Boston at Tampa Bay Odds & Free Pick

Date: 
April 23, 6:10 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
BOS +110/TB -120
Total: 
8

The Red Sox grabbed the opener of this AL East series Friday night, so the Rays will try to even things up Saturday evening in St. Pete. Tampa Bay will send "opener" JP Feyereisen to the mound here against Garrett Whitlock, making his first career start for Boston. How are we playing this game with our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Saturday's baseball betting lines opened this game at right around a pick 'em, with an over/under of eight runs. Early betting action then bumped Tampa Bay a dime to -120.

Red Sox-Rays MLB Betting Preview

Boston took the opener of this series Friday night 4-3. The Red Sox scored two runs in the top of the first inning Friday, added two more in the third, and hung on from there, getting the last out of the game with the bases loaded. Boston won Friday as a +130 underdog on the baseball betting dime line and the game played under a total of 7.5 runs. Earlier this week, the Red Sox lost two of three games to Toronto, and just before that, they split four games with Minnesota. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, took two of three from the Cubs earlier this week, but that came on the heels of a four-game losing skid. At 7-7 overall, both teams trail first-place Toronto by two games in the AL East. Last year the Rays took the season series from Boston 11 games to eight, but the Red Sox beat Tampa in four games in an AL divisional-round playoff series.

Saturday's Pitching Match-Up

Feyereisen is making his sixth appearance of this season and his second start. Last Sunday, in his first career ML start, he tossed two perfect innings against the White Sox, with three strikeouts, in a 9-3 Tampa Bay victory. And on the season, he's allowed zero runs and two hits through 5 1/3 innings, with zero walks and seven whiffs. Last year, splitting time with Milwaukee and the Rays, Feyereisen produced a 2.73 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP through 56 innings of work. He walked a few too many - 33 - but perhaps he's corrected that this season. Also, last year over eight appearances against Boston - three in the playoffs - Feyereisen allowed just two runs on nine hits and one walk through 10 innings, with seven K's. Whitlock is making his fifth appearance of this season and his first career start. Tuesday, he tossed one perfect inning of relief against Toronto, and on the season, he's allowed just one run and four hits through 9 2/3 innings, with two walks and 11 strikeouts. Last year as a rookie, Whitlock put up a 1.96 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP through 73 1/3 innings, with 17 walks against 81 whiffs!

Also, last year over six appearances against Tampa Bay, Whitlock allowed four earned runs and 12 hits through 10 1/3 innings, with three walks and nine K's.

Splits With the Sticks

Boston is batting .238 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .283 team OBP and a .375 team slugging percentage. The Red Sox have also played the last couple of games without JD Martinez (28 HR last year), and he's questionable for Saturday. Tampa Bay is slashing .240/.313/.387 against RH pitching.

The Bullpens

The Boston bullpen owns a 2.79 ERA this season, along with a 1.17 WHIP and a 2.92 K/BB ratio. The Tampa pen owns a 3.39 ERA, a 1.03 WHIP, and a 3.45 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

  • Boston is 3-4 on the road this season and 3-7 against right-handed starters.
  • Tampa Bay is 4-2 at home and 5-6 vs. RH starters.

Totals Report

  • The UNDER is 9-4 in Red Sox games this season.
  • The Under is 8-6 in Rays games this season.
  • The Over went 40-39 at Tropicana Field last season.
  • The Over went 15-8 in Red Sox-Rays games last season (including playoffs).

Boston at Tampa Bay Prediction 4/23/22

We'll call this pitching match-up a wash; both young starters look good, as do both bullpens. From there, we notice that Boston's scored a total of 10 runs over its last five games while Tampa has scored 28 runs its last five times out. And after going 0/7 with runners in scoring position Friday night, we expect a little better luck for the Rays Saturday. So we're betting Tampa here to even this series.        

Free Pick: 
Take Tampa Bay -120