Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals Pick

August 31, 7:15 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Orioles -125 / Royals +105

The Orioles won the first game of this series blasting the Royals 14-2. In the match Baltimore had an offensive explosion erupting for 14 runs on 21 hits while the Royals were held to two runs on six hits.

The Orioles have the 2nd fewest wins in MLB, but they have won four of their last five games. The Royals are two games up on the Orioles with the 3rd fewest wins in the AL, and they have lost two in a row and four of their last five games. The KC pitching has been hammered in losing their previous two games giving up a total of 23 runs.

This season the Orioles rank 26th in runs scored and 30th in team ERA and the Royals rank 27th in runs scored and 27th in team ERA.

Pitching Match-Up

Baltimore: Dylan Bundy (6-13 4.98 ERA)

Kansas City: Jorge Lopez (2-7 6.56 ERA)

Bundy has been solid in his last two starts and in the last one he gave up two earned runs on eight hits in five innings in an 8-3 win over the Tampa Bay Rays. After losing two in a row with him on the hill giving up, eight earned runs the Orioles have won his last two starts where he has totaled 12 innings and given up three earned runs. Bundy's only start of the season against the Royals came in the one before his last outing where he only gave up one earned run in seven innings in a 4-1 Baltimore win. The Orioles have lost 13 of Bundy's last 18 road starts and have lost three of his previous 15 starts facing a team with a losing record.

Lopez’s last appearance was out of the bullpen and one he would like to forget giving up five earned runs in only one 2/3 innings in an embarrassing 19-4 loss to the Oakland A’s. He started this season in the KC rotation but is only making his 3rd start since late May. He has mainly worked out of the bullpen since then but did get a rare start on August 19th in Baltimore and pitched well giving up one run on only two hits in five innings in a 5-4 Royals win. In four relief appearances and one start this month Lopez has a less than stellar ERA of 8.76. Overall, Kansas City has lost 11 of his last 13 starts and have lost four of his last five home starts.

Betting Angles

  • The Royals are 25-10 in their last 35 home games against the Orioles.
  • The total had gone Under in four straight games between these teams in Kansas City before Game 1 of this series went well Over.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Baltimore Orioles: 45-89 SU / O/U 67-59 / Run Line W/L 58-76

Kansas City Royals: 47-89 SU / O/U 66-64 / Run Line W/L 64-72

Key Betting Trends

  • BAL is 4-1 in their last five games
  • BAL is 28-71 in their previous 99 games following a win
  • BAL has an Under record of 7-3 in their last ten games
  • KC is 1-4 in their last five games
  • KC is 3-14 in their previous 17 home games
  • KC has an Over record of 5-1 in their last six games

Team Info

Both of these teams are well out of the playoff race and have been for a long time. They are playing for pride and also playing to avoid having the 2nd fewest wins in the Majors.

The Orioles have the worst team ERA in MLB, but in the four wins in their last five games, they have only surrendered six runs. Their pitching also was solid in their recent three-game home series against the Royals taking two of three games winning the last two where they only gave up one run in each.

The Royals have given up at least nine runs in three of their last five games. They started the 2nd half with a bang winning nine of their first 12 games after the All-Star break, but since then they have lost 25 of their last 33 games.

Key Player Injuries


The Orioles have not been hit that hard by the injury bug this season, but they have lost two starting pitchers for the season.


2B Adalberto Mondesi is slated to come off the injured list and be available for Sunday’s game, but he is out for this game.

Orioles at Royals Prediction 8/31/19

The Orioles have had a season to forget, but they have played well as of late, and the pitching has been the main reason. The Royals are reeling, and they only scored two runs in Game 1 of this series and only totaled two runs in losing two games to the Orioles on the road in a recent series. Lopez was on the hill in the only win for Kansas City in their latest road series against the Orioles, but he will struggle in this game like his last outing when he was shelled. Bundy will have a good outing, and this will be a lower scoring game unlike Game 1, but the outcome will be the same, as Baltimore will win the game and look for the series sweep on Sunday.

Free Pick: 
Take the Orioles -125

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