Expert Baseball Picks
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I do expect that the Indians will have some success against Orioles starter Ynoa, but scoring zero runs on 11 hits over their last two games at Camden doesn't make me feel super confident that they'll light it up. Same goes for the Orioles, sure they exploded for 26 runs in the first two, but Bieber is tough if he doesn't give up the long ball and he did make easy work of them in his lone career start against them in May. The weather forecast if it rings true also supports a lower scoring game with a strong crosswing , and we have this season's Mr. Under behind Homeplate. I have two sets of numbers that forecast this game to stay below eight runs, which would give us a comfortable win.
Based on recent track records against these opponents, we give Wacha a short edge in the pitching match-up. And while San Diego might own a short edge with the sticks, the St. Louis bullpen still gets the check-mark even without Hicks. We like the Cardinals here at the underdog price.
Texas is hot, in a baseball sense, while Tampa, not so much. And in this spot that's good enough for us. We're riding the Rangers for our free MLB pick here.
Canning may have a bit more experience than Anderson, but we're calling this pitching match-up a wash. Also, while Los Angeles might own a slight edge with the sticks, Oakland holds an edge in the bullpen. So we see betting value here with the A's at the underdog price.
Neither one of these teams is playing great ball as of late, so we don't feel either is worthy of a betting recommendation at the moment. But with some hot Philly bats and two lousy bullpens, we expect some runs to be scored. So we're going with the over on this game for our free MLB pick.
We're calling both this pitching match-up and the splits with the sticks pushes. And while St. Louis might own an edge in the bullpen comparison it also just lost it's closer. So we see betting value here with underdog Oakland.
Snell may be a Cy Young winner but based on recent performance and track records against these opponents we give Gibson the edge in this pitching match-up. And Minnesota owns the upper hand with the sticks. We like the Twins as home dogs in this spot.
Los Angeles is hot, baseball-wise, while Arizona is not. And it's not often you can get Kershaw at such a low price. We're going with the Dodgers here for our free MLB pick.
We give Teheran the check-mark in the pitching match-up, and Atlanta owns short edges with the sticks and in the bullpen. So we like the Braves here for our free MLB pick.
I do think that the Indians should get the money in this game, but I’m not willing to risk basically 2-1 to see. The rookie starter Zach Pleasac has been really good at times this season, and while he has given up the long ball, the Tigers rank 29th in home runs this season and are unlikely to capitalize. Detroit's starter Norris as mentioned has had success in Cleveland, and while he hasn't been overpowering, he has been adequate. I think we're looking at a 4-2 type game today making the UNDER the play.
I'm not a big trend player in football, but in MLB it does offer some value and should be used in your handicapping. This afternoon's game has a few strong trends supporting a total bet on the OVER, but Buckner behind the plate has me shying away from that. I'll go instead with a run line wager on the Mariners. The runline play on a home team is always a risky bet, but today’s matchup has enough stats to back it up. Seattle had won eight straight games by three or more runs until last night's one run victory. The Orioles took advantage of a reliever making his first start in three seasons and his first 2019 MLB appearance last night and may revert back to the team that scored over three runs just once in eight games losing all of the seven games by three or more runs. Look for Seattle to start another streak.
Los Angeles owns the edge in the pitching match-up and in the bullpen. Meanwhile, Colorado could be without two key sticks. So we like the Dodgers here. But we also believe the price on this game is a bit steep. So we'll take a chance and play LA against the MLB run line for our free pick for Friday.
These two teams are headed in different directions as of late; Tampa is cooling following a hot start to this season, while Oakland is improving following a slow start. We'll take the A's for our free MLB pick for Thursday.
This game sets up as a double play with the MLB streak betting method, and while we don't always abide by that theory, we're betting it here. We like the Pinstripes for our free MLB pick for Thursday.
Texas was hot a little while ago, but now seems to be cooling. Cleveland, meanwhile, appears to be warming up at the moment. Plus, the Indians own the edge in the pitching match-up and in the bullpen comparison. We're taking the Tribe for our free MLB pick for Wednesday.
Kelly gets the check-mark in the pitching match-up, but Colorado owns an edge with the bats. With other factors evening out we see betting value here with the Rockies at the underdog price.
Hamels owns the edge in the pitching match-up, and the Cubs holds an advantage with the sticks. So we like the North Siders in this spot. But we don't like the line on this game. So we'll take a chance and play the Cubs against the MLB run line.
We're not sure who's going to win this game, but with two of the best lineups in Baseball against RH pitching and two iffy bullpens, we do expect plenty of runs to be scored. So we're taking the over on this game for our free MLB pick for Monday.
Tanaka may own the edge in the pitching match-up here but not by much. And our other baseball handicapping factors seem to even out. Our guess is New York will eventually be posted as a favorite of around -130 to -140 for this game, but if that's the case, we'll be betting on Tampa and the underdog price.