Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds - Free MLB Prediction

August 7, 7:07 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Red Sox -105 / Blue Jays -105

In their last game, the Red Sox completed a four-game sweep of the New York Yankees beating them 5-4 in 10 innings. Boston has now won eight of their previous nine games losing only by a 3-1 score to Philadelphia. They now take their MLB leading 79-34 W/L record on the road where they're a brilliant 37-19 this season.

In their latest, the Blue Jays lost to the Seattle Mariners 6-3 breaking off a three-game winning streak. They return home after a lengthy ten-game road trip where they went 5-5. At home this campaign they’re one game below .500 with a 27-28 mark.

This season the Red Sox rank 1st in runs scored and 2nd in team ERA and the Blue Jays rank 18th in runs scored and 24th in team ERA.

Pitching Match-Up

Boston: Drew Pomeranz (1-5 6.56 ERA)
Toronto: Marcus Stroman (4-8 5.63 ERA)

In Pomeranz’s last start he gave up two earned runs on four hits through five innings in a 3-1 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies. The Red Sox have lost his previous three starts, and in each of the two starts before his last one he gave up four earned runs. In Pomeranz's lone start against the Blue Jays this season he lasted four innings and gave up three earned runs in a 5-3 Boston win. In Pomeranz's career facing the Blue Jays in Toronto, he is 2-1 with an ERA of 3.74. The Red Sox are 1-4 in Pomeranz's last five starts, and they are 1-5 in his previous six starts against teams from the AL East. The Red Sox are 4-1 in Pomeranz’s last five starts against the Blue Jays.

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In Stroman’s last start he was tagged up for seven earned runs on 11 hits in five innings in an 8-3 loss to the Oakland A's. The Blue Jays had won his previous two starts where he gave up three earned runs in 13 2/3 innings. Stroman's lone start of the season against the Red Sox was July 15th in Boston where he gave up three earned runs on five hits in five innings in a 5-2 Toronto loss. The Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stroman’s last five starts against the Red Sox. The Blue Jays are 5-2 in Stroman’s last seven home starts against a team with a winning record.

Boston at Toronto MLB Betting Angles

The Red Sox are 22-8 in their last 30 games against the Blue Jays.

The Red Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 road games against the Blue Jays.

In the last 7 games between these teams, the Over record is 5-2.

In the last 8 games between these teams in Toronto, the Under record is 7-1.

Get more details: Boston at Toronto MLB Matchup

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Boston Red Sox: 79-34 SU / O/U 51-58 / Run Line W/L 66-47
Toronto Blue Jays: 51-60 SU / O/U 57-48 / Run Line W/L 51-60

Boston at Toronto MLB Key Betting Trends

  • BOS is 40-15 in their last 55 games
  • BOS is 37-18 in their previous 55 road games
  • BOS has an Under record of 5-1-1 in their last 7 games
  • TOR is 3-7 in their last 10 games against a left-hand starter
  • TOR is 5-0 in their last 5 games following a day off
  • TOR has an Over record of 9-2 in their last 11 games

Key Player Injuries


[2B] 06/02/2018 - Dustin Pedroia 60-day DL (05/30) ( Knee )
[DH] 05/25/2018 - Hanley Ramirez has been released ( None )
[P] 05/15/2018 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (05/15) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Austin Maddox 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 03/26/2018 - Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/27/2018 - Steven Wright 10-day DL (06/23) ( Knee )
[C] 07/08/2018 - Christian Vazquez 10-day DL (07/08) ( Finger )
[P] 07/15/2018 - Eduardo Rodriguez 10-day DL (07/15) ( Ankle )
[2B] 08/03/2018 - Ian Kinsler 10-day DL (08/04) ( Hamstring )
[C] 08/04/2018 - Blake Swihart 10-day DL (08/03) ( Hamstring )
[P] 07/31/2018 - Chris Sale 10-day DL (07/28) ( Shoulder )
[3B] 07/29/2018 - Rafael Devers 10-day DL (07/29) ( Leg )


[P] 06/23/2018 - Aaron Sanchez 10-day DL (06/23) ( Finger )
[P] 07/08/2018 - Rhiner Cruz 60-day DL (07/08) ( Groin )
[CF] 08/02/2018 - Lourdes Gurriel 10-day DL (07/31) ( Ankle )
[SS] 03/26/2018 - Troy Tulowitzki 60-day DL (03/29) ( Foot )
[RF] 04/01/2018 - Billy McKinney 10-day DL (04/01) ( Shoulder )
[3B] 06/01/2018 - Josh Donaldson 60-day DL (05/29) ( Calf )

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Red Sox vs. Jays Prediction 8/7/18

If I were going to fade Boston, this would be a decent spot, but I think that there is better value offered in the total. The Red Sox struggled to put runs on the board when faced against a trio of good arms put up by the Phillies but returned to form (No. 1 offense in the MLB) against the Yankees scoring four or more runs in all four games in their sweep of the Yankees. They will face the Jays up but mostly down starter Marcus Stroman. Stroman looked good in his two games prior to his last allowing just three runs over 13 2/3 innings against lesser but was ripped by the A's for seven runs in his latest in five frames. Historically the Red Sox batters have had a lot of success versus him hitting a lifetime .299. Boston sends out Drew Pomeranz who like Stroman has not had his best stuff this season and brings a 0-2 W/L record, and 6.17 earned run average into this contest. He has decent back numbers against Toronto's forecasted lineup with them as a whole hitting .239, but his last two against the team are not strong allowing eight earned runs over just six innings pitched.

Free Pick: 
Take the OVER 9.5

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