NFL FOOTBALL PICKS - FREE WEEKLY ATS PREDICTIONS

Sports Betting Stats specializes in providing a variety of NFL game stats to help the beginner sports bettors to seasoned pro make informed decisions on their weekly plays. For those who don't have the time to handicap, we also provide winning NFL selections for free to all our visitors. The key prognosticator at SBS is our resident expert Rich Crew, who has for years professional handicapped the NFL as well as being a professional sports bettor. Crew along with our team of staff handicappers have documented success of providing profitable winning predictions in the NFL.

Our football picks are of the highest quality these aren't your throw it at the wall and see if it sticks selections. Our NFL picks are fully researched and our visitors will find expert analysis for key selections. If you need help to increase your bottom line and take your football bankroll into the black then this is the place to come each week from the opening kickoff of week 1 to the final whistle of Super Bowl Sunday. You won't find any lock of the week or 50 Star play, but we can guarantee that our cappers have spent hours each week handicapping the pro football schedule looking for the best possible plays for you to get your action down on.

Make this NFL football season a more profitable one by signing up at a sportsbook that offers the best odds >>> Reduced Juice Lines or the Best Underdog Lines.

Sunday Nov 06, 2016

San Diego is 2-1 SU at home with their only blemish being a 35-34 loss to New Orleans. Rivers and the rest of his mates play much better at home and need this win to stay in playoff contention. With their 3 division rivals sitting 6-2, 6-2 and 5-2, they can’t afford a loss to a team on their level. The Titans have proven to be a tough out in 2016 but haven’t defeated a team with a winning record. I think Rivers will bounce back from a poor effort last week and give the Chargers a badly-needed win at home.

Free Pick: 
Take the Chargers -5.5
Sunday Nov 06, 2016

This game features two QB-driven teams that are overly reliant on their QBs to produce wins. The Colts o-line simply doesn’t pass protect well enough forcing Luck to scramble or throw ill-advised passes. I look for the Packers defense to give Luck multiple looks and amp up the pass rush to force him into quick decisions. After a slow start, Rodgers has found his groove and always plays well at home. Green Bay is 4-0 SU at home this season and has won every game by 7+ points. If they get a few players back from injury, they should have no problem getting a win and putting pressure on the division-leading Vikings.

Free Pick: 
Take the Packers -7
Sunday Nov 06, 2016

During San Francisco’s 6-game losing streak, they have lost 5 games by 12+ points and 4 of them by 17+ points. They just aren’t competitive as they have experienced a huge talent drain over the past few years. New Orleans has scored 25+ points in 5 of their 7 games and I expect them to reach that total again this week. With the number being only a FG, I have no problem backing a Saints team that has won 3 of their last 4 outings.

Free Pick: 
Take the Saints -3
Thursday Nov 03, 2016

The Bucs have had the recent edge in this NFC South rivalry, but Atlanta should be able to get a leg up on Tampa in this season’s division race with a win both SU and ATS behind a relentless offensive attack that knows how to put up points in bunches.

Revenge could also be a factor following the Falcons’ 31-24 loss to Tampa Bay at home on opening day as 2.5-point favorites. You might want to parlay Atlanta -3 with the OVER 51.5 points in what should be another entertaining game.

Free Pick: 
Take Atlanta -3
Monday Oct 31, 2016

The big question in this matchup is which Minnesota team shows up on Monday night in Chicago. The Vikings may not be as good as everyone painted them out to be following that 5-0 start, but they are not nearly as bad as they looked in Philadelphia last week.

 

The one thing I do know is that the Bears are a very bad team, so that makes this week’s Monday night pick rather easy with Minnesota covering the 5 points on the road.

Free Pick: 
Minnesota -5 (DS)
Sunday Oct 30, 2016

The Jets are the tempting play in this market be that they are the team with the “hotter hand” of the two. We will have no part in playing on a team that simply cannot win but this does not mean there is no equity in playing on this team with points. Case and point, the Browns are 2-5 ATS this season yet they have not won one game. The Jets are not a team that is good enough to be spotting road points to anyone, even if that team is winless. The market seems to invite takers to have a piece of Gang Green action and steer players away from the Browns who require a bit more juice with the points. The safer bet is actually to take the juice as this market is taking a stance on this very fixture. Contrarily in Money Line markets, no one wants a piece of the Jets with the juice then and there, which says to us the Jets are obviously a team that have little faith from the public overall. Can anyone fault that position? The best bet here is the Browns with the points.

Free Pick: 
Take the Cleveland Browns +3 (KF)
Sunday Oct 30, 2016

It is enticing to opt in on Buffalo outright here by virtue of the fact they have already beaten this team once this season and now get them at home with a tremendous purse on the table if they were to win. When we see the public smother the Patriots in both Money Line and Against The Spread markets, it signals us to fade that opinion right away as this is likely the result of last week’s impressive victory combined with the prestige that goes along with the Patriot crest. Buffalo is a talented football team and their four game winning streak shows how relevant and capable this outfit truly is. Had Buffalo won on the road at Miami, this game would have been for first place and perhaps the evaluation and assessment of this contest would have gone in a different direction as well. Nevertheless, the combination of the Dolphin victory and the Steeler defeat has driven the price in this market. The Patriots have had trouble in Orchard Park previously even when Tom Brady was on the field and in his prime. Points with Buffalo is a tremendous value play as an upset may be in the works yet again.

Free Pick: 
Take the Buffalo Bills +5 (KF)
Sunday Oct 30, 2016

I expect this game to be a track meet from the get go. Ryan and Rodgers should both have big contests against defenses dealing with injuries or youth in their secondaries. The fact the Falcons can also run the ball means the Packers have to worry about the run and pass. Six of Atlanta’s 7 games this season have reached 50 points while 5 have hit 55. While GB has only played in 2 contests that have eclipsed 49 points, they haven’t played many elite offenses. I expect this game to go over the number as both offenses feast on defenses not equipped to deal with them.

Free Pick: 
Take the Over 52.5 (JS)
Sunday Oct 30, 2016

Both of these teams are 4-3 and contending for a division title. Unfortunately for the Lions, they have to deal with Minnesota and Green Bay while Houston’s route to a title is considerably easier. The Texans are 4-0 SU at home this year and I think they and Osweiler can overcome a difficult performance from Monday night. The Lions have always been a much better home team and with so many defensive stars injured, I just don’t see them keeping up with an offense that has a lot of talent and plays so much better at home.

Free Pick: 
Take the Texans -2.5 (JS)
Sunday Oct 30, 2016

Dallas has definitely been the more consistent of the two teams, especially on offense behind a strong running game. However, the Eagles bring quite a bit of momentum into this game following last week’s upset over Minnesota. This is the kind of matchup where that extra half point on the current spread could make all the difference in the world.

I have been burnt by Philadelphia on the road this season, but I am going to bite on that attractive 4.5-point spread in what I see as a three point game either way.

Free Pick: 
Take Philadelphia +4.5 (DS)
Sunday Oct 30, 2016

This is a big game for both clubs as the Raiders are tied for the division lead and the Buccaneers are only a game behind the Falcons. Tampa Bay’s defense has been up and down this year and I think they will have trouble defending the big-play offense of Oakland. Winston has been prone to big mistakes in 2016 and while he handled the 49ers pretty handily, he must now deal with the better team by the bay. The Raiders have shown themselves to be road warriors this season and a 2nd-consecutive game in Florida means no long trips home in between. I see Carr outplaying Winston in this game and giving the Raiders another big road win.

Free Pick: 
Take the Raiders +1.5 (JS)
Thursday Oct 27, 2016

Both of these teams have some solid talent on the offensive side of the ball, but neither one has been able to move the ball down the field and score points on a consistent basis. Things could open up this week in a head-to-head matchup although the recent trends on the total line in this division clash point to a low scoring affair.

I would probably lean towards Tennessee at home, but I also think that both teams will have some level of success against the opposing team’s defense to the point where the total goes OVER the current 44-point line on Thursday night.

Free Pick: 
Take the Over 44
Monday Oct 24, 2016

The first inclination I had for this matchup was a low-scoring grinder that still stayed UNDER an already low 40.5-point total line, but I decided to go with Denver’s long-standing success playing at home going up against Houston long-running inability to win on the road.

As my “best bet” pick for Monday night, I am going to lay the touchdown spread and take the Broncos to win this game by more than seven points.

Free Pick: 
Take the Denver Broncos -7 (DS)
Monday Oct 24, 2016

 

The first inclination I had for this matchup was a low-scoring grinder that still stayed UNDER an already low 40.5-point total line, but I decided to go with Denver’s long-standing success playing at home going up against Houston long-running inability to win on the road.

 

As my “best bet” pick for Monday night, I am going to lay the touchdown spread and take the Broncos to win this game by more than seven points.

Free Pick: 
Take the Denver Broncos -7 (DS)
Sunday Oct 23, 2016

Tampa Bay has some ugly trends to deal with in this contest (0-6-1 ATS after their bye since 2009, 2-12 SU all time at SF) but I think they will overcome those this week. The 49ers are reeling and not being competitive in games. Tampa Bay had the week off to get healthy and HC Dirk Koetter hammered it into QB Jameis Winston’s head about avoiding TOs. With the return of Martin and the DLs, I expect the Bucs to get a rare win at a place they have seldom won at in the past. The season-ending loss of 49ers ILB Navorro Bowman certainly doesn’t help SF’s cause either.

Free Pick: 
Take the Buccaneers -2
Sunday Oct 23, 2016

This is a bad week for the Steelers to have to face the Patriots. The absence of Big Ben will limit the offense and the defense is reeling after another blow-out loss on the road. New England is rolling and appears to be one of the top 2-3 teams in the league (again). NE is 8-2 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 matchups with Pittsburgh and I expect this game to hold true to form. With the line only a converted TD, I have no problem backing the visitor in this one.

Free Pick: 
Take the Patriots -7
Sunday Oct 23, 2016

The Jets enter in the perfect position. The Jets’ stock has plummeted and now they may be the laughing stock of all the league entering this contest. The numbers reflect this narrative and much of this reaction is predicated on the outcome of Monday Night’s contest. When most of the country watches such a beat down, an overreaction is likely to occur in the following week to lay a team like the Jets. Let us highlight the fact, the Jets lost to three playoff teams in a row, a list that includes, Pittsburgh, Seattle and Arizona. Baltimore has not played any team comparable to this caliber yet. Now they are tasked with going back to MetLife Stadium yet again and hoping to foster a different result than the one sustained on Sunday…the outlook of which looks grim. In Over/Under markets, the heavy steam on the Under prompts us to go the other way with the over as it is feasible Gang Green and the Birds both get their offenses going in a potential shootout. Anything can happen but the pick-em market quantifies this preposition. If the game is a virtual-toss up from market perspective the move is to certainly play on the time with a perceived home field advantage as opposed to a road dog that has documented struggles. Jets is the call.

Free Pick: 
Take New York Jets (PK) + Over 41.5 (KF)
Sunday Oct 23, 2016

Both teams are relying heavily on their defense to win games this year and while Seattle has been solid since Week 1, the Cardinals’ defense has picked up the pace over the past few weeks.

The past trends in this division tilt tend to favor a higher scoring game than expected when they meet in the desert, but I do not think that will be the case on Sunday night. The total line in this game is already set pretty low at 43.5 points, but I still think that the final score stays UNDER this number.

Free Pick: 
Take the Under 43.5 (DS)
Sunday Oct 23, 2016

The Giants at -2.5 are priced at -125. At -3 they are evens. It is as if the books are inviting money to come in on the Rams which tells us right away the Rams could be a potential trap bet. The Giants recently shook off a nasty three-game skid and this is a team with many offensive weapons at their disposal. Eli Manning has thrown for over 4,000 yards on many occasions and we all know what Victor Cruz and Odell Beckham, Jr can do. The question is whether the Rams can handle any offense that comes at them at this point thus why the Giants at -2.5 require substantial juice, it is almost as if the books are saying the Giants are going to win this one and they are extraordinarily confident as so. Normally books are very sharp when it comes to high-profile contests of this caliber be that the audience is international and all will see this game unfold. Sure, the Rams may have some weapons of their own but the Giants at the end of the day are dealing with a five-hour time difference to contend with as opposed to the Rams who are traveling nearly 10 hours with an eight-hour overlay. Giants will win this one handily.

Free Pick: 
Take the New York Giants -3
Sunday Oct 23, 2016

The Vikings are 5-0, the last remaining undefeated team in the league. The Eagles have dropped 2 straight after an impressive 3-0 start. Minnesota HC Mike Zimmer is a defensive veteran who will have watched film of Philadelphia’s last 2 games and should be able to establish a game plan to make Wentz uncomfortable. Both teams have had success on kick returns but Vikings PR Marcus Sherels (2 TDs) and KR Cordarrelle Patterson are especially dangerous. With the Vikings ascending and the Eagles descending, I feel comfortable laying less than a FG in this one.

Free Pick: 
Take the Vikings -2.5

Pages