Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs Pick

June 18, 8:05 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Cubs -235/White Sox +200

The White Sox are a rather pleasant surprise so far this MLB season, while the Cubs still seem to be searching for a spark, heading into the opener of a two-game Windy City series Tuesday night at the Friendly Confines. Which way are we going here with our free MLB pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Tuesday's MLB betting odds opened the Cubs at around -225 over the White Sox while holding off on posting a total. Early betting action then bumped that line even further, up to about -235.

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White Sox vs. Cubs Set-Up

The ChiSox just split four games at home with the Yankees over the weekend, winning the first two, then losing Saturday and Sunday. They then had Monday off.

Just before that the White Sox split two games at home with Washington, and just before that they took two of three at Kansas City. So the ChiSox are 5-3 over their last eight games.

At 34-36 overall the White Sox trail division-leading Minnesota by 12.5 games in the AL Central, but they're only four games back of Texas and Boston in the battle for the second American League wild-card spot.

Meanwhile, the Cubs just dropped three of four games to the Dodgers in LA over the weekend, losing Sunday 3-2. They then also had Monday off.

Just before that the Cubbies lost two of three at Colorado. So the Cubs are 2-5 over their last seven games.

At 39-32 overall the Cubbies trail division-leading Milwaukee by a half-game in the NL Central, but they're also tied with Philadelphia for the lead in the NL wild-card race.

This series is the first meeting between these teams this season. Last year the Cubs took four of six games from the White Sox.

Tuesday's Starting Arms

Lefty Hamels, by our strict standards, is 7/14 on quality starts this season and working on a run of three in a row. Last Wednesday he tossed seven innings of six-hit, shutout ball, with nine strikeouts, in a 10-1 Cubs win at Colorado. And over his last three starts, he's allowed just one unearned run and 11 hits through 22 innings, with 23 strikeouts.

The Cubs are 10-4 with Hamels this season.

In his one start last year against the White Sox while with Texas Hamels gave up seven runs and nine hits through five innings of a 10-5 Rangers loss.

Nova is 6/14 on quality starts this season, but 0 for his last two. Last Thursday he gave up four runs and six hits through 5 2/3 innings against the Yankees, but the White Sox won that game anyway 5-4. And just before that he gave up four runs in 5 1/3 innings against the Royals.

The White Sox are 6-8 with Nova this year.

In four starts against the Cubs, last year while with Pittsburgh Nova allowed 10 ER and 26 hits through 23 1/3 innings. The Pirates split those four games.

Tuesday's Batting Splits

The White Sox are batting .266/.328/.400 against left-handed pitching this season.

The Cubs are batting .255/.340/.450 against right-handed pitching this season.

The Bullpens

The ChiSox bullpen owns a 4.27 ERA this season and a 1.38 WHIP.

The Cubs pen owns a 4.16 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP.

Totals Report

  • Unders are 39-31 in White Sox games this season.
  • Overs are 37-33 in Cubs games this season.
  • Unders are 18-16 in games played at Wrigley Field this season.
  • Overs are a combined 18-10 with Hamels and Nova this season.
  • Overs played 4-2 in White Sox-Cubs games last season.

White Sox at Cubs Prediction 06/18/2019

Hamels owns the edge in the pitching match-up, and the Cubs holds an advantage with the sticks. So we like the North Siders in this spot. But we don't like the line on this game. So we'll take a chance and play the Cubs against the MLB run line.

Free Pick: 
Take the Cubs -235

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