Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Odds & Free Pick

June 28, 7:07 PM EDT

Betting Odds

BOS +125/TOR -135
9.5un -120

After taking the opener of this AL East rivalry affair Monday night, the Blue Jays shoot for the series victory Tuesday night in Toronto. It'll be a battle of righties when Ross Stripling hits the hill for the home team here against Michael Wacha for the visitors.

Which way are we going with our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Tuesday's baseball betting lines opened Toronto and Stripling at around -135 over Boston and Wacha, with an over/under of 9.5 runs. Early betting action then bumped the Blue Jays a nickel to -140.

Red Sox-Blue Jays MLB Betting Preview

Toronto took the opener of this series Monday night, 7-2. The Blue Jays grabbed the lead for good with a run in the bottom of the first inning, added three more in the third and three more in the fifth, and cruised from there.

Toronto won Monday as a -185 favorite on the dime line with Kevin Gausman and covered against the run line at a price of +105.

Also, Monday's game played just under a total of 9.5 runs, with a Boston runner on third base when the final out was recorded.

With Monday's win, the Blue Jays are 4-4 over their last eight games.

Even with Monday's loss, the Red Sox are 19-5 over their last 24 games.

At 42-32 and 41-32, respectively, Boston and Toronto are a long way back in the AL East but also own the top two spots in the American League wild-card race.

The Blue Jays lead the season series with the Red Sox six games to two.

Tuesday's Pitching Match-Up

This pitching match-up is a rematch of a game played back on April 27 also at Rogers Centre, a 7-1 Boston victory.

Stripling is 2/9 on quality starts this season and two for his last three. Last Wednesday, he held the White Sox to one run and five hits through six innings of a 9-5 Toronto victory. And over his last four starts, he's allowed just three runs and 12 hits through 20 2/3 innings.

The Blue Jays are 5-4 with Stripling this season, 3-1 his last four times out.

Over his last four starts against the Red Sox, three last year, and the one back in April of this season, Stripling allowed 17 runs and 22 hits, including six home runs, through just 14 2/3 innings. Toronto lost all four of those games, and three of those games played over on the totals.

Wacha is 3/12 on quality starts this year, but some of that is due to a short leash. Five times this season, he's pitched to within three outs or less of a QS, only to get pulled. Last Wednesday, he held Detroit to two runs and five hits through six innings of a 6-2 Boston win. And over his last five starts, he's allowed eight runs - only six earned - and 25 hits through 30 1/3 innings.

The Red Sox are 9-3 with Wacha this season, 3-1 his last four times out.

Over his last three starts against the Blue Jays, two last year while with Tampa Bay, and the one back in April of this season, Wacha allowed seven runs and 12 hits through 14 innings. His teams won two of those three games.

Splits With the Sticks

Boston is batting .260 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .320 team OBP and a .411 team slugging percentage. The Red Sox have also scored at least five runs seven times over their last ten games.

Toronto is slashing .252/.318/.431 against right-handed pitching. The Blue Jays have also scored at least six runs six times over their last eight games.

The Bullpens

The Toronto bullpen owns a 4.36 ERA this season, along with a 1.29 WHIP.

The Boston pen owns a 3.71 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP.

MLB Betting Trends

The Red Sox are 22-16 on the road this season and 29-28 against right-handed starters.

The Blue Jays are 22-14 at home and 34-25 against RH starters.

Totals Report

  • The Under is 37-28 in Red Sox games this season.
  • The Over is 39-33 in Blue Jays games.
  • The Under is a combined 12-7 with Stripling and Wacha this season.
  • The Over is 19-17 at Rogers Centre this season.
  • The Under is 6-2 in Red Sox-Blue Jays games this season.

Red Sox at Blue Jays Prediction 6/28/22

We give Wacha the edge in the pitching match-up, and Boston owns the edge in the bullpen comparison. Meanwhile, we'll call the splits with the sticks a wash. From there, the Red Sox are one of the hottest teams in baseball over the last month or so, and they're getting an underdog price. We like the betting value with Boston for Tuesday night.  

Free Pick: 
Take Boston +125