Houston Astros at L.A. Dodgers World Series Game 7 Odds - Free Pick

Date: 
November 1, 8:20 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
Dodgers -160 / Astros +150
Total: 
7.5

For the 2nd straight season and for the 3rd time in the last four championships the World Series will be going to Game 7.

In Game 7 of the World Series the 111-68 Houston Astros and the 114-62 L.A. Dodgers will battle it out on the field of Dodger Stadium Los Angeles, California tonight to decide the 2017 MLB championship. The first pitch at Dodgers Stadium is scheduled for 8:20 PM ET.

The MLB betting board at 5Dimes has the host Dodgers as large -160 money line favorites over the visiting Astros (+150). The total line is offered up at 7.5, but under bettors will have to pay -110 for this wager.

In Game 6 of this series yesterday, the Dodgers got two runs in the 6th and an insurance home run by Joc Pederson in 7th to lead them to a 3-1 victory over the Astros. Overall in the game, the Dodgers scored three runs on five hits and the Astros scored one run on six hits. Houston starter Justin Verlander was solid again going six innings and striking out 9, but he allowed two runs with just one run of support to take the loss. Rich Hill gave Los Angeles 4 2/3 of one run ball and they bullpen was near flawless going 4 1/3 innings allowing two hits and one walk.

This season the Astros rank 1st in the Majors in runs scored and 11th in team ERA.

The Dodgers rank 12th in the Majors in runs scored and 2nd in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

Houston: Lance McCullers Jr. (7-4 4.25 ERA)
L.A. Yu Darvish (10-12 3.86 ERA)

Lance McCullers Jr. goes for the Astros in Game 7. He started Game 3 of this series and pitched adequately going five innings and giving up three earned runs and getting the win in the 5-3 victory. In this post-season, McCullers is 1-0 with an ERA of 2.95 in the post season this year in four appearances covering two starts and two relief appearances.

Yu Darvish takes the mound for the Dodgers tonight, making this a repeat of the World Series Game 3 matchup. Darvish was chased out of that game in the 2nd inning after allowing four runs on six hits including one long ball. The Dodgers had won his other two playoff starts where he totaled 11 innings of work giving up just two earned runs. All three of Darvish’s starts in the playoffs have been on the road, but he hasn’t been all that at home. In four starts at Dodger Stadium over 22 1/3 innings he has a won/loss record of 1-2 with a bloated 4.84 ERA. The key stat may be that he has allowed 5 HRs in those games.

Betting Angles

The Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 home games against the Astros.

In the last 10 games between these teams the Under record is 7-2-1.

This season the Dodgers are 63-25 at home and the Astros are 55-34 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Houston Astros: 111-68 SU / O/U 89-80 / Run Line W/L 92-87
L.A. Dodgers: 114-62 SU / O/U 83-86 / Run Line W/L 91-85

Houston at L.A. Key Betting Trends

  • HOU is 1-5 in their last 6 playoff road games
  • HOU is 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter
  • HOU has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter
  • LAD is 6-1 in their last 7 playoff home games
  • LAD is 60-18 in their last 78 games following a win
  • LAD has an Under record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 playoff home games

Key Player Injuries

ASTROS
[P] 10/01/2017 - Brady Rodgers 60-day DL (08/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 10/01/2017 - David Paulino 60-day DL (10/01) ( Elbow )
[CF] 09/14/2017 - Jake Marisnick out indefinitely ( Thumb )
[P] 04/20/2017 - Jandel Gustave 60-day DL (04/19) ( Elbow )

DODGERS
[LF] 09/30/2017 - O' Koyea Dickson 60-day DL (09/29) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 09/27/2017 - Adrian Gonzalez out for season ( Back )
[P] 09/22/2017 - Josh Ravin 60-day DL (09/18) ( Abdominal )
[P] 07/28/2017 - Grant Dayton 60-day DL (07/28) ( Neck )
[LF] 06/25/2017 - Franklin Gutierrez 60-day DL (06/25) ( Back )
[P] 06/05/2017 - Adam Liberatore 10-day DL (05/31) ( Forearm )
[P] 05/27/2017 - Scott Kazmir 60-day DL (03/30) ( Hip )
[CF] 05/27/2017 - Andrew Toles 60-day DL (05/10) ( ACL )
[P] 03/31/2017 - Yimi Garcia 60-day DL (02/15) ( Elbow )

Houston Astros vs. L.A. Dodgers World Series Game 7 Prediction

The Astros have just two road wins in the playoffs, but one did come in this series in Game 2. The Dodgers’ bullpen came up big in the Game 6 victory last night as mentioned previously, but they did use four relievers, including closer Kenley Jensen who pitched two frames. That may turn out to be a problem tonight. Darvish hasn’t lasted more than 6 1/3 in his last three starts and has completed 7 innings just twice in his last 8 starts. Astros starter McCullers hasn’t been sharp on the road this season with a 4.89 ERA and registering a 33.3 quality start percentage. We do get an UNDER umpire behind home plate, but I feel that there are enough angles to predict tonight’s game surpassing the 7.5 runs.

Free Pick: 
Take the OVER 7.5 +100 (CK).

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