Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick

September 12, 7:07 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Red Sox -140 / Blue Jays +125

This game is the finale of a three-game series where the Blue Jays have won the first two games.

In-Game 2 of this series the Blue Jays beat the Red Sox 8-0. The Blue Jays scored eight runs on 11 hits, and the Red Sox went scoreless and only had two hits. Toronto scored six runs in the 5th inning and for of their players had two hits.

The Red Sox are slumping losing five in a row and in the two losses in this series they have only scored three runs.

The Blue Jays have won the first two games of this series, and before that, they had lost seven in a row.

This season the Red Sox rank 4th in runs scored and 19th in team ERA and the Blue Jays rank 23rd in runs scored and 20th in team ERA.

Pitching Match-Up

Boston: Jhoulys Chacin (3-10 5.60 ERA)

Toronto: Clay Buchholz (1-4 5.31 ERA)

Chacin makes his first start for the Red Sox after they recently claimed him off waivers from the Milwaukee Brewers. He has made two relief appearances since being picked up, and he has tossed three scoreless innings and has not allowed a hit. He was 0-7 in his last seven starts with the Brewers, and this will be his first start of the season against the Blue Jays. In Chacin’s previous two appearances with Milwaukee, he gave up nine earned runs in five 1/3 innings of work.

Buchholz faces his old team in this game, as he spent ten seasons with the Red Sox. In his last start, he gave up three earned runs on seven hits in six innings and got no help from the lineup in a 5-0 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. Boston has lost two of his three starts since he missed two and a half months on the DL and in the two starts previous to his last one, he gave up two earned runs in each. This outing is Buchholz’s first appearance against the Red Sox this season.

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Betting Angles

  • The Red Sox are 37-17 in their last 54 games against the Blue Jays.
  • The Red Sox are 20-8 in their last 28 road games against the Blue Jays.
  • In the last four games between these teams, the total has gone Under every time.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Boston Red Sox: 76-70 SU / O/U 79-63 / Run Line W/L 61-85

Toronto Blue Jays: 57-89 SU / O/U 65-74 / Run Line W/L 71-75

Key Betting Trends

  • BOS is 0-5 in their last five games
  • BOS is 35-16 in their previous 51 games against a starter with a WHIP higher than 1.30
  • BOS has an Under record of 9-1 in their last ten games
  • TOR is 5-16 in their last 21 games
  • TOR is 1-7 in their previous eight games against a right-hand starter
  • TOR has an Under record of 4-1 in their last five games

Team Info

The ship has likely sailed for the Red Sox making it back to the playoffs with the World Series champions slumping. They need a miracle to get to the post-season ten games out of the 2nd Wild Card with 16 games to play.

Their offense leads the Red Sox, but they have only totaled three runs in their last three games being shut out twice. In their five-game skid, they have been outscored 32-9.

The Blue Jays have been out of the playoffs for a long time, and they have the 4th fewest wins in the AL. However, they go for the sweep in this series after winning the first two games. Toronto had only averaged a little over two runs per game in their seven-game skid before winning he first two games of this series scoring 12 runs.

Key Player Injuries


1B Michael Chavis and RP Heath Hembree are both on the 10-day DL and out for this game.


RP Elvis Luciano may be activated for this game after being on the 60-day DL and OF Lourdes Gurriel, and C Luke Maile are out for this game both on the 10-day DL.

Red Sox at Blue Jays Prediction 09/12/2019

The Red Sox are slumping at the wrong time, as their playoff hopes are, pretty much, out the window and to make things worse they recently fired their manager. They have struggled at the plate and on the mound, and they start Chacin, who was pretty bad for the Brewers this season but has been solid in the two relief appearances since joining Boston. Buchholz has not been bad since a long stint on the DL, and he will have a good outing in this game, and it helps to face the struggling Boston lineup. The Blue Jays will get to Chacin in his first start for the Sox and Toronto will get the win and complete the series sweep.

Free Pick: 
Take the Jays +125