Baylor Bears vs. Boise State Broncos NCAAF Pick - Cactus Bowl Odds

Date: 
December 27, 10:15 PM EST
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Boise State -7.5
Total: 
67

The Motel 6 Cactus Bowl is set to be a barnburner as two of the traditionally prolific offenses in all of college football will square off in a duel in the desert. The Boise State Broncos (10-2) and the Baylor Bears (6-6) will be this year’s participants. The game will be broadcasted for national audiences on ESPN with a scheduled kick-off time of 10:15 PM ET, live from Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. These two teams have never met before.

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Baylor Bears vs. Boise State Broncos Overview

Baylor comes in riding a six-game losing streak and they have been overpriced all year against the spread. Baylor’s defense is virtually non-existent and the fact they bank on their offense to win games has come back to haunt them as their offense has been a shadow of its former self. For Boise State, the Broncos celebrate another ten win season despite failing to play for the Mountain West Championship due to losses against Air Force and Wyoming.

Boise State vs. Baylor Betting Trends

  • Boise State is 3-9 ATS on the year.
  • Baylor is 3-9 ATS on the year.
  • Boise State is 3-2 SU in their previous five contests.
  • Baylor has lost their last six outings.

Public Money Consensus

77% of the consensus fancy the Broncos against the spread, spotting the points to the Bears. In this market, the line has dropped 2.5 points from an open of 10, signifying heavy action on the Bears. Additionally, the Broncos require juice spotting the points as they bear a -115 price tag compared to the Bears who are a -105 play. On the Money Line, Boise State comes in as a -305 favorite compared to Baylor who is offered as a +245 pooch. Contrarily, in this market 85% of the consensus like the Bears on the Money Line. In the Over/Under, 54% of the public like the Over for a line currently sitting at 67. This market has dropped by a point since its open at 68.

Baylor Bears vs. Boise State Broncos Prediction

Once again playing on favorites is not typically a conducive move, especially when there is a little more juice required to lay those points. When you factor in the team we are giving those points to, it seems like a very dicey roll. However, Baylor has not won a game in six weeks. This is a team that started off 6-0, getting as high as #6 in the polls before collapsing down the back-stretch. Baylor’s once pyrolytic offense has struggled to break the 35 point mark in their six-game skid. While 35 points may seem like a lot to most, the Bears are used to scoring an average of 50 points per game. Boise State will treat this bowl like any other and pulverize this Baylor outfit in complete disarray. The Broncos with these points is a value play as they are poised to absolutely squash the Bears.

Free Pick: 
Take the Boise State Broncos -7.5

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