Expert Baseball Picks
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After a lousy start to this season, Sale is coming around very nicely. Meanwhile, Houston is having a bit of problem scoring runs as of late. We're betting Boston for our free MLB pick for Friday.
We're a bit puzzled why the line on this game got steamed so far toward Tampa Bay. Yea, Plutko isn't great, but both teams are a bit iffy with the sticks at the moment, and both bullpens are pretty good. We see betting value here with the home dog, so we're going with Cleveland for our free MLB pick for Thursday.
Perez, despite his performance against Los Angeles last season, gets the check-mark in this pitching match-up, and Minnesota owns a significant edge in the splits with the sticks. We're taking the Twins to complete the sweep for our free MLB pick for Wednesday.
Greinke owns the edge in the pitching match-up, and the Diamondbacks holds the advantage in the batting splits. So we're going with Arizona for our free MLB pick for Tuesday.
Monday's pitching match-up looks like about a push, and while Chicago might own a slight edge with the sticks Philly might own a slight edge in the bullpen comparison. So with those factors basically balancing out, we see betting value here with Philadelphia at the underdog price.
Minnesota is hot, Seattle is not, and that's all we need to know for this game. We're taking the Twins for our free MLB pick for Sunday.
Based on the recent track records against Saturday's opponents we'll give Atlanta a short edge in the pitching match-up here, and a short edge with the sticks. So we're betting the Braves with our free MLB pick for Saturday.
Philly and Nola get the check-mark in the pitching match-up, but other things being equal we believe the line on this game to be a bit too much. So we see betting value with Milwaukee in the underdog role in this spot.
The Reds starter Tyler Mahle has pitched well enough overall this season and his current form is good, but he has two key stats going against him. He's struggled in day games this season with a 5.62 ERA, and in a small sample size, the current Giants roster has hit .556 in nine at-bats. Lefty Baumgarner has shown signs in his last two allowing four earned runs, striking out 16, but he did get taken out of the park two times. The long ball has been the problem for him this season with seven in eight games. Cincinnati is one of the better long ball clubs sitting in the seventh spot with 57 on the year. We have two teams hitting over their season average in recent games, trends supporting the OVER and the wind blowing out. The only negative is the home plate umpire who historically favors UNDERs, but I think the low line evens that out.
Washington and Scherzer may own the edge in the pitching match-up for this game, but LA holds the advantages with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. And the bullpens may very well play a big part tonight. We'll take the Dodgers for our free MLB pick for Saturday.
This match-up looks very even on paper, from the starting pitchers to the batting splits to the bullpens. But the line on this game leans a way too heavily toward Tampa, so we see betting value here with New York. And we never mind going against the betting flow.
Minnesota is playing good ball as of late, Toronto, not so much. And the Jays are having a tough time scoring runs. We're taking the Twins for our free MLB pick for Wednesday.
We'll give Milwaukee and Gonzalez a short edge in this pitching match-up, and although New York might own a short edge in the splits with the sticks, the Brewers own an advantage in the bullpen comparison. So we're going with Milwaukee, the home team at a short price, for our free MLB pick for Saturday.
Los Angeles gets the check-mark in two of our three main baseball handicapping factors. Also, San Diego just won a game in Atlanta Thursday, then flew cross-country for this game, and that can't be easy. So we like the Dodgers here, and we'll take a chance and chase the better price in giving the run and a half against the run line.
Both these teams have run hot-and-cold this season; at the moment Milwaukee is trending the right direction, Colorado, not so much. And when betting baseball momentum can be everything. We'll take the Brewers here for our free MLB pick for Wednesday.
Chicago is playing the better ball as of late, and Hamels gets the check-mark in the pitching match-up. So we're betting the Cubs Tuesday night. And we like chasing the better price with visiting favorites against the run line, so we'll give the run and a half at +110.
This game sets up as a double play on the MLB streak betting theory, and while we don't always abide by it, we're playing it here. And knowing Los Angeles will bat nine times we'll take a chance and bet the Dodgers against the run line.