Seattle Sounders at NYC FC Free MLS Pick - Odds
Two teams that are coming off opposite results in the US Open Cup mid-week are now clashing against each other for the MLS, when NYCFC will be hosting the Seattle Sounders. NYCFC fell by 0-1 to city rivals New York Red Bulls and were eliminated at the 4th round, while the Sounders had a rivalry of their own, when they overcame Cascadia rivals Portland Timbers by 1-2 and moved on to the 5th round.
NYCFC (7-5-3) had one of the toughest match-ups than any other MLS team in the US Open Cup, as they were up against city rivals New York Red Bulls. Both teams fielded very competitive starting line-ups, but it was the Red Bulls who scored the winning goal at the 65th minute. Prior to that, NYCFC had overcame Philadelphia by 1-2 at home, and they have been in poor form lately, having won just 2 of their last 7 matches in all competitions (2-3-2). Even so, they are still sitting at the 3rd spot of the Eastern Conference with 24 points, having scored 27 goals against 19 conceded. They have been pretty strong at home so far (4-1-2), where they have scored 15 goals against 8 conceded. They might have remained undefeated in their last 3 home matches (2-0-1), but they have only kept a single clean sheet at home. Both teams have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches, while only one of those 7 featured Under 2.5 Goals. NYCFC will be coming into this match with a handful of injury concerns, as Shelton has been ruled out, while Pirlo, Chanot, Wallace, Matarrita and Moralez are still listed as questionable to participate.
On the other hand, the Seattle Sounders (5-6-4) are coming into this match after a solid 1-2 win at home against Cascadia rivals Portland Timbers for the US Open Cup. Coach Schemtzer used reserves and USL players in his line-up, but they were great in their duties and moved on to the 5th round of the US Open Cup. Prior to that, they had recorded a slim 0-1 win at home against Houston for the MLS, as they have now won 4 of their last 5 matches in all competitions (4-1-0). They are now sitting at the 6th spot of the Western Conference with 19 points after 15 matches, having scored just 18 goals so far against 22 conceded. Despite their dominance at home, the Sounders have been quite poor on the road so far (1-5-2), where they feature the 3rd worst road defense in the MLS with 17 conceded, against just 9 goals scored. They have lost their last 3 road matches against Columbus, SKC and Chicago, having scored a single goal in that span, against a whopping 10 conceded. Seattle's offense has an awful lot of talent that has yet to click together, so I expect them to get better as time goes by. They Sounders rested all their starters ahead of this match, and there are no injuries.
Seattle Sounders at NYC FC Prediction
The two teams have met just twice in the past, with the visitors having won both matches, a 3-1 Seattle win in New York, before a 2-0 NYCFC win in Seattle. Most of NYCFC's matches at home turn out to be goal-fests, while the Sounders still have some defensive problems on the road. This could be an upset, as the Sounders are coming into this match fully rested, while the NYCFC starters also played two days ago in the US Open Cup. I would rather go with the Over 2.75 Goals here, as suggested by each team's recent performances.
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