Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs Point Spread Pick

December 3, 12:00 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
TCU - 4.5

The Kansas State Wildcats (7-4) will travel out to Fort Worth, Texas to face off in a Big 12 season finale against the Horned Frogs of Texas Christian University (6-5). The game will be broadcasted regionally on FSN1 with a scheduled kick-off time of 12:00 PM ET. Since joining the Big 12, the Horned Frogs and the “Wabash Cannonballs” have split the series in conference play, two a-piece.

Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs Overview

The Wildcats come in off a thumping off cross-state rival Kansas, last week by a score of 34-19. The Wildcats have now won two in a row, emerging victorious in four of their last five fixtures overall. The Horned Frogs have not had the season they had hoped to by any means but nonetheless they have to feel good about the demolition job they pulled off against the Longhorns on Thanksgiving weekend when they defeated their defacto in-state foe by a score 31-9. TCU had hopes to win the Big 12 in 2015 but are now in a situation where this contest will determine bowl bids.

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TCU at Kansas State Betting Trends

  • TCU is 3-8 ATS overall this year.
  • Kansas State is 4-7 ATS overall this season.
  • TCU is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games.
  • TCU has lost their last three home games outright.

Public Money Consensus

So far 64% of the public have taken the Wildcats with the points as a road dog as opposed to the home favorite TCU Horned Frogs. In Money Line markets, we have seen 91% jump on the Cats indiscriminately out of the gate mirroring public leaning on the Cannonballs.

Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs Prediction

The Frogs are going to look to wrap up their season strong and potentially finish off with eight wins, finishing a few notches below what they had hoped for. Nevertheless, Texas Christian will love to conclude their 2016 campaign with a bang at home against a Kansas State opponent looking to hit the nine-win plateau. Very simply we are playing this from the angle of home field advantage and the public being enamored with the Cannonballs after their smashing of the Rock Chalk Jayhawks last week. While beating up on a weaker foe does not constitute an overreaction generally, the ideology here is that Kansas State can hang around by virtue of the fact they are getting more points which sometimes intrigues players. It is very rare to say the public hop on the dog at this level which suggests to us the favorite may actually be undervalued by virtue of failing to live up to expectations. Nevertheless, Gary Patterson knows how to finish strong and thus TCU here at a cheap price is a great play.

Free Pick: 
Take the Horned Frogs at -4.5

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