NFL FOOTBALL PICKS ATS - FREE WEEKLY EXPERT PREDICTIONS

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Saturday Jan 14, 2023

Los Angeles will try to throw it against Jacksonville’s 28th-ranked pass defense. The Jaguars might try to take advantage of the Chargers’ 28th-ranked run defense. We prefer the latter method. Also, Jacksonville did something right in that win over Los Angeles earlier this season. Also, the Jags actually played poorly last week against Tennessee and were a bit lucky to win. We expect a much better performance Saturday night. We’re betting on Jacksonville.

Free Pick: Take Jax +2

Saturday Jan 14, 2023

Los Angeles will try to throw it against Jacksonville’s 28th-ranked pass defense. The Jaguars might try to take advantage of the Chargers’ 28th-ranked run defense. We prefer the latter method. Also, Jacksonville did something right in that win over Los Angeles earlier this season. Also, the Jags actually played poorly last week against Tennessee and were a bit lucky to win. We expect a much better performance Saturday night. We’re betting on Jacksonville.

Free Pick: Take Jax +2

Sunday Jan 08, 2023

Baltimore is just not getting the offensive production it needs without Jackson. The Ravens' defense is playing better, but this team has lost games recently in which it allowed just 13 and 16 points. Cincinnati, meanwhile, stumbled early this season but is showing its class by righting the ship and winning seven games in a row. We’re betting on the Bengals minus the points.

Free Pick: Take the Bengals -9

Saturday Jan 07, 2023

Jacksonville is hot, Tennessee is not, and Big Mo weighs heavy at this time of the season. The Jaguars are getting good play at QB, running the ball, and playing better defense as of late. Meanwhile, the Titans are banged-up, iffy at QB, and Henry, while listed as probable for Saturday, is dealing with a sore hip. Also, the Jags just outplayed Tennessee a month ago; they might just do it again. We're giving the points with Jacksonville Saturday.

 

Free Pick: Take Jacksonville -6.5

Monday Jan 02, 2023

I think both teams are going to try and establish the run making the first half Under my play for tonight’s game. 

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 24.5

Sunday Jan 01, 2023

To begin, this game may mean little to Minnesota by the time kick-off rolls around. If Philadelphia beats the Saints earlier Sunday, the Vikes will play on wild-card weekend, and the seedings and potential opponents don't look like they matter all that much. Minnesota is really dangerous offensively but iffy on defense. Also, how much longer can the Vikings keep pulling out those close games at the end? Green Bay, meanwhile, has life and momentum. Ultimately, our guess is the Packers running game will be the deciding factor. We're betting on Green Bay Sunday.

Free Pick: Take Green Bay

Thursday Dec 29, 2022

Dallas is just the better team here and should win this game. However, the Cowboys are susceptible to the run. Tennessee, meanwhile, is without its starting QB but can still do two things pretty well; run the ball and defend the run. And that would be a good way to stay in this game. Also, we still harbor a good degree of betting respect for Coach Vrabel. Also, double-digit dogs ain't faring too badly as of late. We're not calling for the outright upset, but we'll take the Titans plus the points Thursday night.

Free Pick: Take Tennessee +12.5

Sunday Dec 25, 2022

Green Bay, despite its struggles, is still alive in the playoff race. The Packers have also won two straight, and they're actually one of the healthier teams in the League right now. Miami, meanwhile, won five in a row not too long ago but against some iffy competition. Then the schedule got a little tougher, and they lost three straight. The Dolphins put on a great effort in tough conditions last week, but we wonder if that doesn't just make them candidates for a letdown this week. This one should be close, and three and a hook might come in really handy. We'll take the Packers plus the points.

Free Pick: Take Green Bay +3.5

Saturday Dec 24, 2022

This is a strange game because Philadelphia is so close to clinching that No. 1 seed but the wise move is probably to sit Hurts. Dallas, meanwhile, is hard to figure; they can be good but they almost lost to the Texans and blew that game last week. Our guess is Hurts plays Saturday, and even if he doesn’t we have faith in Minshew as a back-up. We also like that Eagles defense, which now ranks No. 2 in the League and No. 1 against the pass. Also, we never shy away from betting against the flow. We’ll take Philly and the points here.

 

Free Pick: Take Philadlphia

Thursday Dec 22, 2022

Jacksonville rides Big Mo into Thursday night, following that crazy win over Dallas, but the Jaguars were also “good” enough to fall down by 17 points in that one. Also, that Jags' defense isn’t exactly stuffing opponents as of late. Meanwhile, New York’s hit some doldrums, but its defense will be the best unit on the field Thursday night. Also, Wilson wasn’t exactly terrible last week. The NFL is often a funny place, where what’s up one week is down the next, and vice versa, and this game gives us that feeling. We’re betting on the Jets in this spot.

Free Pick: Take the Jets -2.5

Monday Dec 19, 2022

Green Bay is actually still alive in the playoff race, albeit on life-support, while Los Angeles is just playing out the string on a lost season. Also, the Packers own the better running game,  which might come in handy on a cold December night in Wisconsin. Also, the Rams just got lucky last week. We’re giving the points with Green Bay Monday night.


Saturday Dec 17, 2022

We've been dubious of Miami all season. Hill is probably worth a touchdown per game on his own, but the Dolphins don't run the ball, and their defense ranks on the low side of middlin'. Buffalo, meanwhile, is out-rushing opponents by 34 YPG this season, and teams that win the ground battles in the NFL cover the spread about 65 percent of the time. Also, the Bills out-gained Miami by 285 yards (!) back in September; they just pissed that game away. We're betting on Buffalo, minus the points, Saturday night.

Free Pick: Take Buffalo -7

Thursday Dec 15, 2022

Most signs point toward San Francisco here, coming off back-to-back big wins over supposedly quality opponents while Seattle sputters. However, the 49ers just lost Samuel, and they're still operating with a rookie quarterback. We wonder if the Niners might be candidates for a letdown Thursday night. The Seahawks, meanwhile, are still in the fight in the NFC, they're usually well-coached, and they might be prime for a bounce-back effort after sleep-walking through the early stages of last Sunday's loss. We love San Francisco's chances of winning the NFC in a few weeks, even with the rookie QB, but we're betting on Seattle plus the points Thursday night.

Free Pick: Take Seattle +3.5

Monday Dec 12, 2022

By the numbers, these two running attacks are about even, but almost all of New England’s ground production comes from its running backs, while 40 percent of Arizona’s comes from its QB. We prefer the Patriots method. Also, New England owns the better defense. And the Patriots are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five road games, while the Cardinals are just 1-5 SU at home this season. We’re betting on New England Monday night.

Free Pick: Take New England -2

Sunday Dec 11, 2022

Philadelphia ranks 3rd in the League in total offense and 2nd in total defense; New York ranks 22nd in offense and 23rd in defense. The Eagles own a three-game winning streak; the Giants haven't won a game in a month. And Philly owns a 115 YPG edge vs. common opponents this season. We're betting on the Eagles here and quickly before that spread gets any steeper. 

Free Pick: Take Philadelphia -6.5

Thursday Dec 08, 2022

The Raiders actually still have something to play for, the Rams, but not so much. Also, Las Vegas rides a hot offensive pairing with RB Jacobs and WR Adams, while Los Angeles is without its starting QB, WR Kupp and DT Donald. Also, the Raiders own the better "performance vs. common opponents" this season. Teams that win the game outright in the NFL this season are covering at an 84 percent clip, so we like Vegas minus the points here.

Free Pick: Take Las Vegas - 6

Monday Dec 05, 2022

Tampa Bay doesn't even try to run the ball at times these days, instead choosing to rely on a 45-year-old quarterback. How's that working out? The Bucs are averaged 18 points per game. New Orleans isn't great offensively either, but at least it's a little more balanced. Also, the Saints have played Tampa and Brady tough over recent seasons. Also, believe it or not, after getting shut out last week, we expect a bounce-back performance from New Orleans here. We like the Saints plus the points.

Free Pick: Take New Orleans +3

Sunday Dec 04, 2022

Miami ranks No. 3 in the League in total offense, although just 28th in rushing and 17th in total defense. San Francisco ranks No. 10 in offense and No. 1 in defense. And in match-ups like this, we love betting the team with the better defense. Also, the 49ers are out-rushing opponents by 44 YPG, while the Dolphins are getting out-rushed by 15 YPG. Also, we're thinking San Francisco might win the NFC while we still have some doubts about Miami. We're giving the points with the 49ers Sunday.

 

Free Pick: Take San Francisco -4

Wednesday Nov 30, 2022

Buffalo's won four of the last five meetings between these teams, and the only game it lost came on a bad-weather night last December when throwing the ball was nearly impossible. Also, the Bills are out-rushing opponents this season by 31 YPG, while New England's been held to less than 100 yards on the ground five of its last six times out. Also, while home dogs are covering at a 61 percent rate this season, that sounds like a trend due for a correction. We're betting on Buffalo Thursday night.  

Free Pick: Take Buffalo -3.5

Sunday Nov 27, 2022

Tennessee is out-rushing opponents this season by a per-game average of 129-82; Cincinnati is getting out-rushed 117-95. And in the NFL, teams that win the ground battles cover the spread about 65 percent of the time. Also, while the Bengals won this match-up back in January, the Titans basically gave that game away with three crucial Tannehill interceptions. We like Tennessee for Sunday.

Free Pick: Take the Titans +2.5

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