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The Rays starter Drew Smiley hasn't had his best stuff as of late with zero quality starts in his last three starts. He has one career start against the Tigers and the line-up has just 37 at bats against with moderate success. Rookie Michael Fulmer will be making his fifth MLB start and first at home and he could improve, but he hasn't shown much so far and it could be argued that his last outing was his worst. Both teams' hitters are tearing the cover off the ball, but the visitor has faced on paper superior pitching during their streak and that's where I'm going to side in this event.
The Mariners' batters were ice-cold against the Angels in their latest, but were swinging the bats well before that scoring five or more runs in five consecutive games. The Orioles' starter Ubaldo Jimenez comes into this game with a 2-1 record at home and a 4.55 ERA (1.72 WHIP) in five starts and hasn't overpowered the current Seattle batters in the past. Baltimore has also been doing their share of scoring with their offense putting up at least five runs on the board in seven of their last eight games. Seattle's named starter Wade Miley carries a 5.48 road ERA into this game and has just one quality start in four outings on the road this season.
The Dodgers are in an excellent position to take the early edge in this series with Kershaw on the mound as heavy home favorites, but given Hammels' recent form it sets up a "best bet" play on the UNDER in this game in spite of a low total line of 6.