Toronto Argonauts at Ottawa RedBlacks Week 13 Pick
Johnathon Jennings gets the call at QB for the Redblacks when they host the Argonauts Saturday afternoon. The line opened at Ottawa -5 and hasn't budged since the total is currently at 51.5. Barring a tie, one of these team's losing streaks will come to an end in week 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm ET.
Toronto Argonauts Overview
Toronto has given up two-score leads going into half-time in back to back weeks letting the Alouettes complete the comeback against them 22-28 two weeks ago and then again last week falling 27-38 to the Ti-Cats.
Ottawa RedBlacks Overview
Ottawa has a three-game losing streak on the go as well, although I don't recall them ever having a lead at any point since their win over Montreal way back in week 9. They played Hamilton tough at home in week 10, but couldn't generate any offense and eventually fell 7-21. Things didn't seem to improve the next week in Saskatchewan when QB Dominique Davis started the game by throwing three consecutive interceptions, needless to say, he was replaced by J. Jennings who got the offense going a bit, but it was too little too late as the Redblacks went on to lose 18-40.
This meeting is the first of three between these two squads, so it could actually be an opportunity for the Redblacks to get back in the playoff hunt (Toronto at 1-9 is too far out). Looking at the head-to-head record I don't see any solid trends jumping out at me, but it is interesting to note that Toronto is 7-3 SU, but only 5-5 ATS. These two teams are so different than they were the last few seasons, I’m going to disregard these numbers and concentrate on what they are this season.
I've been watching the Argos closely the last couple of weeks, and I'm pretty sure I've discovered why they score points, play good defense (not to mention win the turn over battle), but still lose games. They can't run the ball. Last week they passed for 332 yards and ran for 42, that left way too much time on the clock for a team like Hamilton to launch a rally. Luckily for them, the offense they’re facing this week hasn’t won a game via offense since week 2 or 3. I think Toronto is a slightly better team overall compared to the Redblacks, but I’m concerned about their mental state, if they can pick themselves off the mat one more time they should come out on top.
Ottawa is in a little better shape, however fragile when it comes to the state of mind they might be playing with. A new QB under center with CFL experience should give this group some hope of parlaying their three wins so far into a playoff run. The second-place Als are only two games up on the Redblacks, and if Ottawa wins the next meeting, they'll hold the tie-breaker. The fact that Ottawa has so much more to play for than Toronto is the only reason I think they can win here.
- Get more details: Toronto at Ottawa CFL Match-up Stats
Argos at RedBlacks Prediction 09/08/2019
There is a chance of rain on Saturday, but honestly, it doesn't matter that much to me. This game is a basement bowl. It is going to be a low scoring affair between two desperate teams with really good defenses and mediocre offenses. Rain will just make it a little uglier. Having said that I'm going to fade getting caught in the "zig-zag" and take the UNDER again this week. Often I'll take the points in a garbage bowl because they're usually settled by field goals, so if you like to play the spread the points are not a bad wager, but on this occasion, I think the total going UNDER 51.5 is the slightly better bet.