Michigan State Spartans at Kansas Jayhawks Free Pick - Betting Odds

Date: 
March 19, 5:15 AM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Kansas -8
Total: 
148

The 9th seed Michigan State Spartans face the top-seed Kansas Jayhawks in a Midwest Region 2nd round NCAA Tournament game that will take place at a neutral site at the Bank of Oklahoma Center in Tulsa, Oklahoma at 5:15 PM ET. The Jayhawks hit the board at -8, but the betting has driven the line to Kansas -7.5 at the majority of the sportsbooks. The O/U line for this game has risen a notch to 148 from a 147.5 opener.

Michigan State is coming off a 78-58 win over Miami in the first round of the NCAA Tournament where they covered the spread as a 1.5-point underdog. The total number of points scored in the game was 136, which was over the closing line of 126. The Spartans have covered the spread in three of their last four games and previous to the Miami game the total had gone under in three in a row. Michigan State has won two of their last three games.

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Kansas is coming off a 100-62 blowout win over UC Davis in the first round of the NCAA Tournament where they covered the 22.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 162, which was over the closing line of 144. The Jayhawks have covered the spread in two of their last three games and in their last three games the total has gone over every time. Kansas has won nine of their last 10 games.

Offensively, Michigan State is putting up 71.9 points per game on a 47.1% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Spartans are allowing 68.1 points on a 40.7% FG average.

Kansas is putting up 83.2 points per game, which ranks 15th in the nation, on a 48.9% FG average, which ranks 9th in the nation. On defense the Jayhawks are allowing 72.1 points per game on a 41.7% FG average.

These teams last met in the 2015 season where Michigan State beat Kansas 79-73.

Michigan State Spartans at Kansas Jayhawks Betting Trends

  • Michigan State is 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games.
  • The Spartans are 6-1 against the spread in their last 5 games against Kansas.
  • The game total has gone under in 4 of Michigan State’s last 5 games against Kansas.
  • Kansas is 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games.
  • The Jayhawks are 1-4 straight up in their last 5 games against Michigan State.

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB matchup between Michigan State and Kansas have the public leaning just slightly to the Jayhawks minus the 8 points with just 51%. The over/under bettors are definitively banking on this game going over the posted total line of 148 with 68% on board.

Michigan State Spartans at Kansas Jayhawks Prediction

Michigan State has just two wins in their last five games and they came over Miami (a team who I made excuses for their losing streak and was foolhardy to back on Friday) and a young Penn State team who they had a large scheduling edge over. Kansas has proven themselves away from home beating a handful of tournament teams something that MSU had done just twice (Wichita State and Minnesota in OT) before their win over the Hurricanes. I think it would be stretch to think that the Spartans will be the victor in this spot, but can they cover? Michigan State’s last three losses were by five or fewer points and Kansas hasn’t been extending the margin in many of their victories over top quality competition beating Baylor by 2 on the road, WVU by 4 in OT at home and Baylor by five at home. If the Spartans can will the battle on the glass which I think they can they can make this a battle to the buzzer.

Free Pick: 
Take Michigan State +7.5

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