Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick

September 5, 7:10 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Cubs -115 / Brewers +105

This game is the first of a four-game series between these NL Central rivals.

In their last game, the Cubs beat the Seattle Mariners 6-1 where they scored their six runs on nine hits and the Mariners only scored one run on eight hits. Willson Contreras had a HR for Chicago after missing a month with a hamstring injury, and Nicholas Castellanos also went yard and had four RBI.

In their last game, the Brewers beat the Houston Astros 4-2 where they scored their four runs on nine hits, and the Astros scored two runs on six hits. Milwaukee scored all four runs in the 3rd inning, and Eric Thames had a HR and three RBI.

After losing two straight games where they were shut out by the Brewers, the Cubs have won two in a row.

The Brewers have won three of their last four games.

This season the Cubs rank 13th in runs scored and 6th in team ERA and the Brewers rank 20th in runs scored and 18th in team ERA.

Pitching Match-Up

Chicago: Jose Quintana (12-8 3.90 ERA)

Milwaukee: Chase Anderson (6-4 4.58 ERA)

Jose Quintana is coming off a great last outing where he pitched five 2/3 scoreless innings and gave up four hits in a 7-1 win over the Brewers. The Cubs have won two of his previous three starts wherein the two wins he did not give up any earned runs in 12 2/3 innings in the two wins while in the one-loss he gave up four earned runs in only four innings. Quintana has allowed two or fewer earned runs in five of his last six starts. This start is his 6th of the season against the Brewers, and in his first five, he is 2-2 with an ERA of 5.54. The Cubs have won nine of his last 13 starts against the Brewers, and they have won five of his previous six starts facing them in Milwaukee.

Anderson opposed Quintana in his last outing, which was not a good one giving up five earned runs on seven hits, including giving up two HR, in four innings in the 7-1 Milwaukee loss. The Brewers have lost three of his last four outings and in his previous two road starts he has been lit up giving up 15 earned runs in only 6 1/3 innings of work. In two starts and one relief appearance against the Cubs this season, Anderson has given up eight runs on 12 hits in eight innings. Milwaukee has lost his last four starts against a team with a winning record.

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Betting Angles

  • The Cubs are 5-2 in their last seven games against the Brewers.
  • The Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 home games against the Brewers.
  • In the last 51 games between these teams, the Under record is 34-16-1.
  • In the last 43 games between these teams in Milwaukee, the Under record is 29-12-2.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Chicago Cubs: 75-63 SU / O/U 60-71 / Run Line W/L 67-71

Milwaukee Brewers: 71-67 SU / O/U 59-74 / Run Line W/L 66-72

Key Betting Trends

  • CHI is 5-0 in their last five road games
  • CHI is 6-2 in their previous eight games
  • CHI has an Under record of 5-0-1 in their last six games
  • MIL is 3-9 in their last 12 games following a day off
  • MIL is 1-5 in their previous six games against a left-hand starter
  • MIL has an Under record of 10-1-1 in their last 12 games

Team Info

The Cubs have won their last two games, where they only gave up two runs, and six of their last eight with their only two losses in that span to the Brewers. They are in 2nd place in the NL Central 2.5 games back of the St. Louis Cardinals, and they are in the 2nd Wild Card spot three games up on the Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks and four games up on the Brewers.

The Cubs pitching has been more than solid as of late, as in their last eight games they have only given up 19 runs with seven coming on one game, which they won.

In the 15 games between these teams, this season the Cubs are 8-7.

Chicago has won three of four games, and their pitching has also been solid as of late giving up a total of only five runs. They are 6.5 games out of first place in the NL Central and trail the Cubs by four games in the Wild Card.

Milwaukee has needed their pitching to win, as their lineup has struggled only averaging 2.8 runs per game in their last ten games where they failed to score over four runs in any of those games.

Key Injuries


2B Javier Baez has missed the last two games with a thumb injury and is questionable for this game. 3B Kris Bryant is also listed as questionable for this game with a knee issue.


CF Lorenzo Cain (forearm) and 3B Mike Moustakas (wrist) are listed as questionable for this game.

Cubs at Brewers Prediction 09/05/2019

These teams met in the series before their last one in Chicago where the Brewers took the previous two games after losing the first one. The Brewers lone loss in the last series with the Cubs has the pitching matchup for this game, and in that Milwaukee loss, Anderson was lit up while Quintana had a great outing. I look for the same to happen in this game. Anderson has given up 15 earned runs in each of his last two road starts, and the Chicago lineup will get to him early and often in this game. Quintana will have his 2nd straight quality start, and the Cubs will take this game on the road where they are the betting favorite.

Free Pick: 
Take the Cubs -115

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