Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick - Odds and Betting Preview

Date: 
October 2, 8:00 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
Cubs -132 / Rockies +110
Total: 
7.5

MLB Betting Line

The Cubs opened as home favorites at -132 for this NL Wild Card game with a total of 7.5 runs, and those lines have not changed. In the run-line bet, the Rockies are posted at -185 getting 1.5 runs and the Cubs are at +165 giving 1.5 runs.

Colorado at Chicago MLB Game Set-up

In their last game in the NL West tiebreaker, the Rockies lost to the L.A. Dodgers 5-2 denying Colorado their first-ever division crown. The Rockies were shut out for eight innings scoring both of their runs in the 9th inning, and they scored their two runs on only four hits, and the Dodgers scored five runs on nine hits.

The Rockies got in playoff position by winning eight straight very late in the season, but they have lost two of their last three games. In their previous three games, they only scored four runs in the two losses while putting up 12 runs in the one win.

In their last game, the Cubs lost to the Milwaukee Brewers 3-1 in the NL Central tiebreaker. Overall, the Cubs have lost two of their previous three games.

The winner of this game will face the Brewers in the NLDS.

This season the Rockies rank 7th in runs scored and 20th in team ERA and the Cubs rank 9th in runs scored and 3rd in team ERA.

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Head-To-Head

These two teams split the six games facing each other this season. The Rockies have won six of their last eight games against the Cubs in Chicago.

Pitching Match-Up

Colorado: Kyle Freeland (17-7 2.85 ERA)
Chicago: Jon Lester (18-6 3.32 ERA)

In Freeland's last start he gave up two earned runs on 11 hits in six innings in a 5-2 win over the Washington Nationals. The Rockies have won 10 of his last 11 starts including his previous two where he totaled 13 innings and gave up two earned runs. Freeland has not allowed more than three earned runs in his last 13 starts. In Freeland's lone start against the Cubs, this season in Chicago in late April he gave up three earned runs in seven innings in a 3-2 Colorado loss.

Freeland has 11 straight quality starts where he is 8-0 with an ERA of only 2.18. The Rockies are 21-7 in Freeland's last 28 starts, and they have won four of his last five road starts.

In Lester’s last start he had a good one tossing six scoreless innings and only allowing three hits in a 3-0 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Cubs have won seven of his last eight starts including his last three where he has only given up two earned runs in 18 innings. Lester opposed Freeland at home in late April going five 2/3 innings and not allowing any earned runs in the 3-2 Chicago win.

In five career starts against the Rockies, Lester is 1-3 with an ERA of 2.25. The Cubs are 37-16 in Lester's last 53 starts, and they are 38-13 in his previous 51 home starts.

Rockies at Cubs MLB Betting Angles

The Rockies are 6-2 in their last 8 road games against the Cubs.

In the last 8 games between these teams in Chicago, the Under record is 6-2.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Record

Colorado Rockies: 91-72 SU / O/U 68-86 / Run Line W/L 86-77
Chicago Cubs: 95-68 SU / O/U 73-88 / Run Line W/L 81-82

Colorado at Chicago MLB Key Betting Trends

  • COL is 9-2 in their last 11 games
  • COL is 1-8 in their previous 9 playoff games
  • COL has an Under record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 road games
  • CHI is 35-16 in their last 51 games following a loss
  • CHI is 4-1 in their previous 5 playoff games
  • CHI has an Under record of 11-3 in their last 14 home games

Key Player Injuries

ROCKIES

[CF] 09/06/2018 - Yonathan Daza 60-day DL (09/04) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/08/2018 - Mike Dunn 60-day DL (07/07) ( Undisclosed )
[P] 04/24/2018 - Carlos Estevez 60-day DL (03/26) ( Oblique )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Rayan Gonzalez 60-day DL (03/12) ( Elbow )

CUBS

[SS] 09/22/2018 - Addison Russell is out indefinitely ( Disciplinary )
[P] 09/18/2018 - Brandon Morrow is out for season ( Biceps )
[RF] 09/06/2018 - Mark Zagunis 60-day DL (09/04) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/24/2018 - Rob Zastryzny 10-day DL (06/24) ( Back )
[P] 06/27/2018 - Justin Hancock 60-day DL (06/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/21/2018 - Anthony Bass 10-day DL (07/21) ( Back )
[P] 05/26/2018 - Yu Darvish 60-day DL (05/23) ( Triceps )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Drew Smyly 60-day DL (02/16) ( Elbow )

Get more details: Colorado at Chicago MLB Match-Up

Colorado at Chicago MLB Prediction 10/02/2018

These teams come into this Wild Card game after losing their division tiebreakers in their last game. Each lineup struggled in the tiebreaker game, and that will be the case in this game as well with two in-form pitchers on the hill. Freeland had a stellar 2nd half of the season but was just OK in his lone start against the Cubs this season. Lester also ended the season well, and in two of his last three starts, he did not allow any earned runs. With Freeland and Lester getting the start this game will be a low scoring one, and there is a good chance it will come down to which bullpen gets it done. That is the reason the Cubs are the pick in this Wild Card game. They ranked 2nd in the Majors in bullpen ERA while the Rockies only ranked 26th. Chicago will take this Wild Card game and look to exact some revenge in the NLDS facing the Brewers, who denied them the NL Central title.

Free Pick: 
Take the Cubs -132
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