Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox ALCS Game 2 Pick - Odds and Betting Predictions

Date: 
October 14, 7:09 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
OFF
Total: 
OFF

MLB Betting Line

There is no line for this game at the time of writing.

Astros at Red Sox Set-up

The Astros took a 1-0 lead in this ALCS and also gained the home-field advantage in the series with a 7-2 Game 1 win over the Red Sox. The Astros only had a one-run lead but scored four runs in the 9th inning to break it open. In the game, Houston scored seven runs on five hits, and the Red Sox scored two runs on only three hits.

The Astros have won all four of their playoff games this season and, overall, they have won seven of their last eight games. In their four playoff games, their pitching has been solid only giving up a total of eight runs.

The Red Sox had won two in a row only giving up a total of four runs before losing Game 1 of this series giving up seven runs. In the Game 1 loss, Boston used six pitchers and the one who worked the least had the worst outing in reliever Brandon Workman, who only worked 1/3rd of an inning and gave up four earned runs.

This season the Astros rank 6th in runs scored and 1st in team ERA and the Red Sox rank 1st in runs scored and 8th in team ERA.

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Head-To-Head

This season the Astros won five of eight games against the Red Sox. Overall, the Astros have won nine of their 13 games against the Red Sox and are 5-1 in their last six games facing them in Boston.

Pitching Match-Up

Houston: Gerrit Cole (15-5 2.88 ERA)
Boston: David Price (16-7 3.58 ERA)

Cole’s last start was in Game 2 of the ALDS where he had a good one going seven innings and only allowing one earned run on three hits in a 3-1 win over the Cleveland Indians. The Astros have won his last seven starts where he just gave up more than three earned runs once, and he has given up one earned run in each of his previous two outings. Houston won both of Cole's starts against the Red Sox this season with the last coming on September 7th in Boston where he gave up two earned runs in six innings in a 6-3 Astros win.

This is the first League Championship Series of Cole's career. The Astros are 12-5 in Cole's last 17 road starts, and they are 4-1 in his previous five starts facing a team with a winning record.

Price's last start was in Game 2 of the ALDS, and one he would like to forget giving up three earned runs on three hits two of which were HR, in only one 2/3 innings in a 6-2 loss to the New York Yankees. The Red Sox have lost two of his last three starts, and in that span, he has given up 10 earned runs in 12 innings of work. Price has had issues keeping the ball in the park, as in his last three starts he has given up seven HR.

The Red Sox won Price's first start against the Astros this season, but in his last one he opposed Cole and gave up two earned runs in six 1/3 innings in the 6-3 Boston loss. In 10 career playoff starts Price is 0-9 with an ERA of 6.03. The Red Sox are 20-6 in Price's last 26 home starts, and they are 7-2 in his previous nine home starts facing a team with a winning record.

Houston at Boston MLB Betting Angles

The Astros are 9-4 in their last 13 games against the Red Sox.

The Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 road games against the Red Sox.

In the last 51 games between these teams, the Over record is 34-16-1.

In the last 19 games between these teams in Boston, the Over record is 14-5.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Houston Astros: 107-59 SU / O/U 72-85 / Run Line W/L 87-79
Boston Red Sox: 111-56 SU / O/U 80-78 / Run Line W/L 94-73

Houston at Boston MLB Key Betting Trends

  • HOU is 12-3 in their last 15 games against a left-hand starter
  • HOU is 40-13 in their previous 53 road games
  • HOU has an Under record of 7-2 in their last 9 road games
  • BOS is 45-19 in their last 64 home games
  • BOS is 7-1 in their last 8 games after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game
  • BOS has an Over record of 12-3-1 in their last 16 games

Key Player Injuries

ASTROS

[LF] 05/21/2018 - Derek Fisher 10-day DL (05/20) ( Intestinal )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Brady Rodgers 10-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Jandel Gustave 60-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )

RED SOX

[P] 10/07/2018 - Steven Wright is out indefinitely ( Knee )
[P] 09/27/2018 - Tyler Thornburg is out for season ( Shoulder )
[2B] 06/02/2018 - Dustin Pedroia 60-day DL (05/30); is out for season ( Knee )
[P] 05/15/2018 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (05/15) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Austin Maddox 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 03/26/2018 - Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )

Get more details: Houston at Boston MLB Match-Up

Houston at Boston MLB Prediction 10/14/2018

The Boston bullpen blew up in the loss to the Astros in Game 1 of this series giving up five of the seven runs. Don’t count on them taking the ball with a lead in this game with Price on the mound. He has not pitched well in the playoffs in his career and was not sharp in his last outing in the ALDS giving up three earned runs and failing to make it out of the 2nd inning. Price will be facing a Houston lineup that has scored 28 runs in their four playoff games. The Astros are rolling, and the defending World Series champions have outscored their opponents 28-8 in their four playoff wins. Cole was solid in his last start in the ALDS, and he will have another good outing in this game. The same cannot be said about Price, who I expect will be hit hard based on his playoff history. The Astros will win Game 2 and head back to Houston with a 2-0 lead in this series.

Free Pick: 
Take the Astros

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