Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox Odds & Predictions

Date: 
June 23, 8:10 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
Balt +140/CWS -152
Total: 
9un -120

Two teams trending in a positive direction as of late meet when the White Sox and Orioles open a four-game series on the South Side Thursday night. Veteran Johnny Cueto gets the call for Chicago here against young Dean Kremer for Baltimore.

How are we playing this game with our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Thursday's baseball betting lines opened Chicago and Cueto at around -155 over Baltimore and Kremer, with an over/under of nine runs. Early betting action then bumped the White Sox to -160.

Orioles-White Sox MLB Betting Preview

Baltimore just split two games with Washington, winning Wednesday 7-0 in a rain-shortened six innings. Just before that, the Orioles took two of three from Tampa Bay, and just before that, they took two of the last three games of a series at Toronto. So Baltimore is 5-3 over its last eight games.

At 31-39 overall, the Orioles are dead in the AL East race, but they're only seven games behind Minnesota in the battle for the third and final AL wild-card spot.

Chicago, meanwhile, just took two of three games at home from the Blue Jays, missing out on the sweep by losing Wednesday's series finale 9-5. Just before that, the White Sox lost two of three at Houston, but just before that, they swept three games at Detroit. So Chicago is 6-3 over its last nine games.

At 33-34 overall, the White Sox trail first-place Cleveland by 4.5 games in the AL Central, and they're 3.5 games behind the Twins in that wild-card race.

This series is the first meeting between these teams this season. Last year Chicago swept the season series from Baltimore seven games to none.

Thursday's Pitching Match-Up

By our strict standards, Cueto is 3/6 on quality starts this season. Last Saturday, he held Houston scoreless on two hits through seven innings of a 7-0 Chicago victory. And over his last three starts, he's allowed seven runs - six earned - and 13 hits through 19 innings, with three walks and 15 strikeouts.

The White Sox are 3-3 with Cueto this season, which is what they should be, based on his performances.

This will be Cueto's first start against Baltimore since 2016 when he was with San Francisco, and that's a long time ago.

Kremer is 1/3 on quality starts this year. Last Friday, he held Tampa Bay scoreless on five hits through six innings of a 1-0 Orioles win. And over his three starts, all this month, he's allowed five runs - four earned - and 14 hits through 15 1/3 innings, with four walks against ten whiffs.

Baltimore is 2-1 with Kremer this year, which sounds about right.

This will be Kremer's first career start against the White Sox.

Splits With the Sticks

Baltimore is batting .228 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .294 team OBP and a .381 team slugging percentage. The Orioles have also scored at least six runs six times over their last ten games.

Chicago is slashing .244/.300/.357 against right-handed pitching. The White Sox have also scored at least five runs eight times over their last ten games. However, several regulars are dealing with various ailments, so bettors might want to check later updates before getting down on this game.

The Bullpens

The Chicago bullpen owns a 4.29 ERA this season, along with a 1.36 WHIP.

The Baltimore pen owns a 3.18 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP.

MLB Betting Trends

The Orioles are 13-22 on the road this season and 18-26 against right-handed starters.

The White Sox are 15-18 at home and 26-25 against RH starters.

Totals Report

  • The Under is 35-32 in Orioles games this season.
  • The Over is 33-31 in White Sox games.
  • The Under is a combined 7-2 with Cueto and Kremer this season.
  • The Over is 17-15 at Guaranteed Rate Field this season.

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox Prediction 6/23/22

We give Cueto a slight edge in the pitching match-up, but Baltimore owns the edge in the bullpen comparison. And when we call the splits with the sticks a wash, we see that the line on this game is inflated toward Chicago. The Orioles are actually plus about five betting units on the season money chart because they're cashing in as underdogs on a reasonably regular basis. And that's what we like here. We're betting Baltimore Thursday night, catching the underdog price.  

Free Pick: 
Take Baltimore +140