Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics Free Pick - Betting Odds

May 19, 8:30 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Cleveland -5.5

Eastern Conference Finals – Game Two

The Cleveland Cavaliers will travel to Beantown to take on the Boston Celtics at the TD Garden for Game Two of the Eastern Conference Finals. The game is scheduled for an 8:30 PM tip-off and is slotted to be broadcasted for national audiences on both TSN and TNT. In Game One, the Cavaliers ran buckshot on the Celtics in Boston to defeat them by 13 points.

Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics Overview

More of what we saw in Game One was what we did not expect to see as Boston had home court advantage and the top-seed in the conference. The score was not indicative of the dominance demonstrated by the Cavs, as Cleveland led by as much as 25 points before they relented to prepare for Game Two with the opening festivities well in hand.

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Cleveland at Boston Key Betting Trends

  • The Cavaliers come in at 60-31 against the spread, but have been clearly overvalued as they stand at 42-45-4 against the spread.
  • However, Cleveland has been a cash cow as of late as they are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven fixtures.
  • All this achieved despite the public smothering them with action.
  • After their home defeat, the Celtics fell to 61-35 straight-up. Against the spread, the Celtics stand at 49-45-2.

Public Money Consensus

In the early stages, 84% of the public fancy the Cavaliers against the spread and are willing to spot the road points. In this market, the Cavs are priced at -115 while the Celtics are more affably priced at -105. Initially this market had opened at -4.5 in some books but action on Cleveland has pushed this market to its current junction. On the Money Line, Cleveland comes in a -245, while the Celtics sit at +203. In this market, 99% of the betting public have taken Cleveland on the Money Line. 99% of the public like the Over for the Over/Under market sitting at 219.5.

Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics Prediction

Typically this situation has all the makings to be an overreaction after Cleveland besieged Boston in Game One. While tracking the public consensus and the overall line movements, the Cavaliers seem poised to be an ideal fade here with the chance to take back the top team in the East at an enhanced price. However, Cleveland has defied convention here and they have been an economical choice throughout the playoffs overall despite their prestige and appeal. The fact remains, the sharpest book in the industry has priced this game with Cleveland spotting an additional half of a point, thus our position is to side with the market given the fact we can grab Cleveland for half of a point less than the industry leader. In a rare situation, we will go ahead and side with the public on this one and swallow the points.

Free Pick: 
Take Cleveland -5.5

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