season the Astros are 54-33 at home and the Dodgers are 50-35 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

L.A. Dodgers: 112-61 SU / O/U 82-85 / Run Line W/L 90-83
Houston Astros: 110-66 SU / O/U 88-79 / Run Line W/L 91-85

L.A. at Houston Key Betting Trends

  • LAD is 5-2 in their last 7 road games
  • LAD is 10-3 in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record
  • LAD has an Under record of 7-1-1 in their last 9 road games
  • HOU is 7-0 in their last 7 playoff home games
  • HOU is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a left-hand starter
  • HOU has an Under record of 10-4 in their last 14 home games

Key Player Injuries

DODGERS
[LF] 09/30/2017 - O' Koyea Dickson 60-day DL (09/29) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 09/27/2017 - Adrian Gonzalez out for season ( Back )
[P] 09/22/2017 - Josh Ravin 60-day DL (09/18) ( Abdominal )
[P] 07/28/2017 - Grant Dayton 60-day DL (07/28) ( Neck )
[LF] 06/25/2017 - Franklin Gutierrez 60-day DL (06/25) ( Back )
[P] 06/05/2017 - Adam Liberatore 10-day DL (05/31) ( Forearm )
[P] 05/27/2017 - Scott Kazmir 60-day DL (03/30) ( Hip )
[CF] 05/27/2017 - Andrew Toles 60-day DL (05/10) ( ACL )
[P] 03/31/2017 - Yimi Garcia 60-day DL (02/15) ( Elbow )

ASTROS
[P] 10/01/2017 - Brady Rodgers 60-day DL (08/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 10/01/2017 - David Paulino 60-day DL (10/01) ( Elbow )
[CF] 09/14/2017 - Jake Marisnick out indefinitely ( Thumb )
[P] 04/20/2017 - Jandel Gustave 60-day DL (04/19) ( Elbow )

L.A. Dodgers vs. Houston Astros Prediction

The Astros beat the Dodgers 5-3 in Game 3 and they now lead this series 2-1. The loss in Game 3 was only the Dodgers 3rd loss in the post-season and the first time in the playoffs they have lost back to back games. While their pitching had been stellar in the playoffs they have given up 12 runs in their last two games. The Astros have won the last two games of this series and they are undefeated at home in the playoffs. In the last two games Houston has outscored L.A. 12-9. Alex Wood only has one playoff start and it was not a great one. I don't think he'll rebound here tonight, but I expect that the Dodgers lineup will give him run support. Morton was light’s out in his last start, but something tells me the Dodgers will get to him in this game. The L.A. lineup will be the difference maker in this game, as they will get the win to even the series at two games apiece. This is strictly a feel play. 

Free Pick: 
Take the Dodgers +117

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