Expert Baseball Picks
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The Indians come into this game hotter winners of four in a row, and they took two of three games recently from the Twins and are still home underdogs. I think they have great value in this one, especially with Civale on the hill and he pitched better than Odorizzi when they recently faced each other even though the Twins won. Civale will have the better outing again in this game but this time around the Indians will get the win and put pressure on the Twins in the race for the AL Central title.
The Red Sox are slumping at the wrong time, as their playoff hopes are, pretty much, out the window and to make things worse they recently fired their manager. They have struggled at the plate and on the mound, and they start Chacin, who was pretty bad for the Brewers this season but has been solid in the two relief appearances since joining Boston. Buchholz has not been bad since a long stint on the DL, and he will have a good outing in this game, and it helps to face the struggling Boston lineup. The Blue Jays will get to Chacin in his first start for the Sox and Toronto will get the win and complete the series sweep.
Matz was not sharp in his only start against the D-Backs this season, but he has been in top form in his last several starts. On the other side of the coin Ray, who has not faced the Mets this season, has been dominant against the Mets in his career and while Arizona has won his last two starts, he gave up seven earned runs in those starts. This game will be very similar to the first two in close and low scoring affairs. Just like in those games the Mets will come out on top in this game, as Matz will have the better outing. The Mets will win again and go for the sweep of the series on Thursday.
Both teams have been playing well as of late, especially the Rays. They have been led by their pitching on the season, and in their five-game win streak, they have only allowed ten runs. Yarbrough has not had the best last two starts, but Tampa has won seven of his previous eight starts. Like his last two starts he will get some help from the lineup, which will get to Lynn for a few runs early. Lynn will not have a bad outing, but not a good one either. The Rays will not light it up at the dish but have a pretty good game there and add that with a solid start from Yarbrough, and you get a Rays win in Game 1 of this series.
The Phillies have won all four of Nola’s starts against the Braves where he was great in two of them, but the lineup bailed him out in the two others. Foltynewicz has pitched well as of late in his audition to get into the Atlanta playoff rotation, and he will have another solid outing in this game. There will not be much offense in this game, as both starters will pitch well. The Braves will come up with a few runs, and in a low scoring game, they will win Game 1 in a low scoring affair.
The Cardinals have been hot for a few weeks, and they swept the Pirates the last time facing them in Pittsburgh. They have hit Musgrove hard this season, as in four starts against St. Louis he is 0-4 with an ERA of 10.00. Mikolas gave up five earned runs in his last start against the Pittsburgh, but the has two straight quality starts since then. He will have a good outing in this game while Musgrove will not. The Cardinals have had the Pirates number in their house winning 10 of their last 11 games facing them in Pittsburgh, and that will continue with them winning Game 1 of this division series.
These teams met in the series before their last one in Chicago where the Brewers took the previous two games after losing the first one. The Brewers lone loss in the last series with the Cubs has the pitching matchup for this game, and in that Milwaukee loss, Anderson was lit up while Quintana had a great outing. I look for the same to happen in this game. Anderson has given up 15 earned runs in each of his last two road starts, and the Chicago lineup will get to him early and often in this game. Quintana will have his 2nd straight quality start, and the Cubs will take this game on the road where they are the betting favorite.
The Twins come into this game as the much hotter team, and they have been great on their current road trip. Both starters were pretty good in their last outing, and I look for Berrios to have the better one in this game for his 2nd great start against Boston this season. While these are two of the three highest-scoring teams in MLB, I see a pitching duel in this game and with Berrios have the better outing the Twins will take this game and go for the series sweep on Thursday.
Great pitching matchup in this game with 2017 Cy Young winner Scherzer going up against deGrom, who won the award last season. The Mets have won deGrom's previous seven starts facing the Nats in Washington and his only start there this season was his debut where he tossed five scoreless innings in a 2-0 win. He last faced them August 11th at home where he went five innings in a 7-4 loss, and while he gave up three runs, none of them were earned. The Mets have only scored two runs in deGrom's last two starts. Scherzer has been solid since coming off the DL, but he will likely have another short start, and that is a concern since Washington ranks 2nd to last in MLB in bullpen ERA. I think deGrom will have the better of outings between the Cy Young winners and lead the Mets to a win in what will be a very low scoring pitcher’s duel.
The Diamondbacks are the team chasing a playoff spot and recently won six in a row, and the Padres have won two straight and three of their last four games. Quantrill was lit up in his previous start while solid in his few before that while Leake had a good previous outing while struggling in his last three outings. I think Quantrill will have the better start in this one while the San Diego lineup will get to Leake early and often. The Padres will get the win in this one with a solid all-around game winning their 3rd straight and sending the D-Backs to their 2nd straight loss.
The Mets’ lineup has been solid at the dish in this series, and they may need to keep that going if Stroman pitches as he did in his last outing. He has not been that great since coming to the Mets with an ERA of 4.93 in five starts, but he will have a decent outing in this game. In two starts against the Mets, this season Eflin has not had much success against the Mets and look for that to continue in this game. This series finale will be a close one and far from a pitcher's duel, and New York's lineup will be the difference-maker getting it done and leading the team to a win in this game to complete the three-game sweep.
The Orioles have had a season to forget, but they have played well as of late, and the pitching has been the main reason. The Royals are reeling, and they only scored two runs in Game 1 of this series and only totaled two runs in losing two games to the Orioles on the road in a recent series. Lopez was on the hill in the only win for Kansas City in their latest road series against the Orioles, but he will struggle in this game like his last outing when he was shelled. Bundy will have a good outing, and this will be a lower scoring game unlike Game 1, but the outcome will be the same, as Baltimore will win the game and look for the series sweep on Sunday.
Neither starter in this game has been pitching well in their last few starts, and Sabathia has had four straight starts where he did not make it to the 5th inning. The Yankees have been lighting up with the long ball and Judge has been on fire as of late. I don't think either starter will pitch that well in this game, but the Yankees will come out on top with solid bullpen work, and their lineup will get it done at the dish. New York will extend their win streak to five games taking the first game of this series and avenge getting swept by Oakland on the road last week.
deGrom gets the check-mark in the pitching match-up, but for some reason, New York has trouble winning with him. Maybe that's got something to do with the Mets bullpen. We see good baseball betting value here with Chicago at the underdog price.
Not the easiest pick in this game even though the Giants have won seven of their last eight games facing the Padres. I mean, Paddock has an ERA of over 10.00 in August and Rodriguez was lit up in his previous outing, and San Francisco has a grand total of one win in his last 12 home starts. Still, going with the Giants at home in this one since they have had the Padres number in the several previous games facing them. I don't look for either starter to have a great outing, but Rodriguez will have the better one, and he will get some run support. The Giants will take Game 1 of this division series and send the Padres to their 3rd straight loss.
Keller was lit up in his first two road starts of the season but was solid in his last one. I look for the Phillies’ lineup to get to him in this game where he will not have a long outing. Velasquez is coming off his worst start of the season, and he has not had much success facing the Bucs in his career, but the Phillies have won eight of his last 11 home starts, and that trend will continue. He will have a decent outing and get several runs of support, as the Phillies will take this game and the series.
Houston gets the check-mark in the pitching match-up and owns an edge with the sticks, but it's not enough to warrant a price as high as the one posted on this game. Tampa is a scrappy outfit, and this game looks like an excellent candidate to end up 3-2, one way or the other. We see nice baseball betting value here with the Rays at the underdog price.
We're going to ride the trend here and take the Mets with Stroman to win their fifth straight.
We would give Keller the check-mark in this pitching match-up, but Bailey has been pretty good since joining his new team. From there we give Oakland edges with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. So we like the A's for our free MLB pick for Monday.
San Diego may own a short edge in the pitching match-up, but Boston gets the check-marks in the splits with the sticks and the bullpen comparison. Plus, the Sox are just playing the better ball as of late, and they're getting an underdog price. We're betting Boston with our free MLB pick for Sunday.