Louisville Cardinals vs. Florida State Seminoles NCAAB Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

Louisville Cardinals vs. Florida State Seminoles NCAAB Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

Cliff Knox
Date: January 21, 2:00 pm
Location: Tucker Center
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Florida State -3
Total: 147.5

<p>
The 10th ranked Florida State Seminoles host the 12th ranked Louisville Cardinals in an ACC game that will take place at the Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee, Florida at 2 PM ET. Louisville has won 16 of their 19 games on the season and they have covered the spread in 12 of the 17 games that have had a posted line. Florida State has won 17 of their 19 games this season and they have covered the spread in 11 of the 17 games that have had a posted line.
</p>
<p>
Louisville is coming off a 90-62 blowout win over Clemson in their last game where they covered the 5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 152, which was over the closing line of 137. The Cardinals have covered the spread in three of their last four games, including their last two, and in their last three games the total has gone over every time. Overall, Louisville has won four games in a row.
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<p>
Florida State is coming off an 83-80 win over a ranked Notre Dame team in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 5.5-piint favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 163, which was over the closing line of 155. The Seminoles have failed to cover the spread in their last two games after doing so in four straight and in their last four games the total has gone over every time.
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<p>
Offensively, Louisville is putting up 76.6 points per game on a 43.8% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Cardinals are allowing 62.2 points per game, which ranked tied for 15th in the nation, on a 37.9% FG average, which ranks 8th in the nation.
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<p>
Florida State is putting up 86.3 points per game, which ranks 12th in the nation, on a 50.5% FG average, which ranks 5th in the nation. On defense the Seminoles are allowing 70.9 points per game on a 39.7% FG average.
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<p>
Last season in the lone match up between these teams, which took place at Louisville, the Cardinals beat the Seminoles 84-75.
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<h2>
Louisville Cardinals vs. Florida State Seminoles Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Louisville is 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 games overall.
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<li>
The Cardinals are 4-2 straight up in their last 6 road games.
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<li>
The game total has gone over in 4 of Florida State’s last 5 games
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<li>
Florida State is 5-0 straight up in their last 5 home games.
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<li>
The Seminoles are 13-6 against the spread in their last 19 games overall.
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</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
</h2>
<p>
In this NCAAB matchup between Louisville and Florida State have the public leaning towards the Seminoles minus the 3 points with over 65% confidence. The over/under bettors are definitively on the under the opening total of 147.5 with over 60% on board with this bet.
</p>

Louisville Cardinals at Florida State Seminoles Prediction

Florida State’s only losses this came to Temple on a neutral court and to very good UNC team on the road two starts back. That seemed to jar their confidence squeezing out a narrow three point victory over ND in the follow up. I think that they’ll step up big on Saturday afternoon. The Cardinals have put together a good run and surprised many sharps with their blow out win over Clemson on Thursday. FSU has a 20-point edge in scoring at home this season beating some quality some quality opponents in Notre Dame, Duke and Wake Forest and while I don’t expect the Louisville to roll over here the spread is low enough to give value to the home side.

Free Pick: Take the Florida Stata Seminoles -3.5
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