Houston Astros at Atlanta Braves Game 3 Odds & Free Pick
After splitting the first two games of this World Series in Houston, the teams move to Atlanta for the next three, beginning with Game 3 Friday night. The Astros began this Series as -140 favorites to win it, with the Braves getting +120 as the underdogs. Now, with home-field advantage in possession of Atlanta, the Braves are getting +110, with Houston chalked at -130.
Ian Anderson hits the hill for the home team here against Luis Garcia for the visitors. Who do we like for our free World Series betting pick?
World Series Game 3 Betting Odds
The World Series betting lines opened Atlanta as a -110 favorite for Game 3, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Early betting action then bumped the Braves a nickel, to -115.
Game 3 World Series Betting Preview
Atlanta grabbed the opener of this World Series Tuesday 6-2, but Houston took Game 2 Wednesday 7-2. The Braves won Game 1 as +115 underdogs on the World Series betting line, while the Astros won Game 2 as -120 favorites.
Also, Game 1 played under a total of 8.5 while Game 2 pushed a total of nine.
With Wednesday's win, Houston is 8-4 this postseason.
With Wednesday's loss, Atlanta is also 8-4 this postseason.
During the regular season, the Astros finished seven wins better than the Braves, 95 to 88, but Atlanta finished hotter, going 12-2 down the deep stretch.
Game 3 Pitching Match-Up
Anderson is making his fourth start of this postseason. First, he held Milwaukee scoreless through five innings of a 3-0 Atlanta victory; then he gave up two runs in three innings of a 5-4 Braves win over the Dodgers; then last Saturday, he held Los Angeles to one run through four frames of that NLCS-clinching 4-2 Atlanta win. So through 12 innings this postseason, Anderson has allowed three runs and nine hits, with four walks and 12 strikeouts.
The Braves played 13-11 with Anderson during the regular season, and they're 3-0 with him in these playoffs.
This will be Anderson’s first career start against Houston.
Garcia is also making his fourth start of these playoffs. First, he gave up five runs in just 2 2/3 innings of a 12-6 Astros loss to the White Sox; then, he got clipped for five runs in just one-plus inning of a 9-5 Houston loss to Boston. But one week ago, in the ALCS clincher, he held the Red Sox scoreless on one hit through 5 2/3 innings of a 5-0 Astros win.
Houston played 16-12 with Garcia during the regular season, and it's 1-2 with him this postseason.
This will be Garcia’s first career start against Atlanta.
Splits With the Sticks
Houston batted .266 against right-handed pitching this season, which ranked No. 1 in Baseball in that split, with a .339 team OBP, which also ranked No. 1, and a .442 team slugging percentage, which ranked No. 5. The Astros have also scored 76 runs in 12 games this postseason.
Atlanta batted .245 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .321 team OBP and a .440 team slugging percentage. The Braves have also scored a total of 48 runs in 12 games this postseason.
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The Atlanta bullpen posted a 3.97 ERA this season, along with a 1.32 WHIP and a 2.47 K/BB ratio. So far, this postseason, Braves relievers have allowed 20 runs and 45 hits through 52 2/3 innings of work.
This season, the Houston bullpen posted a 4.06 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a 2.47 K/BB ratio. So far this postseason, Astros relievers have allowed 20 runs and 49 hits through 61 innings.
- Get more details: Astros va. Braves 10/29/21 Match-up Stats
MLB Betting Trends
Houston played 44-37 on the road this season.
Atlanta played 42-38 at home.
Houston played 61-39 vs. right-handed starters this season.
Atlanta played 65-55 against RH starters.
Overs played 86-68 in Astros games this season.
The Under was 75-74 in Braves games this season.
Overs played 40-31 at Truist Park this season.
Braves vs. Astros Predictions
We give Anderson a slight edge in the pitching match-up, but Houston owns the best line-up in the Majors against right-handed pitching. The Astros bullpen has also been pretty good this post-season, and Houston's getting an underdog price. So we like the Astros to take this Game 3.