Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Betting Odds - Free Pick

Date: 
December 3, 12:00 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -10
Total: 
80

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (9-3) will square off with the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (8-4) for the Conference-USA Championship at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, Kentucky. The last meeting between both sides earlier this year was separated by a field goal where the Bulldogs edged the Hilltoppers 55-52 in Ruston, Louisiana. The game will be televised nationally on ESPN at 12:00 PM ET.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Overview

Western Kentucky enters with a hot hand back to familiar surroundings as the Hilltoppers are playing for yet another Conference-USA crown. This accolade is all the more impressive as they had to replace 10 starters on defense along with renowned quarterback Brandon Doughty who held many NCAA passing records when his career concluded.

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Louisiana Tech is likely relishing this opportunity to take down a team they defeated earlier this season in October. The Dogs had accrued over 50 points in four of their last seven outings and were cruising along on a seven game winning streak before losing in Hattiesburg, Mississippi against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles, last week.

Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky Betting Trends

  • Louisiana Tech is 2-1 against Western Kentucky
  • Western Kentucky has won their last six overall.
  • Louisiana Tech has won seven of their last eight contests.
  • Over is 2-0-1 in 3 meetings between Hilltoppers and Bulldogs.

Public Money Consensus

In the early going 78% of the public have taken WKU against the spread, laying the points to the Bulldogs. In Money Line markets, contrarian figures have emerged as 94% fancy the Bulldogs as a +325 pup opposed to the heavy juice with the Hilltoppers as a -400 favorite. 91% of the consensus like the Over in the Over/Under market.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction

Regardless of the difficulties in beating the same team twice in a season, the number here seems a bit astronomical given the fact this one will likely be an offensive shootout where the defenses might as well watch this one from home. WKU making it back to the Conference USA’s Championship Game has already caught a lot of attention of the general public. This trend has a tendency to happen with teams that make it back to their conference title game as the current sitting champion. Look no further than the Clemson vs. Virginia Tech ACC Championship Game to quantify this hypothesis. In addition, the Hilltoppers have a hot hand and likely the line movements are reflection and a reaction to the loss the Dogs suffered against Southern Miss. A loss for LA Tech against Southern Miss should not denigrate any of their achievements, the Golden Eagles are a good team. Given the fact we can take back points with an underdog that has a proven track record of success against the team giving away the points combined with a double-digit allotment in an impending shootout, there is a lot of equity here in playing on LA Tech and fading the consensus.

Free Pick: 
Take Louisiana Tech +10

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