Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Texas Longhorns NCAAB Pick - Odds - ATS Prediction

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Texas Longhorns NCAAB Pick - Odds - ATS Prediction

Cliff Knox
Date: December 2, 9:30 pm
Location: Frank Erwin Center
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Texas -3
Total: 128.5

<p>
The Texas Longhorns host the Alabama Crimson Tide in a non-conference game that will take place at the Frank Erwin Center in Austin, Texas at 9:30 PM ET. Alabama has won four of their first six games this season and they have covered the spread in three of those games. Texas has won three of their first six games and they have failed to cover in three of the five games that have had a posted line.
</p>
<p>
Alabama is coming off a 76-46 win over Charleston Southern in their last game and they covered the 16-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 122, which was under the closing line of 127. The Crimson Tide have won three of their last four games including their last two. They had failed to cover the spread in two straight games before doing so in their last one. In Alabama’s six games this season the total has gone under five times including their last four. This will be their first game on the season facing a team from a major conference.
</p>
<p>
Texas is coming off 72-61 home loss to Texas-Arlington in their last game and they failed to cover the spread as a 7-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 133, which was under the closing line of 140.5. The Longhorns have failed to cover in their last three games and in the five games on the season that have had a line the total has gone under every time. After winning their first three games of the season the Longhorns have lost three in a row.
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<p>
Offensively, Alabama is putting up 69.5 points per game on a 42.4% FG average. On defense they are allowing 60 points per game on 40.6% shooting,
</p>
<p>
Texas is putting up 69.3 points per game on a 42.7% FG average. On the defensive side of thing the Longhorns are allowing 66.8 points per game on a 39.6% FG average.
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<p>
These teams have not faced each other since the 1971 season.
</p>
<h2>
Alabama vs. Texas Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
The Crimson Tide is 4-10 against the spread in their last 14 games.
</li>
<li>
Alabama is 4-2 straight up in their last 6 games.
</li>
<li>
The game total has gone over in 9 of Alabama’s last 13 road games.
</li>
<li>
Texas is 16-7 straight up in their last 23 home games.
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<li>
The game total has gone under in 5 of Texas’s last 5 games.
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
</h2>
<p>
In todays NCAAB matchup between Alabama and Texas the public money appears to be a little stronger on the Long Horns covering the 3 point spread with 64% confidence. On the over/under it looks like the public bettors are thinking this game will go under the posted total line of 128.5 with just over 50% confidence.
</p>

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Texas Longhorns Prediction

The current play of either team doesn't lend much confidence to making a point spread play, but the total looks interesting. The Longhorns have played solid defense allowing 39.6% from the field overall and a very impressive 36.4 at home. The Crimson Tide haven't impressed on offense this season averaging just 69.5 points per game and 61 per game on a neutral court. Texas did shoot well better at home in their four games averaging 76 points per game, but their recent scoring has been on the downside failing to score over 61 points in their last three including their last as a host.

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 128.5
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