Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Pick 6/17/19

June 17, 8:10 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Boston +120/Minn -140

The Boston Red Sox carry a season-high five-game winning streak into the opener of a three-game series with the AL Central-leading Twins in Minneapolis Monday night. How are we betting this game with our free MLB pick

MLB Betting Odds

As of this writing, Monday's MLB sportsbooks were holding off on lining this game at the time of writing.

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Red Sox vs. Twins Set-Up

Boston just swept three games from the Orioles in Baltimore over the weekend, winning Sunday 8-6 in 10 innings. Just before that the Red Sox took the last two games of a four-game series at home against Texas. So Boston rides a five-game winning streak into this series.

At 39-34 overall the Red Sox trail the division-leading Yankees by 5.5 games in the AL East, but they're also tied with Texas for the second American League wild-card spot.

Minnesota, meanwhile, just took two of three games at home from Kansas City over the weekend, missing out on the sweep by losing Sunday 8-6. Just before that the Twins took two of three at home from Seattle, and just before that they took two of three at Detroit. So Minnesota is 7-3 over its last 10 games.

At 47-23 overall the Twins lead the AL Central by 10 games over Cleveland, and they're basically tied with Houston for the lead in the battle for the best record in the American League.

This series is the first meeting between these two teams this season. Last year Boston took the season series from Minnesota four games to three.

Monday's Starting Arms

Berrios is 11/14 on quality starts this season, working on a run of four in a row. Last Wednesday he held the Mariners to one run and seven hits through 6 2/3 innings, although the Twins lost that game 9-6. And over his last four starts, he's allowed just six earned runs and 21 hits through 26 innings.

Minnesota is 11-3 with Berrios this season, 4-1 over his last five starts.

In two starts last year against the Red Sox Berrios allowed four runs and 14 hits through 11 innings. The Twins split those two games.

Porcello, by our strict standards, is only 5/14 on quality starts this season, and one for his last four. Last Wednesday he held the Rangers to two runs and five hits through 6 2/3 innings of a 4-3 Boston win. But over his three starts previous to that he gave up 12 ER and 25 hits through 17 1/3 innings.

The Red Sox are 8-6 with Porcello this year, but only 1-2 over his last three starts.

In two starts last year against Minnesota Porcello allowed four runs and six hits through 12 2/3 innings. Boston won both those games.

Monday's Batting Splits

Boston is batting .270/.352/.463 against right-handed pitching this season, which helps this lineup rank among the top three in the Majors in this split.

Minnesota is batting .266/.334/.514 against RH pitching this season, which ranks this unit in the top five in this split.

The Bullpens

The Red Sox bullpen owns a 4.00 ERA this season and a 1.30 WHIP.

The Twins pen owns a 4.69 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP.

Totals Report

  • Overs are 40-30 in Red Sox games this season.
  • Overs are 37-28 in Twins games this season.
  • Unders are 18-14 in games played at Target Field this season.
  • Overs are a combined 18-8 in games started by Porcello and Berrios this season.
  • Unders finished 4-3 in Red Sox-Twins games last season.

Red Sox at Twins Prediction 06/17/2019

We're not sure who's going to win this game, but with two of the best lineups in Baseball against RH pitching and two iffy bullpens, we do expect plenty of runs to be scored. So we're taking the over on this game for our free MLB pick for Monday.

Free Pick: 
Take the Over 10

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