L.A. Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves NLDS Game 3 Pick - Odds and Betting Predictions

Date: 
October 7, 8:07 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
Dodgers -175 / Braves +155
Total: 
8

MLB Betting Line

The Dodgers opened as big road betting favorites at -175 with a total of eight runs, and as of Sunday morning, those lines have held steady. The run-line wagering lines for this NLDS game list the Dodgers at -115 giving the 1.5 runs and the Braves are posted at -105 getting 1.5 runs.

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Dodgers at Braves MLB Game Setup

In Game 2 of this series, the Dodgers shut out the Braves for the 2nd straight game-winning 3-0. The Dodgers scored three runs on five hits, and the Braves were held scoreless on three hits.

The Braves are down 2-0 in this series where they have failed to score a single run. Atlanta has lost six of their last eight games including their last four where they only scored one run. The Braves amassed just nine hits in the first two games going 0 for 6 with runners in scoring position.

The Dodgers are up 2-0 in this series because of their solid pitching and in Game 2 Ace Clayton Kershaw only allowed two hits. Overall, the Dodgers are in the midst of a six-game winning streak, and they have shutout wins in three of their last four games. In the Game 2 win, they became the first team since the 1921 New York Yankees to begin the playoffs with two straight shutouts.

This season the Braves rank tied for 10th in runs scored and 7th in team ERA and the Dodgers rank 5th in runs scored and 2nd in team ERA.

Head-To-Head

This season the Dodgers have won seven of nine games against the Braves. Overall, the Dodgers have won 27 of their last 37 games facing the Braves and have won four of their previous five games facing them in Atlanta.

Pitching Match-Up

L.A.: Walker Buehler (8-5 2.62 ERA)
Atlanta: Sean Newcomb (12-9 3.90 ERA)

Buehler's last start was in the NL West tiebreaker game, and he had a gem tossing six 2/3 scoreless innings and only allowing one hit in a 5-2 win over the Colorado Rockies. The Dodgers have won three of his last four starts, and in the three wins he totaled 20 2/3 innings and did not give up any earned runs. Even in the one loss in Buehler’s last four starts he only gave up two earned runs. In Buehler's last 12 starts he has an ERA of just 1.55 and has 87 strikeouts in 75 1/3 innings of work.

In Buehler’s lone start against the Braves this season on June 8th at home Buehler gave up one earned run on two hits in five 1/3 innings in a 7-3 L.A. win. The Dodgers are 5-2 in Buehler's last seven starts, and they have won seven of his last 10 starts after a Quality Appearance in his previous outing.

The Braves had planned to start Kevin Gausman in this game, but the Dodgers had had success in the series facing right-handers, so lefty Newcomb gets the call. His last appearance was in Game 1 of this series out of the bullpen where he pitched two innings and did not allow any earned runs and only allowed one hit. Newcomb's last two appearances have come in relief where he has gone two 2/3 innings and not given up any earned runs. In Newcomb's last start he pitched well not giving up any earned runs, and he only allowed one hit, but the bullpen let him down in a 3-0 loss to the New York Mets.

After getting lit up for five earned runs in five 1/3 innings in L.A. in Newcomb's first start against the Dodgers this season in a Braves loss, he was stellar in his next start facing them in Atlanta going eight 2/3 innings and only allowing one earned run on one hit in a 4-1 Braves win. Previous to Newcomb’s last start he had given up at least five earned runs in four of seven outings. The Braves have lost four of Newcomb's previous five starts, and they have lost his last four home starts.

Dodgers at Braves MLB Betting Angles

The Dodgers are 27-10 in their last 37 games against the Braves.

The Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games against the Braves.

In the last 5 games between these teams, the total has gone Under every time.

In the last 9 Games between these teams in Atlanta, the Under record is 6-2-1.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Atlanta Braves: 94-71 SU / O/U 76-82 / Run Line W/L 76-89
L.A. Dodgers: 90-74 SU / O/U 78-81 / Run Line W/L 82-82

Los Angeles at Atlanta MLB Key Betting Trends

  • LA is 6-0 in their last 6 games
  • LA is 8-3 in their last 11 road games
  • LA has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games against a left-hand starter
  • ATL is 0-4 in their last 4 games
  • ATL is 5-0 in their last 5 home games
  • ATL has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 games

Key Player Injuries

DODGERS

[P] 09/18/2018 - Daniel Hudson 60-day DL (08/25) ( Forearm )
[P] 09/03/2018 - Brock Stewart 60-day DL (09/03) ( Oblique )
[P] 08/18/2018 - Erik Goeddel 60-day DL (08/17) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/10/2018 - Dennis Santana 60-day DL (06/05) ( Rotator Cuff )
[SS] 05/01/2018 - Corey Seager is out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Julio Urias 60-day DL (02/23) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Tom Koehler 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )

BRAVES

[SS] 10/02/2018 - Dansby Swanson is out indefinitely ( Hand )
[P] 09/15/2018 - Luiz Gohara 60-day DL (09/14) ( Shoulder )
[P] 08/08/2018 - Max Fried 10-day DL (08/08) ( Groin )
[P] 07/31/2018 - Peter Moylan 60-day DL (07/31) ( Ribs )
[P] 06/28/2018 - Brandon McCarthy 10-day DL (06/28) ( Knee )
[P] 06/27/2018 - Darren O'Day 60-day DL (06/27) ( Hamstring )
[P] 06/22/2018 - Jose Ramirez 60-day DL (04/18) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/22/2018 - Michael Soroka 60-day DL (06/20) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Jacob Lindgren 60-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Chase Whitley 10-day DL (03/26) ( Heel )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Grant Dayton 60-day DL (02/14) ( Elbow )

Get more details: Los Angeles at Atlanta MLB Match-Up

LA at Atlanta NLDS Prediction 10/07/2018

The Braves have their backs against the wall, and while they have lost their last four games, overall, they have won their last five home games. Still, they go with Newcomb in this game and Atlanta has lost his previous four home starts. The Braves decided to start Newcomb because he is a lefty, but the Dodgers have won 35 of their last 52 road games facing a left-hand starter. Buehler was lights out in his last start in the NL West tiebreaker game, and he has not given up any earned runs in three of his previous four starts. Still, taking the Braves in this one at home. Newcomb has not given up any earned runs in his last three appearances, including one start, where he totaled seven 2/3 innings, and he also flirted with a no-hitter the last time he faced the Dodgers. I expect him to have a solid outing in this game and the Braves may not light up Buehler but should get enough to get their first win.

Free Pick: 
Take the Atlanta Braves +155

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