Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros Game 6 Odds & Pick

Date: 
November 2, 8:09 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
ATL +115/HOU -125
Total: 
8.5ov -122

After staving off elimination with a Game 5 victory Sunday night, the Astros shoot to even this World Series up when the teams meet for Game 6 Tuesday night back in Houston. The Astros were down three games to one in the Series and 4-0 in the game Sunday night but finally got the bats going and rolled to a 9-5 win.

The Astros began this Series as -140 favorites to win, with Atlanta getting +120 as the underdog.
Now, heading into this Game 6, Houston is getting +190 to win the next two games, with the Braves favored by -235 to finish the Astros off.

Luis Garcia will try to help force a Game 7 for Houston while lefty Max Fried will try to close things out for Atlanta. How are we playing Game 6 with our free World Series betting pick?

World Series Game 6 Betting Odds

The World Series betting lines opened Houston at around -115 for Game 6, with an over/under of nine runs. Early betting action then bumped the Astros a dime to -125.

Game 6 World Series Betting Preview

Atlanta leads this World Series three games to two following Houston's 9-5 Game 5 victory Sunday night. The Astros spotted the Braves a first-inning grand slam, then scored two runs in the top of the second, two in the third, and three in the fifth while getting 6 1/3 innings of shutout relief work to stay alive.

Houston won Sunday as a -120 favorite on the Game 5 betting line, and the game rolled over a total of 8.5 runs.

So the under bet is now 3-1-1 in this World Series.

Houston has now out-gained Atlanta in this Series 22-16. The only problem is 16 of those Astros runs came in two games.

Game 6 Pitching Match-Up

Garcia is making his fifth appearance of this postseason. His first two went poorly, as he gave up ten runs in less than four innings of work in the ALDS against the White Sox and in the ALCS against the Red Sox. But he then held Boston scoreless on one hit through 5 2/3 innings of that pennant-clinching Houston victory, and then he limited these Braves to one run through 3 2/3 innings of Game 3 of this World Series, although the Astros lost that game 2-0.

So through 13 total innings this postseason, Garcia has allowed 11 runs on 11 hits and 11 walks, with 18 strikeouts.

Houston played 16-12 with Garcia during the regular season, but it's only 1-3 with him this postseason.

Lefty Fried is also making his fifth appearance of this postseason. His first two went well, as he held the Brewers in the NLDS and the Dodgers in the NLCS to two runs and 11 hits through 12 innings, with zero walks and 14 strikeouts. But he then gave up five runs in less than five innings in an 11-2 Atlanta loss to LA, then allowed six runs in five frames in a 7-2 Braves loss in Game 2 of this World Series.

So through 21 2/3 innings this postseason, Fried has allowed 13 runs and 26 hits, with three walks and 23 whiffs.

Atlanta played 18-10 with Fried during the regular season, and it's 2-2 with him this postseason.

Splits With the Sticks

Atlanta batted .245 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .321 team OBP and a .440 team slugging percentage.

Houston batted .270 against left-handed pitching this season, which ranked No. 2 in Baseball in that split, with a .340 team OBP, which also ranked No. 2, and a .449 team slugging percentage, which ranked No. 3.

The Bullpens

The Houston bullpen posted a 4.06 ERA this season, along with a 1.30 WHIP and a 2.47 K/BB ratio. So far, this World Series Astros relievers have allowed just five runs and 16 hits through 25 2/3 innings.

The Atlanta bullpen posted a 3.97 ERA this season, a 1.32 WHIP, and a 2.47 K/BB ratio. So far in this World Series, Braves relievers have allowed nine runs and 28 hits through 29 1/3 innings.

MLB Betting Trends

  • Atlanta played 46-35 on the road this season.
  • Houston played 51-30 at home this season.
  • Atlanta played 65-55 against right-handed starters this season.
  • Houston played 34-28 vs. left-handed starters.

Totals Report

The Under is 75-74 in Braves games this season.

Overs played 86-68 in Astros games this season.

Overs played 45-35 at Minute Maid Park this season.

We liked Houston to win this World Series from the get-go because of the advantage with the bats, and they finally woke up Sunday night. And they got Fried for six runs in Game 2. Plus, the Astros are playing at home in front of a raucous crowd, and the price isn't bad. So we're betting Houston here to push this series to a Game 7. 

Free Pick: 
Take Houston -125