Houston Astros at L.A. Dodgers World Series Game 6 Odds - Free Pick
In Game 6 of the 2017 World Series the 113-62 L.A. Dodgers find themselves in a “must-win” situation against the 111-67 Houston Astros who hold a 3-2 edge in the series. Tuesday October 31st. The first pitch at Dodgers Stadium in Los Angeles is scheduled for 8:20 PM ET on October 31, 2017.
The MLB betting board lists the Dodgers as a -114 moneyline favorite to extend the series. The total line is offered up at 7.5 runs.
In the 5th game of this series, the Astros outlasted the Dodgers 13-12 in 10 innings. In the game Los Angeles got three runs in the top of the ninth to send it to extra innings. Overall, I the match, the Astros scored 13 runs on 14 hits while the Dodgers scored 12 runs also on 14 hits.
This season the Astros rank 1st in the Majors in runs scored and 11th in team ERA.
The Dodgers rank 12th in the Majors in runs scored and 2nd in team ERA.
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Pitching Match Up
Houston: Justin Verlander (15-8 3.36 ERA)
L.A. Rich Hill (12-8 3.32 ERA)
Justin Verlander goes for the Astros in this game 6 and his last start was in Game 2 of this series where he went six innings and gave up three earned runs off two HR in a 7-6 Houston win. Verlander has five post-season appearances this season, including four starts, where the Astros are 5-0 and he has lasted 30 innings and given up seven earned runs.. Since he came over in a trade with the Detroit Tigers the Astros have not lost one of his starts where he has only given up more than two earned runs once and that was in the Game 2 win in this series. Verlander’s only road start was in the playoffs was in Game 2 of this series with his other appearance coming out of the bullpen.
Rich Hill gets the nod for the Dodgers in this elimination game and he opposed Verlander in Game 2 going four innings and giving up one earned run on three hits in the 7-6 L.A. loss. The Dodgers had won his previous two post-season starts where he had gone nine innings and given up three earned runs. Before Hill’s last start the Dodgers had won five of Hill’s previous five starts and he has not given up more than two earned runs in any of his last eight outings. Overall, the Dodgers have won five of Hill’s last six starts and they have won four of his last five home starts.
The Astros are 6-2 in their last 8 games against the Dodgers.
The Dodgers are 7-2 in their last 9 games against the Astros.
In the last 9 games between these teams the Under record is 6-2-1.
This season the Dodgers are 62-25 at home and the Astros are 55-33 on the road.
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records
Houston Astros: 111-67 SU / O/U 89-79 / Run Line W/L 92-86
L.A. Dodgers: 113-62 SU / O/U 83-85 / Run Line W/L 91-84
Houston at L.A. Key Betting Trends
- HOU is 5-2 in their last 7 playoff games
- HOU is 1-4 in their last 5 road games
- HOU has an Over record of 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter
- LA is 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss
- LA is 5-1 in their last 6 playoff home games
- LA has an Under record of 6-2-1 in their last 9 home games
Key Player Injuries
[P] 10/01/2017 - Brady Rodgers 60-day DL (08/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 10/01/2017 - David Paulino 60-day DL (10/01) ( Elbow )
[CF] 09/14/2017 - Jake Marisnick out indefinitely ( Thumb )
[P] 04/20/2017 - Jandel Gustave 60-day DL (04/19) ( Elbow )
[LF] 09/30/2017 - O' Koyea Dickson 60-day DL (09/29) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 09/27/2017 - Adrian Gonzalez out for season ( Back )
[P] 09/22/2017 - Josh Ravin 60-day DL (09/18) ( Abdominal )
[P] 07/28/2017 - Grant Dayton 60-day DL (07/28) ( Neck )
[LF] 06/25/2017 - Franklin Gutierrez 60-day DL (06/25) ( Back )
[P] 06/05/2017 - Adam Liberatore 10-day DL (05/31) ( Forearm )
[P] 05/27/2017 - Scott Kazmir 60-day DL (03/30) ( Hip )
[CF] 05/27/2017 - Andrew Toles 60-day DL (05/10) ( ACL )
[P] 03/31/2017 - Yimi Garcia 60-day DL (02/15) ( Elbow )
Houston Astros vs. L.A. Dodgers Prediction
With the Astros Game 5 win they are one win away from their very first World Series title. They won two of their three games at home in this series where they pounded out a combined 18 runs in the two wins but only two runs in the loss. Houston had lost four straight playoff road games prior to winning Game 2 of this series in L.A. Verlander has been fantastic in the post season and I’ll back him to put an end to the series in Game 6.
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