Expert Baseball Picks

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Friday Aug 27, 2021

We give Fried the check-mark in the pitching match-up over Glausman based on recent performance, but San Francisco gets the check-mark in the bullpen comparison. Meanwhile, the splits with the sticks are almost even, but Atlanta is hurt more by the absence of two key sticks. Plus the Giants are getting an underdog price. We like San Francisco here for our free baseball betting pick for Friday.   

Free Pick: 
Take the Giants +112
Saturday Aug 21, 2021

We give Musgrove the check-mark in the pitching match-up, and San Diego also gets the check-marks in the splits with the sticks and the bullpen comparison. Also, the Padres were 0/5 with runners in scoring position Friday night, but we expect a little better luck Saturday night. So we like San Diego for our free baseball betting pick for Saturday.  

Free Pick: 
Take the Padres -145
Friday Aug 20, 2021

Chicago gets our check-mark in the pitching match-up, but Tampa receives the check in the bullpen comparison. So our main baseball handicapping factors come out about even. But it looks like the White Sox are playing on cruise control, with their big divisional lead, while the Rays must be concerned about the surging Yankees, who have moved into second place in the AL East. Plus, we just love the way Tampa Bay approaches the game, and it's getting a home dog price. So we like the Rays here for our free baseball betting pick for Friday.

Free Pick: 
Take Tampa Bay
Thursday Aug 19, 2021

We give Woodruff the check-mark in the pitching match-up and Milwaukee also owns an edge in the bullpen comparison. So we like the Brew Crew here. And in knowing the visiting team will bat nine times we'll give the run and a half and play Milwaukee against the run line.  

Free Pick: 
Take Milwaukee -1.5
Wednesday Aug 18, 2021

These two teams are headed in different directions as of late, and that means a ton to us when handicapping this game. Two of our main three baseball handicapping factors actually point toward Boston – the pitching match-up and the splits with the sticks - but Momentum can be a monster; best be on his side. So we're playing the Yankees here for our free baseball betting pick for Wednesday.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

Free Pick: 
Take the Yankees -115
Saturday Aug 14, 2021

Toronto had several things go wrong Friday night, but things like that tend to even out over the course of a couple of games or a series. We expect better luck for the Blue Jays Saturday. Also, we expect Toronto to stay in the playoff picture, while we won't be surprised if Seattle fades. And we give the Jays a solid edge in the splits with the sticks. So we like Toronto here for our free baseball betting pick for Saturday. 

Free Pick: 
Take the Jays -134
Friday Aug 13, 2021
Los Angeles are the defending champion and right in the mix to win it again this season. New York, on the other hand, after leading the NL East for a good part of the last couple of months, might be fading. Also, we give the Dodgers our handicapping check-marks in the pitching match-up, the splits with the sticks, and the bullpen comparison. So we like LA here. And in knowing the visitors will bat nine times, we'll play the Dodgers against the run line.
 
Free Pick: 
Take the Dodgers -1.5 +103
Thursday Aug 12, 2021

Lynn gets the obvious check-mark in the pitching match-up, and Chicago owns the advantage in the splits with the sticks. And while New York might own an edge in the bullpen comparison, Chapman is out. So while we're not too happy with the price on this game, we like the White Sox for our free baseball betting pick for Thursday. 

Free Pick: 
Take the White Sox -182
Wednesday Aug 11, 2021

We'd give Gibson an edge in the pitching match-up, but his most recent outing against Los Angeles was not good. From there, we're calling the splits with the sticks a push, but we give the Dodgers a solid check-mark in the bullpen comparison. After all, that's where Tuesday's game was decided. So we like LA here for our free baseball betting pick for Wednesday.  

Free Pick: 
Take the Dodgers -140
Monday Aug 09, 2021

Giolito gets the check-mark in the pitching match-up, and Chicago owns the better bullpen, and that's enough for us. But we don't like that price. So in knowing the visitors will bat nine times, we'll give the run and a half and play the White Sox against the run line. 

Free Pick: 
Chicag White Sox -1.5 runs -120
Friday Aug 06, 2021

We'll give Burnes a slight edge in the pitching match-up, but San Francisco owns advantages in the splits with the sticks and the bullpen comparison. Plus, the Giants are great bets as underdogs. So we'll take San Francisco here for our free baseball betting pick for Friday. 

Free Pick: 
Take the Giants +136
Thursday Aug 05, 2021

Seattle's been on a good run over the last six weeks or so, but we won't be surprised when this team begins to fade. New York, meanwhile, might just be getting hot at just the right time. We're calling the pitching match-up here a push, but we give the Yankees a significant edge with the sticks and a smaller edge in the bullpen comparison. So we like New York here, but we don't' like that price. So we'll take a chance and play the Yanks, giving the run and a half on the run line.  

Free Pick: 
Take the Yankees -1.5 runs
Monday Aug 02, 2021

We expect a bounce-back effort from Flexen here, and while Tampa owns edges in the splits with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison, they don't warrant such a high betting price. So while we still believe Seattle's been playing over its head over the last six weeks or so, we very much like the baseball betting value with the Mariners in this spot. 

Free Pick: 
Take the Mariners +187
Saturday Jul 31, 2021

Milwaukee gets our baseball handicapping check-marks in both the pitching match-up and the bullpen comparison. And it doesn't seem to matter who the Brewers put in the lineup lately; everybody's hitting. So we like Milwaukee here. And in knowing the visitors will bat nine times, we'll chase a better price and play the Brewers against the run line.

Free Pick: 
Take Milwaukee -1.5 +116
Wednesday Jul 28, 2021
We give New York the edge in the pitching match-up, and while Tampa owns the better bullpen, it's close. Meanwhile, both teams are struggling a bit in the splits with the sticks. So when we add it all up, we come to like the baseball betting value here with the Yankees at the underdog price.
 
Free Pick: 
Take the Yankees +115
Tuesday Jul 27, 2021
We've been waiting for San Francisco to begin fading for about a month now, occasionally betting against them because we don't believe they can play .626 ball all season long. It hasn't worked. Now we were ready to play LA here, but they might be down three key sticks. We give Urias the edge in the pitching match-up, but the Giants own the better bullpen. And we'll call the bats a push. So we like the baseball betting value with San Francisco at a home-dog price for our free baseball pick for Tuesday
 
Free Pick: 
Take San Francisco at +105
Monday Jul 26, 2021

We give Garcia the check-mark in the pitching match-up and Houston gets a big check-mark in the splits with the sticks. So we like the Astros here. And in knowing Houston will bat nine times we'll give the run and a half against the run line.

Free Pick: 
Take Houston -1.5 runs -119
Saturday Jul 24, 2021
Toronto is 39-30 against RH starters this season, while New York is 10-17 against lefties. The Blue Jays also own a considerable edge in the splits with the sticks. So we like Toronto here for our free baseball betting pick for Saturday.
 
Free Pick: 
Take Toronto -116
Thursday Jul 22, 2021

Flexen's been great as of late, Manaea not as much, but Manaea tossed a beauty in beating Seattle in that June 2 match-up. So we're calling this pitching match-up a push. We're also calling the bullpen comparison a wash. We then move to the splits with the sticks, where we give Oakland a short edge. Looking a bit more big-picture, we expect the A's to stay in the AL playoff race and the Mariners to fade. So we're betting Oakland here for our free baseball betting pick for Thursday.  

Free Pick: 
Take Oakland -141
Saturday Jul 17, 2021

We might think Cole owns an obvious edge in the pitching match-up but based on recent performance against these opponents, we'll call it a push. And our other main baseball handicapping factors also come out to about even. Also, New York is without several lineup regulars. So we like the baseball betting value here with Boston at the underdog price. 

Free Pick: 
Take the Red Sox

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