Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox Pick

September 26, 8:10 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Indians -200 / White Sox +180

This match is the 3rd of a three-game series, and these teams split the first two games. The Indians lost Game 2, which eliminated them from the AL Central race and with four games remaining they are 1.5 games out of the 2nd AL Wild Card.

In Game 2 of this series, the White Sox beat the Indians 8-3. The White Sox scored eight runs on 14 hits, and the Indians scored three runs on six hits. The Indians gave up three runs in the first inning, and the 1-5 batters in the lineup went without a hit.

This season the Indians rank 20th in runs scored, and 2nd in team ERA and the White Sox rank 26th in runs scored and 22nd in team ERA.

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Pitching Match-Up

Cleveland: Aaron Civale (3-3 1.82 ERA)

Chicago: Dylan Cease (4-7 5.79 ERA)

The Indians have won three of Civale’s last four starts, and in his last one he was solid only giving up one earned run on four hits in seven 2/3 innings in a 2-1 win over the Detroit Tigers. He has only given up one earned run in each of his last three starts, and since the rookie was called up to the big club on July 22nd, he has not given up more than two earned runs in any of his nine starts. Civale faced the White Sox on September 2nd in Cleveland where he gave up one earned run, gave up three runs overall, in five innings in an 11-3 win. In five road starts this season Civale is 1-2 with an ERA of 2.43 and in 54 1/3 innings of work has only given up two HR.

The White Sox have won three of Cease last four starts and also just like Civale he has given up one earned run in each of his previous three starts. In his last start, he gave up one earned run on five hits in six innings in a 10-1 win over the Tigers. He is also a rookie and in his lone start against the Indians, this season in Cleveland on September 3rd he gave up four earned runs in six 2/3 innings in a 5-4 Chicago win. The White Sox are 1-4 in Civale’s last five starts facing a team with a winning record.

Betting Angles

  • In the last six games between these teams, the Over record is 5-1.
  • The White Sox are 9-8 against the Indians this season.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Cleveland Indians: 93-65 SU / O/U 68-86 / Run Line W/L 86-72

Chicago White Sox: 69-88 SU / O/U 75-76 / Run Line W/L 75-82

Key Betting Trends

  • CLE is 5-1 in their last six road games
  • CLE is 7-2 in their previous nine games
  • CLE has an Over record of 4-0 in their last four games
  • CHI is 3-8 in their last 11 home games
  • CHI is 4-11 in their previous 15 games against a team with a winning record
  • CHI has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their past five games

Team Info

The Indians are in desperation mode being 1.5 games out of the 2nd Wild Card with four games left on their schedule. After this game, they are on the road for their last series in a three-game set against the Washington Nationals, who have snagged one of the NL Wild Card berths.

The Indians had won two in a row where they totaled 21 runs before losing the last game of this series scoring only three runs.

The White Sox had lost two in a row giving up 17 runs before winning Game 2 of this series. They can play spoiler in this game and with a win can ensure a winning record against the Indians this season.

On the season the White Sox are 36-40 at home, and the Indians are 44-33 on the road.

Key Injuries


3B Christian Arroyo is out until early October, and SP Danny Salazar is out indefinitely.


OF Eloy Jimenez, OF Leury Garcia, and 1B Matt Skole are all listed as questionable for this game.

Indians at White Sox Prediction 09/26/2019

The Indians cannot afford to lose this game, and it is a plus for them having a red-hot rookie on the mound. He and Cease have been pitching well as of late, and while Civale has been great since being called up from the minors, Cease struggled for a while before his last few starts. Cleveland has all the pressure on them needing to win and get help to make the playoffs. They will come through in this season finale getting to Cease for a few runs while Civale will have another good start. The Indians will take this game and keep their playoff hopes alive hoping to catch the Rays, who they trail by 1.5 games for the 2nd AL Wild Card.

Free Pick: 
Take the Indians -200

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