Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Odds & Free Pick

Date: 
April 27, 7:07 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
Bos +130/Tor -140
Total: 
9

The Blue Jays took the first two games of this four-game AL East series and go looking for more when the teams meet again Wednesday night in Toronto. Ross Stripling gets the call here for the home team against Michael Wacha for the visitors. Who do we like here for our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Wednesdays baseball betting lines opened Toronto and Stripling at around -140 over Boston and Wacha, with an over/under of nine runs. Both those figures were holding steady in the early betting action.

Red Sox-Blue Jays MLB Betting Preview

Toronto took the opener of this series Monday night 6-2, then rallied from behind to win Tuesday night 6-5 in 10 innings. The Blue Jays got a tie-breaking grand slam from Bo Bichette in the bottom of the eighth inning to win Monday, then scored three in the ninth and one in the tenth to win Tuesday. Toronto won as a -125 favorite Monday, then at -195 Tuesday. And both games played over totals of 7.5 and eight runs. With Tuesdays win the Blue Jays are 6-1 over their last seven games while with Tuesdays loss Boston is 1-6 over its last seven contests. At 12-6 overall the Blue Jays lead the AL East by a half-game over the second-place Yankees and by five games over the 7-11 Red Sox. Last year Boston took the season series from Toronto 10 games to nine.

Wednesday's Pitching Match-Up

Stripling is 0/2 on quality starts this season. Last Friday he allowed three runs and five hits through four innings of a 4-3 Toronto victory over Houston. So on the season, including a couple of relief appearances, Stripling has given up five runs on eight hits and four walks through 10 innings of work. The Blue Jays played 10-9 with Stripling last year and theyre 2-0 with him this year. Over three starts against Boston last season Stripling got clipped for 16 runs and six home runs through just 9 2/3 innings. Toronto lost all three of those games. Wacha is 0/3 on quality starts this year, although thats due in part to a short leash. Last Friday he held Tampa Bay to two runs and three hits through five innings of a 4-3 Red Sox win. And five days before that he tossed five innings of one-hit, shutout ball against Minnesota. On the season Wacha has allowed three runs and six hits through 14 1/3 innings, with seven walks and 12 strikeouts. Boston is 2-1 with Wacha this season, with the unders going 2-0-1. Last year, pitching for the Rays, Wacha started twice against the Blue Jays, allowing six runs and eight hits through eight innings. Tampa split those two games.

Splits With the Sticks

Boston is batting .229 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .270 team OBP and a .354 team slugging percentage. The Red Sox have also been held to two runs or less six times over their last eight games!

Toronto is slashing .251/.308/.429 against right-handed pitching. The Blue Jays have also scored at least six runs each of their last three games.

The Bullpens

The Boston bullpen, after blowing Tuesdays game, owns a 3.62 ERA this season, along with a 1.22 WHIP. The Toronto pen owns a 3.00 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP.

MLB Betting Trends

  • Boston is 4-7 on the road this season and 3-10 against right-handed starters.
  • Toronto is 6-2 at home and 12-5 against right-handed starters.

Totals Report

  • The unders are 10-6 in Red Sox games this season.
  • The unders are 11-7 in Blue Jays games.

Red Sox vs. Jays Prediction 4/27/22

We give Wacha the edge in the pitching match-up but Toronto owns edges with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. Also, the Blue Jays are hot, Boston, not so much. Also, these two teams own very disparate records against RH starters. So we’re betting the Blue Jays Wednesday night.  

Free Pick: 
Take the Jays -130