Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Montreal Alouettes Week 15 Pick

Date: 
September 21, 4:00 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Winnipeg -2.5
Total: 
47.5

Week 15 in the CFL has the West division-leading Winnipeg Blue Bombers traveling East to face the upstart Alouettes in Montreal. The books are finally showing the Als some respect listing them as +2.5 home doggies against the mighty Blue Bombers, not a lot of scoring anticipated on this one with a total of 47.5. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 ET on Saturday the 21st.

The Bombers avenged their 17-19 Labour day loss to the Riders the last time they took the field crushing the Riders 35-10 at home in the “Banjo Bowl” re-match. Winnipeg has flipped the script this year playing well at home and so-so on the road going 5-1 ATS at home but only 4-2 on the road.

Montreal was in a tough spot last week facing an angry Saskatchewan team in Mosaic Stadium a week after the Riders were embarrassed in Winnipeg. The Als were not able to pull off the upset losing SU 25-27, but they did cover with the extra +6.5 points bringing their ATS record above .500 to 6-5.

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Winnipeg at Montreal Overview

The last time these two teams met was in a meaningless game (for the Alouettes) last year in Winnipeg where the home team was victorious 14-31. The Als were a lousy football team last year and the year before and basically since Anthony Cavillio retired, not anymore. Therefore I cannot use recent history reliably. The history I'm focusing on is past five years ago when Winnipeg was still in the Eastern Division, and they played Montreal three times a year. Back then Montreal had the Bombers number, why is that important? It is essential because Montreal, as an organization, doesn't have any psychological hang-ups in regards to playing Winnipeg. The Bombers having an 8-2 SU record against the Als recently won’t be casting any seeds of doubt in the minds of the Montreal locker room.

Winnipeg Overview

Winnipeg winning two weeks ago without their starting QB and all-star RB was not overly shocking, because that is what good teams do. Back-up QB Chris Streveller played better with another week of first-team reps and actually completed some passes down the field. The better third of this team is obviously the defense which led by Willy Jefferson is capable of busting any play into a turnover. The Bomber defense is keeping teams to under twenty points a game this season, and I don't see them letting up this week, as long Willy "Inspector Gadget” Jefferson is out there causing havoc the Bombers shouldn’t need a lot of points to win.

Montreal Overview

Montreal is not a "juggernaut" by any means, but they sure are dangerous. The keys to the success of this team lie in two significant places, the head coach Khari Jones and QB Vernon Adams. Jones not only has a lot of experience, but he has shown that he can rely on it to make sound decisions. Jones is smart, and he puts his team in a position to win every play every game. Also, he has one of this year's biggest playmakers running the offense, so that helps. Speaking of which Vernon Adams has played at a high level this year becoming the true dual-threat QB torching teams with his legs and arm. Without VA in the lineup this year Montreal struggled on offense, but with him, they've been in every game and won six out of five. WPG will have to keep that young man off the field if they want to win on Saturday.

Blue Bombers at Alouettes Prediction 09/21/2019

Overall I think Winnipeg is the team better positioned to win this week by virtue of their outstanding defense as well as their overall continuity in key positions/groups, but I noticed something concerning about their play early in the season. They don’t seem to respect and or prepare for Eastern teams on the road, and I can’t really blame them. Winnipeg is the best team in the league (arguably), but they only win when they want to. I don’t see them caring that much this week about the 6-5 Als. Another chink in the Bombers armor is that offense, I’ve seen it stall with Matt Nichols under center as well as Chris Streveller. The Bombers are a really solid team, but they’re not invincible. I like a motivated Alouettes team with a healthy starting QB to outlast and most importantly outscore the Bombers. Take the home dogs on the moneyline.

Free Pick: 
Take MONTREAL +125
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